Appearance

Auto follows your device. Saved on this device.

Wed 12:00 EDT · Finland - Ykkönen

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku II

Final score KuPS Akatemia 0, Inter Turku II 3.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

KuPS Akatemia vs Inter Turku II prediction, Wednesday 7 October: chances and analysis

Picks for Wednesday 7 October

Wednesday 7 October

11 of 16 picks won

4 waiting for a result.

The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.

More filters

Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · No price

FC Levadia TallinnKeila100

11:00 EDT · Estonia - Cup

See the match

Paysandu PA U20 win

Won

90%win chance when published

Other picks (10)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.

8 of 9 picks won among these

1 waiting for a result.

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Won

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers: 70%

Price when published 1.31

Academia CantolaoSantos03

11:45 EDT · Peru - Segunda División

See the match

Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.

Key numbers

Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.

KuPS Akatemia win: 44% · price 2.41
Draw: 20% · price 4.08
Inter Turku II win: 36% · price 2.23
Over 1.5 goals: 88% · price 1.05
Over 2.5 goals: 70% · price 1.22
Both teams score: 67% · price 1.25
Expected goals (our model): KuPS Akatemia 2.2, Inter Turku II 1.9

These chances include head-to-head context at 6% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave KuPS Akatemia 45% to win.

Key factors

Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.

Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.

KuPS Akatemia sit 12th with 15 points; Inter Turku II sit 10th with 23 points.
KuPS Akatemia have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Inter Turku II 3 from 5.
At home, KuPS Akatemia have taken 2 points from their last 5; away, Inter Turku II have taken 4 from their last 5.
Head-to-head context: in their last 4 meetings KuPS Akatemia won 1, Inter Turku II won 3 and 0 were drawn.
KuPS Akatemia have had 19 days since their last match; Inter Turku II 17.

League context

Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.

Where the teams sit in the Ykkönen, before kick-off.

KuPS Akatemia sit 12th with 15 points; Inter Turku II sit 10th with 23. They are level on goal difference.

9th TPV27 points from 25 games · goal difference -13
10th Inter Turku II23 points from 24 games · goal difference -17
11th KPV-j18 points from 25 games · goal difference -48
12th KuPS Akatemia15 points from 24 games · goal difference -17

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA

KuPS Akatemia: recent fixtures

Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.

Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.

at KPV-j18 Sept 2026 · Ykkönen · Away2–3

at TPV13 Sept 2026 · Ykkönen · Away2–4

v SalPa29 Aug 2026 · Ykkönen · Home1–3

at KPV-j21 Aug 2026 · Ykkönen · Away4–2

Inter Turku II: recent fixtures

Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.

Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.

v TPV20 Sept 2026 · Ykkönen · Home3–0

at VJS12 Sept 2026 · Ykkönen · Away1–2

at FC jazz29 Aug 2026 · Ykkönen · Away0–2

v TPV22 Aug 2026 · Ykkönen · Home0–1

Head to head

Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.

How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.

Meetings: 4
KuPS Akatemia wins: 1
Draws: 0
Inter Turku II wins: 3

Record shown: June 2025 to August 2026.

7 Aug 2026 · YkkönenKuPS Akatemia0–1Inter Turku II

17 May 2026 · YkkönenInter Turku II4–2KuPS Akatemia

10 Aug 2025 · YkkönenKuPS Akatemia3–1Inter Turku II

3 Jun 2025 · YkkönenInter Turku II

Form, home and away

In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.

The last 5 and 10 matches, then KuPS Akatemia at home and Inter Turku II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.

KuPS Akatemia

Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 11 scored, 14 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (10)1 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost · 17 scored, 24 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Home, last 5 (5)0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 7 scored, 11 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Home, last 10 (9)1 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost · 12 scored, 16 conceded · 0.56 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3

KuPS Akatemia
Sample	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD

Team strength, attack and defence

Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.

Measure	KuPS Akatemia	Inter Turku II
League position	12th	10th
Points per game	0.63	0.96
Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10)	1.70	1.10
Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10)	2.40	1.40
Clean sheets	0	2

Schedule and rest

Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.

KuPS Akatemia: 19 days since their last match (18 Sept 2026).
Inter Turku II: 17 days since their last match (20 Sept 2026).

Squad availability

In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.

Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.

KuPS Akatemia

None reported.

Inter Turku II

None reported.

Counter-signals

Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.

Evidence pointing the other way.

KuPS Akatemia sit below Inter Turku II in the table (12th against 10th).
Head-to-head context: Inter Turku II have won more of the last 4 meetings (3 to 1).

Show full table

1st Tampere United50 points from 25 games · goal difference +32
2nd Rops44 points from 25 games · goal difference +15
3rd SalPa42 points from 25 games · goal difference +7
4th OLS41 points from 25 games · goal difference +13
5th VJS40 points from 25 games · goal difference +12
6th FC jazz39 points from 25 games · goal difference +6
7th PKKU38 points from 25 games · goal difference +8
8th JJK31 points from 25 games · goal difference +2
9th TPV27 points from 25 games · goal difference -13
10th Inter Turku II23 points from 24 games · goal difference -17
11th KPV-j18 points from 25 games · goal difference -48
12th KuPS Akatemia15 points from 24 games · goal difference -17

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tampere United	25	15	5	5	58	26	+32	50
2	Rops	25	12	8	5	52	37	+15	44
3	SalPa	25	12	6	7	52	45	+7	42
4	OLS	25	11

Last 5 (5)	5	1	1	3	11	14	-3	4	0.80	0
Last 10 (10)	10	1	3	6	17	24	-7	6	0.60	1
Home, last 5 (5)	5	0	2	3	7	11	-4	2	0.40	1
Home, last 10 (9)	9	1	2	6	12	16	-4	5	0.56	3

Inter Turku II

Last 5 (5)1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost · 6 scored, 8 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
Last 10 (10)2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost · 11 scored, 14 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
Away, last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 7 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
Away, last 10 (10)2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost · 13 scored, 27 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2

Inter Turku II
Sample	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG	CS	FTS
Last 5 (5)	5	1	0	4	6	8	-2	3	0.60	1	2
Last 10 (10)	10	2	2	6	11	14	-3	8	0.80	2	3
Away, last 5 (5)	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4	0.80	1	2
Away, last 10 (10)	10	2	2	6	13	27	-14	8	0.80	1	2

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku II

Our model's chances

Picks for Wednesday 7 October

Other picks (10)

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku II

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

Key numbers

Key factors

League context

KuPS Akatemia: recent fixtures

Inter Turku II: recent fixtures

Head to head

Form, home and away

KuPS Akatemia

Team strength, attack and defence

Schedule and rest

Squad availability

KuPS Akatemia

Inter Turku II

Counter-signals

Inter Turku II

9	TPV	25	7	6	12	35	48	-13	27
10	Inter Turku II	24	6	5	13	36	53	-17	23
11	KPV-j	25	5	3	17	27	75	-48	18
12	KuPS Akatemia	24	3	6	15	41	58	-17	15

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku IIKuPS AkatemiaHomevInter Turku IIAwayKuPS AkatemiaHomevInter Turku IIAway

Our model's chances

Picks for Wednesday 7 October

Other picks (10)

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku IIKuPS AkatemiaHomevInter Turku IIAwayKuPS AkatemiaHomevInter Turku IIAway

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

Key numbers

Key factors

League context

KuPS Akatemia: recent fixtures

Inter Turku II: recent fixtures

Head to head

Form, home and away

KuPS Akatemia

Team strength, attack and defence

Schedule and rest

Squad availability

KuPS Akatemia

Inter Turku II

Counter-signals

Inter Turku II

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku II

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku II