· Lebanon - Premier League
Al Ansar v Al Hikma
Final score Al Ansar 2, Al Hikma 1.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.18
The model expects Al Ansar to score 1.9 goals and Al Hikma 0.9.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Al Ansar win 68%, Draw 20%, Al Hikma win 12%.
Why this pick
Al Ansar host Al Hikma in the Premier League, Lebanon.
Our model gives a 78% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 78%.
Top factors
- At home, Al Ansar have scored 2.4 goals a game and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 home matches.
- Away, Al Hikma have scored 0.4 goals a game and conceded 1.2 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Thu 8 Oct, 00:22 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 8 Oct, 00:19 BST. Nothing after that is used.