Final score Hapoel Herzliya 0, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Hapoel Herzliya win 47%, Draw 28%, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win 25%.
47%
Hapoel Herzliya win
28%
Draw
25%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win
What the data says
Hapoel Herzliya host Hapoel Mahane Yehuda in the Liga Alef, Israel.
Our model gives Hapoel Herzliya a 47% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 25%.
The model expects Hapoel Herzliya to score 1.5 goals and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 1.1.
Hapoel Herzliya have won 3 of their last 5 league matches; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have won 0 of 5.
Top factors
Hapoel Herzliya have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2 from 5.
At home, Hapoel Herzliya have taken 8 points from their last 5; away, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have taken 2 from their last 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 8 Oct, 00:17 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Hapoel Herzliya win
47% · price 1.75
Picks for Thursday 8 October
Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
LLostat Hapoel Hod HaSharon5 Jan 2025 · State Cup · Away1–5
LLostat Agudat Sport Ashdod11 Nov 2024 · State Cup · Away0–1
WWonat Hapoel Kiryat Ono8 Oct 2024 · State Cup · Away2–1
WWonv Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel24 Sept 2024 · State Cup · Home3–1
WWonat Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla6 Sept 2024 · State Cup · Away4–2
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Hapoel Herzliya at home and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Hapoel Herzliya
Last 5 (5)3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 2.20 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Last 10 (10)3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost · 8 scored, 10 conceded · 1.30 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 5
Home, last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 8 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 8 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Hapoel Herzliya
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
3
2
0
6
2
+4
11
2.20
3
2
Last 10 (10)
10
3
4
3
8
10
-2
13
1.30
4
5
Home, last 5 (5)
5
2
2
1
7
8
-1
8
1.60
1
0
Home, last 10 (5)
5
2
2
1
7
8
-1
8
1.60
1
0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Last 5 (5)0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 8 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Last 10 (10)3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost · 14 scored, 18 conceded · 1.10 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
Away, last 5 (5)0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 3 scored, 10 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Away, last 10 (10)4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 18 scored, 17 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
0
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
League position
–
–
Points per game
1.30
1.10
Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10)
0.80
1.40
Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10)
1.00
1.80
Clean sheets
4
0
Points per game from the last 10 matches (no league table).
Schedule and rest
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
Hapoel Herzliya: 8 days since their last match (30 Sept 2026).
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: 8 days since their last match (30 Sept 2026).
Squad availability
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Hapoel Herzliya
None reported.
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
None reported.
Show last 12 matchesShowing 12
DDrewv Hapoel Ramat HaSharon23 Jan 2026 · Liga Alef · Home1–1
WWonat Kfar Saba 192816 Jan 2026 · Liga Alef · Away3–1
Show last 20 matchesShowing 20
LLostat Maccabi Ironi Amishav PT6 Feb 2024 · State Cup · Away2–3
LLostv Hapoel Ramat Gan9 Jan 2024 · State Cup · Home0–5
WWonat Beitar Kfar Saba26 Dec 2023 · State Cup · Away4–0
WWonv Hapoel Azor19 Sept 2023 · State Cup · Home2–1
WWonat Sporting Tel Aviv14 Sept 2023 · State Cup · Away3–1
WWonv Beitar Ramat Gan7 Sept 2023 · State Cup · Home1–0
LLostv Tzeirey Tira30 Aug 2022 · State Cup · Home0–1
LLostat Otzma Holon30 Aug 2019 · State Cup · Away0–2
LLostat Hapoel Azor24 Apr 2019 · Liga Alef · Away3–5