Terremoto vs Salus prediction, Wednesday 7 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Uruguay - Primera División Amateur
Terremoto v SalusHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Terremoto win 29%, Draw 30%, Salus win 41%.
Terremoto host Salus in the Primera División Amateur, Uruguay.
Our model gives Terremoto a 29% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Salus 41%.
The model expects Terremoto to score 1.0 goals and Salus 1.2.
Terremoto have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Salus have won 2 of 6.
Top factors
- Terremoto sit 16th with 23 points; Salus sit 5th with 33 points.
- Terremoto have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Salus 5 from 5.
- At home, Terremoto have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Salus have taken 3 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Terremoto 1.0, Salus 1.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División Amateur, before kick-off.
Terremoto sit 16th with 23 points; Salus sit 5th with 33. A gap of 18 in goal difference, in favour of Salus; Terremoto have played 1 fewer.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
- 4th Deutscher35 points from 21 games · goal difference +13
- 5th Salus33 points from 19 games · goal difference +20
- 6th Lito33 points from 21 games · goal difference +10
- 15th Mar de Fondo24 points from 19 games · goal difference -2
- 16th Terremoto23 points from 18 games · goal difference +2
- 17th Huracán Buceo19 points from 18 games · goal difference -9
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Deutscher | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 23 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 | Salus | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 16 | +20 | 33 |
| 6 | Lito | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 33 |
| 15 | Mar de Fondo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
| 16 | Terremoto | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 23 |
| 17 | Huracán Buceo | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 19 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Bella Vista46 points from 19 games · goal difference +39
- 2nd Deportivo Colonia40 points from 20 games · goal difference +25
- 3rd Sportivo Bella Italia38 points from 19 games · goal difference +13
- 4th Deutscher35 points from 21 games · goal difference +13
- 5th Salus33 points from 19 games · goal difference +20
- 6th Lito33 points from 21 games · goal difference +10
- 7th Deportivo Italiano32 points from 19 games · goal difference +8
- 8th LSM32 points from 19 games · goal difference +8
- 9th Artigas30 points from 19 games · goal difference +6
- 10th Sud América30 points from 19 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Platense29 points from 20 games · goal difference 0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Deportivo Colonia26 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Away1–2
WWonv Salto22 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home2–0
LLostat Mar de Fondo14 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Away0–2
LLostv Sportivo Bella Italia5 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home0–1
DDrewat Sud América31 Aug 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Away0–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostv LSM23 Aug 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home0–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Huracán Buceo26 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home1–2
DDrewv Artigas20 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home2–2
LLostat Lito13 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Away0–1
DDrewv Durazno FC8 Sept 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home2–2
WWonat Platense29 Aug 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Away2–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonv Deutscher24 Aug 2026 · Primera División Amateur · Home2–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Terremoto at home and Salus away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Terremoto
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 3 scored, 5 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 3 scored, 7 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 4
- Home, last 5 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 3 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 10 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 3 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
Terremoto| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | 0.67 | 2 | 4 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
Salus
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 7 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 8 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Salus| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Terremoto at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Salus away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Terremoto | Salus |
|---|
| League position | 16th | 5th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.28 | 1.74 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.33 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Picks for Wednesday 7 October
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
LTAFC Levadia TallinnKEIKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchwin chance when published
Other picks (10)
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
ACAAcademia CantolaoSANSantos03
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Bella Vista | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 51 | 12 | +39 | 46 |
| 2 | Deportivo Colonia | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 14 | +25 | 40 |
| 3 | Sportivo Bella Italia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 38 |
| 4 | Deutscher | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 23 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 | Salus | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 16 | +20 | 33 |
| 6 | Lito | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 33 |
| 7 | Deportivo Italiano | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 32 |
| 8 | LSM | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 32 |
| 9 | Artigas | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 30 |
| 10 | Sud América | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 30 |
| 11 | Platense | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Salto | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 28 |
| 13 | Rampla Juniors | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 18 | +12 | 27 |
| 14 | Durazno FC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 25 |
| 15 | Mar de Fondo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
| 16 | Terremoto | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 23 |
| 17 | Huracán Buceo | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Rocha | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 19 | Parque del Plata | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 20 | Los Gorriones | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 21 | Basáñez | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Villa Teresa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 |
| 23 | Potencia | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
| 24 | Frontera Rivera | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 6 |
| 25 | Villa Española | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 5 |
| 26 | Canadian | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 3 |
| 27 | Alto Perú | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 26 | -24 | 1 |
| 28 | Los Halcones | 19 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 71 | -60 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
PPAPaysandu PA U20IAPIndependente-AP U2060
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
win chance when published
Our model · No price
TLPTuna Luso PA U20UTOUnião TO U2011
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
ARNAmérica RN U20PIAPiauí U2032
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
NAUNautico U20SERSergipe U2062
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
CRICriciuma U20BARBarra SC U2030
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
CEACeará U20FERFerroviario U2010
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
FERFerro 2INDIndependiente Res.00
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
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ENHEC Novo HorizonteREAReal09
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
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Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
GBOGosport BoroughPOOPoole Town13
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
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Our model · No price
FORFormartine UnitedDEVDeveronvale21
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
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Our model · No price
BTHBuckie ThistleLOSLossiemouth24
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
ROTRothesHUNHuntly13
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
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Our model · No price
KEIKeithTURTurriff United10
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
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RZURayo ZulianoDLADeportivo Lara32
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
PETPetare FCAAVAtletico Avila FC00
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
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FASFASFSFFuerte San Francisco
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
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MLIMunicipal LimeñoAGUÁguila
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
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CACCacahuatiqueINTInter
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
FIRFirpoALIAlianza
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
BAKBen AknounJBIJS El Biar22
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
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CRUCruzeiro U17FLUFluminense U1720
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
DRIDeportivo Riestra Res.IRIIndependiente Riva. Res.31
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
CERCerritoWANWanderers22
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
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NOCNocerinaTURTurris11
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
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ILWInverurie Loco WorksINVInvergordon10
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
CBECR BelouizdadKHEKhenchela10
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
UCAUniversidad CatolicaLQULDU de Quito
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
UREUrena SCTRUTrujillanos FC22
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the match