Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Uganda - Premier League
Final score Maroons 3, Lugazi 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Maroons win 55%, Draw 30%, Lugazi win 14%.
Maroons host Lugazi in the Premier League, Uganda.
Our model gives Maroons a 55% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Lugazi 14%.
The model expects Maroons to score 1.3 goals and Lugazi 0.6.
Maroons have won 1 of their last 4 league matches; Lugazi have won 2 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchContext onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Maroons sit 12th with 3 points; Lugazi sit 7th with 6. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Maroons.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | URA | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Maroons at home and Lugazi away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 |
Maroons at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Lugazi away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Maroons | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 7th |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 4 and 4) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 4 and 4) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Express | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | KCCA | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | URA | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| -2 |
| 6 |
| 1.50 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|