Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
FC Levadia TallinnKeila100
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchLoading picks…
Wednesday 7 October
11 of 16 picks won
4 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Estonia - Cup
See the matchPaysandu PA U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
8 of 9 picks won among these
1 waiting for a result.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.31
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Brazil - Goiano - 2
Final score Tupy FC 1, Rio Verde 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Tupy FC win 28%, Draw 31%, Rio Verde win 41%.
Tupy FC host Rio Verde in the Goiano - 2, Brazil.
Our model gives Tupy FC a 28% chance of winning, a draw 31% and Rio Verde 41%.
The model expects Tupy FC to score 1.0 goals and Rio Verde 1.2.
Tupy FC have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Rio Verde have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
Tuna Luso PA U20 win
Lost
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchAmérica RN U20 win
Won
84%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchNautico U20 win
Won
83%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCriciuma U20 win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCeará U20 win
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.26
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Gaúcho - 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.20
· England - Non League Premier - Southern South
See the matchFormartine United win
Won
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchBuckie Thistle win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchHuntly win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Copa Presidente
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 63%
Price when published 1.43
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Brasileiro U17
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 67%
Price when published 1.37
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Italy - Coppa Italia Serie D
See the matchInverurie Loco Works win
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Scotland - Football League - Highland League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 70%
Price when published 1.29
· Algeria - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Ecuador - Copa Ecuador
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 68%
Price when published 1.34
· Venezuela - Copa Venezuela
See the matchContext onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Goiano - 2, before kick-off.
Tupy FC sit 7th with 18 points; Rio Verde sit 1st with 32. A gap of 16 in goal difference, in favour of Rio Verde.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 32 |
| 2 | Bom Jesus EC | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 28 |
| 6 | Goiânia | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Tupy FC | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Crixás EC | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 16 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Tupy FC at home and Rio Verde away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | 0.83 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Tupy FC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Rio Verde away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Tupy FC | Rio Verde |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 1st |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # |
|---|
| Team |
|---|
| P |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 32 |
| 2 | Bom Jesus EC | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 28 |
| 3 | Goianésia | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 27 |
| 4 | Mineiros | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | Morrinhos | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | Goiânia | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Tupy FC | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Crixás EC | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 16 |
| 9 | Trindade | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Grêmio Anápolis | 16 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 11 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 7 |
| 5 |
| +2 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 12 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|