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Wed 20:30 EDT · USA - USL League One

Corpus Christi v Fort Wayne

Final score Corpus Christi 1, Fort Wayne 3.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers: 75%

Price when published 1.18

Each of Fort Wayne's last 10 away matches had two or more goals.

Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne prediction, Thursday 8 October: chances and analysis

Picks for Thursday 8 October

Thursday 8 October

12 of 17 picks won

3 waiting for a result.

The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.

More filters

Competition

Market

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers: 75%

Price when published 1.18

Corpus ChristiFort Wayne13

Wed 20:30 EDT · USA - USL League One

See the match

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Won

Other picks (22)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.

17 of 22 picks won among these

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Lost

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers: 71%

Price when published 1.28

UNAN ManaguaReal Estelí10

Wed 20:00 EDT · Nicaragua - Primera Division

See the match

Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.

Key numbers

Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.

Corpus Christi win: 39% · price 2.51
Draw: 26% · price 3.41
Fort Wayne win: 35% · price 2.37
Over 1.5 goals: 79% · price 1.18
Over 2.5 goals: 56% · price 1.65
Both teams score: 58% · price 1.52
Expected goals (our model): Corpus Christi 1.5, Fort Wayne 1.4

Key factors

Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.

Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.

Corpus Christi sit 9th with 36 points; Fort Wayne sit 8th with 39 points.
Corpus Christi have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Fort Wayne 6 from 5.
At home, Corpus Christi have taken 4 points from their last 5; away, Fort Wayne have taken 7 from their last 5.

League context

Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.

Where the teams sit in the USL League One, before kick-off.

Corpus Christi sit 9th with 36 points; Fort Wayne sit 8th with 39. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of Fort Wayne.

7th Chattanooga Red Wolves46 points from 29 games · goal difference +10
8th Fort Wayne39 points from 28 games · goal difference +6
9th Corpus Christi36 points from 28 games · goal difference -8
10th Naples34 points from 28 games · goal difference -12

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA

Corpus Christi: recent fixtures

Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.

Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.

at Chattanooga Red Wolves3 Oct 2026 · USL League One · Away0–3

v Boise27 Sept 2026 · USL League One · Home2–1

at Greenville Triumph16 Sept 2026 · USL League One · Away1–0

v Union Omaha13 Sept 2026 · USL League One · Home1–2

Fort Wayne: recent fixtures

Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.

Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.

v Forward Madison3 Oct 2026 · USL League One · Home0–0

at Charlotte Independence26 Sept 2026 · USL League One · Away1–1

v Naples19 Sept 2026 · USL League One · Home2–2

v One Knoxville16 Sept 2026 · USL League One · Home2–3

Head to head

Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.

How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.

Insufficient historical data: fewer than 3 meetings.

Meetings: 1
Corpus Christi wins: 0
Draws: 1
Fort Wayne wins: 0

Record shown: May 2026.

20 May 2026 · USL League OneFort Wayne1–1Corpus Christi

Form, home and away

In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.

The last 5 and 10 matches, then Corpus Christi at home and Fort Wayne away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.

Corpus Christi

Last 5 (5)2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 8 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
Last 10 (10)4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 11 scored, 14 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 4
Home, last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 9 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Home, last 10 (10)4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost · 13 scored, 12 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 3

Corpus Christi
Sample	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD

Team strength, attack and defence

Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.

Measure	Corpus Christi	Fort Wayne
League position	9th	8th
Points per game	1.29	1.39
Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10)	1.10	1.70
Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10)	1.40	1.70
Clean sheets	3	2

Schedule and rest

Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.

Corpus Christi: 4 days since their last match (3 Oct 2026).
Fort Wayne: 4 days since their last match (3 Oct 2026).

Squad availability

In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.

Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.

Corpus Christi

None reported.

Fort Wayne

None reported.

Show full table

1st Union Omaha61 points from 29 games · goal difference +22
2nd Charlotte Independence60 points from 29 games · goal difference +25
3rd Forward Madison52 points from 29 games · goal difference +23
4th Boise49 points from 29 games · goal difference +6
5th One Knoxville48 points from 29 games · goal difference +12
6th Spokane Velocity47 points from 27 games · goal difference +5
7th Chattanooga Red Wolves46 points from 29 games · goal difference +10
8th Fort Wayne39 points from 28 games · goal difference +6
9th Corpus Christi36 points from 28 games · goal difference -8
10th Naples34 points from 28 games · goal difference -12
11th Westchester SC33 points from 29 games · goal difference +2
12th Sarasota Paradise33 points from 28 games · goal difference -4
13th Alta32 points from 29 games · goal difference -7
14th Portland Hearts of Pine31 points from 29 games · goal difference -10
15th NY Cosmos25 points from 28 games · goal difference -20
16th Greenville Triumph23 points from 28 games · goal difference -22
17th Richmond Kickers23 points from 28 games · goal difference -28

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53	31	+22	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67	42	+25	60
3	Forward Madison	29	15	7	7	50	27	+23	52
4	Boise	29

Last 5 (5)	5	2	0	3	4	8	-4	6	1.20	1	2
Last 10 (10)	10	4	2	4	11	14	-3	14	1.40	3	4
Home, last 5 (5)	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4	0.80	0	2
Home, last 10 (10)	10	4	3	3	13	12	+1	15	1.50	2	3

Fort Wayne

Last 5 (5)1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost · 8 scored, 7 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Last 10 (10)3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost · 17 scored, 17 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Away, last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 9 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Away, last 10 (10)3 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost · 16 scored, 17 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1

Fort Wayne
Sample	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG	CS	FTS
Last 5 (5)	5	1	3	1	8	7	+1	6	1.20	1	1
Last 10 (10)	10	3	3	4	17	17	0	12	1.20	2	2
Away, last 5 (5)	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7	1.40	0	1
Away, last 10 (10)	10	3	3	4	16	17	-1	12	1.20	1	1

Corpus Christi v Fort Wayne

Picks for Thursday 8 October

Other picks (22)

Corpus Christi v Fort Wayne

Our model's chances

Why this pick

Top factors

Key numbers

Key factors

League context

Corpus Christi: recent fixtures

Fort Wayne: recent fixtures

Head to head

Form, home and away

Corpus Christi

Team strength, attack and defence

Schedule and rest

Squad availability

Corpus Christi

Fort Wayne

Fort Wayne

7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	29	14	4	11	50	40	+10	46
8	Fort Wayne	28	10	9	9	42	36	+6	39
9	Corpus Christi	28	9	9	10	32	40	-8	36
10	Naples	28	10	4	14	32	44	-12	34

Corpus Christi v Fort WayneCorpus ChristiHomevFort WayneAwayCorpus ChristiHomevFort WayneAway

Picks for Thursday 8 October

Other picks (22)

Corpus Christi v Fort WayneCorpus ChristiHomevFort WayneAwayCorpus ChristiHomevFort WayneAway

Our model's chances

Why this pick

Top factors

Key numbers

Key factors

League context

Corpus Christi: recent fixtures

Fort Wayne: recent fixtures

Head to head

Form, home and away

Corpus Christi

Team strength, attack and defence

Schedule and rest

Squad availability

Corpus Christi

Fort Wayne

Fort Wayne

Corpus Christi v Fort Wayne

Corpus Christi v Fort Wayne