Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· China - League One
Final score Shenzhen Juniors 1, Guangzhou E-Power 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Shenzhen Juniors win 23%, Draw 24%, Guangzhou E-Power win 54%.
Shenzhen Juniors host Guangzhou E-Power in the League One, China.
Our model gives Shenzhen Juniors a 23% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Guangzhou E-Power 54%.
The model expects Shenzhen Juniors to score 1.2 goals and Guangzhou E-Power 1.9.
Shenzhen Juniors have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Guangzhou E-Power have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Wed 7 Oct, 00:16 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchThese chances include head-to-head context at 6% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave Shenzhen Juniors 22% to win.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the League One, before kick-off.
Shenzhen Juniors sit 4th with 44 points; Guangzhou E-Power sit 1st with 54. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of Guangzhou E-Power.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 54 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 26 | +14 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 25 | +14 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 36 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Record shown: April 2024 to May 2026.
Average goals 1.6 (Shenzhen Juniors 0.8, Guangzhou E-Power 0.8). Draws 20%, both teams scored 40%, over 2.5 goals 40%.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Shenzhen Juniors at home and Guangzhou E-Power away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 11 | 2.20 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 19 | 1.90 | 5 | 4 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 11 | 2.20 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (10) | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 17 | 1.70 | 4 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Shenzhen Juniors | Guangzhou E-Power |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.30 | 2.10 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 54 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 26 | +14 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 25 | +14 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 36 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 36 |
| 7 | Hebei Kungfu | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 31 | +7 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian Huayi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 13 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 12 |
| 4 |
| +8 |
| 11 |
| 2.20 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 24 | 2.40 | 4 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 13 | 2.60 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (10) | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 24 | 2.40 | 3 | 0 |
|---|