Vänersborgs FK v KumlaVänersborgs FKHomevKumlaAwayVänersborgs FKHomevKumlaAway
Final score Vänersborgs FK 3, Kumla 3.The pick won.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.19
Each of Kumla's last 6 away matches had two or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Vänersborgs FK win 46%, Draw 25%, Kumla win 29%.
46%
Vänersborgs FK win
25%
Draw
29%
Kumla win
Why this pick
Vänersborgs FK host Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, Sweden.
Our model gives a 77% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 78%.
The model expects Vänersborgs FK to score 1.6 goals and Kumla 1.2.
3 of Vänersborgs FK's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 3 of Kumla's last 6 did.
Top factors
At home, Vänersborgs FK have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 home matches.
Away, Kumla have scored 0.6 goals a game and conceded 3.8 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Thu 8 Oct, 00:22 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 8 Oct, 00:17 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Picks for Thursday 8 October
Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
More filters
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla prediction, Thursday 8 October: chances and analysis