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Thu 14:00 EDT · Argentina - Reserve League

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.

Final score Godoy Cruz Res. 0, Barracas Central Res. 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Godoy Cruz Res. vs Barracas Central Res. prediction, Thursday 8 October: chances and analysis

Picks for Thursday 8 October

Thursday 8 October

12 of 17 picks won

3 waiting for a result.

The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.

More filters

Competition

Market

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers: 75%

Price when published 1.18

Corpus ChristiFort Wayne13

Wed 20:30 EDT · USA - USL League One

See the match

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Won

Other picks (22)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.

17 of 22 picks won among these

Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match

Lost

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers: 71%

Price when published 1.28

UNAN ManaguaReal Estelí10

Wed 20:00 EDT · Nicaragua - Primera Division

See the match

Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.

Key numbers

Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.

Godoy Cruz Res. win: 58% · price 2.03
Draw: 26% · price 3.09
Barracas Central Res. win: 17% · price 3.30
Over 1.5 goals: 72% · price 1.33
Over 2.5 goals: 46% · price 2.06
Both teams score: 48% · price 1.83
Expected goals (our model): Godoy Cruz Res. 1.6, Barracas Central Res. 0.8

These chances include head-to-head context at 4% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave Godoy Cruz Res. 58% to win.

Key factors

Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.

Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.

Godoy Cruz Res. sit 33rd with 15 points; Barracas Central Res. sit 30th with 17 points.
Godoy Cruz Res. have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Barracas Central Res. 4 from 5.
At home, Godoy Cruz Res. have taken 9 points from their last 5; away, Barracas Central Res. have taken 1 from their last 5.
Head-to-head context: in their last 4 meetings Godoy Cruz Res. won 2, Barracas Central Res. won 1 and 1 was drawn.

League context

Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.

Where the teams sit in the Reserve League, Apertura, before kick-off.

Godoy Cruz Res. sit 33rd with 15 points; Barracas Central Res. sit 30th with 17. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Godoy Cruz Res..

29th Aldosivi Res.18 points from 18 games · goal difference -11
30th Barracas Central Res.17 points from 18 games · goal difference -13
31st Sarmiento Res.16 points from 18 games · goal difference -10
32nd Tigre Res.16 points from 18 games · goal difference -10
33rd Godoy Cruz Res.15 points from 18 games · goal difference -10
34th Atl. Rafaela 212 points from 18 games · goal difference -15

#	Team	P

Godoy Cruz Res.: recent fixtures

Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.

Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.

at Talleres Córdoba Res.1 Oct 2026 · Reserve League · Away1–3

at San Martín San Juan Res.25 Sept 2026 · Reserve League · Away1–0

v Banfield Res.17 Sept 2026 · Reserve League · Home3–0

at Rosario Central Res.10 Sept 2026 · Reserve League · Away3–0

Barracas Central Res.: recent fixtures

Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.

Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.

v Gimnasia Mendoza 21 Oct 2026 · Reserve League · Home0–0

at Deportivo Riestra Res.24 Sept 2026 · Reserve League · Away0–3

v Instituto Res.17 Sept 2026 · Reserve League · Home3–1

at Talleres Córdoba Res.9 Sept 2026 · Reserve League · Away1–2

Head to head

Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.

How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.

Meetings: 4
Godoy Cruz Res. wins: 2
Draws: 1
Barracas Central Res. wins: 1

Record shown: May 2022 to May 2026.

7 May 2026 · Reserve LeagueBarracas Central Res.1–0Godoy Cruz Res.

27 Jan 2023 · Reserve LeagueGodoy Cruz Res.1–1Barracas Central Res.

18 Sept 2022 · Reserve LeagueGodoy Cruz Res.2–0Barracas Central Res.

9 May 2022 · Reserve League

Form, home and away

In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.

The last 5 and 10 matches, then Godoy Cruz Res. at home and Barracas Central Res. away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.

Godoy Cruz Res.

Last 5 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 10 scored, 5 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (10)3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost · 13 scored, 12 conceded · 1.30 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Home, last 5 (5)2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost · 8 scored, 4 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (10)4 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost · 15 scored, 11 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1

Godoy Cruz Res.
Sample	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD

Team strength, attack and defence

Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.

Measure	Godoy Cruz Res.	Barracas Central Res.
League position	33rd	30th
Points per game	0.83	0.94
Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10)	1.30	0.80
Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10)	1.20	1.50
Clean sheets	4	2

Schedule and rest

Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.

Godoy Cruz Res.: 7 days since their last match (1 Oct 2026).
Barracas Central Res.: 7 days since their last match (1 Oct 2026).

Squad availability

In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.

Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.

Godoy Cruz Res.

None reported.

Barracas Central Res.

None reported.

Counter-signals

Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.

Evidence pointing the other way.

Godoy Cruz Res. sit below Barracas Central Res. in the table (33rd against 30th).

Show full table

1st Vélez Sársfield Res.47 points from 20 games · goal difference +29
2nd Boca Juniors Res.39 points from 20 games · goal difference +24
3rd Racing Club Res.39 points from 21 games · goal difference +7
4th River Plate Res.37 points from 21 games · goal difference +9
5th Independiente Res.36 points from 19 games · goal difference +19
6th Lanús Res.35 points from 19 games · goal difference +13
7th Newell's Old Boys Res.34 points from 19 games · goal difference +9
8th Quilmes 233 points from 18 games · goal difference +8
9th Defensa y Justicia Res.32 points from 18 games · goal difference +14
10th Atlético Tucumán Res.30 points from 19 games · goal difference -2
11th Unión Santa Fe Res.29 points from 18 games · goal difference +4
12th Estudiantes La Plata Res28 points from 18 games · goal difference +9
13th Argentinos Juniors Res.28 points from 18 games · goal difference +6
14th Belgrano Córdoba Res.27 points from 18 games · goal difference -2
15th Talleres Córdoba Res.26 points from 18 games · goal difference +6
16th Huracán Res.26 points from 18 games · goal difference +6
17th Rosario Central Res.26 points from 18 games · goal difference +3
18th Platense Res.26 points from 18 games · goal difference -3
19th Deportivo Riestra Res.25 points from 18 games · goal difference +7
20th Independiente Riva. Res.24 points from 18 games · goal difference 0
21st Instituto Res.24 points from 18 games · goal difference -1
22nd San Lorenzo Res.24 points from 18 games · goal difference -2
23rd Gimnasia La Plata Res.23 points from 18 games · goal difference +2
24th Gimnasia Mendoza 223 points from 18 games · goal difference -3
25th Banfield Res.23 points from 18 games · goal difference -4
26th Ferro 222 points from 18 games · goal difference -3
27th Central Córdoba SdE Res.19 points from 18 games · goal difference -12
28th Colón Res.18 points from 18 games · goal difference -8
29th Aldosivi Res.18 points from 18 games · goal difference -11
30th Barracas Central Res.17 points from 18 games · goal difference -13
31st Sarmiento Res.16 points from 18 games · goal difference -10
32nd Tigre Res.16 points from 18 games · goal difference -10
33rd Godoy Cruz Res.15 points from 18 games · goal difference -10
34th Atl. Rafaela 212 points from 18 games · goal difference -15
35th Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 211 points from 18 games · goal difference -23
36th San Martín San Juan Res.8 points from 18 games · goal difference -43

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42	13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36	12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33	26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.

Last 5 (5)	5	3	1	1	10	5	+5	10	2.00	3	0
Last 10 (10)	10	3	4	3	13	12	+1	13	1.30	4	2
Home, last 5 (5)	5	2	3	0	8	4	+4	9	1.80	2	0
Home, last 10 (10)	10	4	4	2	15	11	+4	16	1.60	3	1

Barracas Central Res.

Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 8 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 3
Last 10 (10)1 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost · 8 scored, 15 conceded · 0.70 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 5
Away, last 5 (5)0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 3 scored, 12 conceded · 0.20 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
Away, last 10 (9)0 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost · 6 scored, 20 conceded · 0.22 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 5

Barracas Central Res.
Sample	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG	CS	FTS
Last 5 (5)	5	1	1	3	4	8	-4	4	0.80	1	3
Last 10 (10)	10	1	4	5	8	15	-7	7	0.70	2	5
Away, last 5 (5)	5	0	1	4	3	12	-9	1	0.20	0	3
Away, last 10 (9)	9	0	2	7	6	20	-14	2	0.22	1	5

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.

Our model's chances

Picks for Thursday 8 October

Other picks (22)

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

Key numbers

Key factors

League context

Godoy Cruz Res.: recent fixtures

Barracas Central Res.: recent fixtures

Head to head

Form, home and away

Godoy Cruz Res.

Team strength, attack and defence

Schedule and rest

Squad availability

Godoy Cruz Res.

Barracas Central Res.

Counter-signals

Barracas Central Res.

29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17	28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11	24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16	26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15	25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20	30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21	36	-15	12

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.Godoy Cruz Res.HomevBarracas Central Res.AwayGodoy Cruz Res.HomevBarracas Central Res.Away

Our model's chances

Picks for Thursday 8 October

Other picks (22)

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.Godoy Cruz Res.HomevBarracas Central Res.AwayGodoy Cruz Res.HomevBarracas Central Res.Away

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

Key numbers

Key factors

League context

Godoy Cruz Res.: recent fixtures

Barracas Central Res.: recent fixtures

Head to head

Form, home and away

Godoy Cruz Res.

Team strength, attack and defence

Schedule and rest

Squad availability

Godoy Cruz Res.

Barracas Central Res.

Counter-signals

Barracas Central Res.

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.

Godoy Cruz Res. v Barracas Central Res.