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MC Oran vs ES Setif prediction, Thursday 8 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Thu 15:00 EDT · Algeria - Ligue 1
MC Oran v ES Setif Home v Away Home v Away Final score MC Oran 0, ES Setif 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: MC Oran win 59%, Draw 26%, ES Setif win 15%.
MC Oran host ES Setif in the Ligue 1, Algeria.
Our model gives MC Oran a 59% chance of winning, a draw 26% and ES Setif 15%.
The model expects MC Oran to score 1.6 goals and ES Setif 0.6.
Top factors MC Oran sit 4th with 6 points; ES Setif sit 8th with 3 points. MC Oran have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; ES Setif 9 from 5. At home, MC Oran have taken 13 points from their last 5; away, ES Setif have taken 3 from their last 5. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 8 Oct, 00:19 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Picks for Thursday 8 October Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
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USA, USL League One (1)
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World, Friendlies Women (1)
Market
All markets Home win (8) Away win (2) Over 1.5 goals (31) Over 2.5 goals (1) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.18
CCH Corpus Christi FWA Fort Wayne 1 3
Wed 20:30 EDT · USA - USL League One
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
SKA Shakhter Karagandy AON Akademiya Ontustik 2 0
06:00 EDT · Kazakhstan - 1. Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Price when published 1.16
RFA Respublika FA YAY Yaypan 2 1
06:30 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
KAT Kattaqurgon MET Metalourg
07:00 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
IWX India W RWX Russia W 0 4
08:00 EDT · World - Friendlies Women
See the match win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Price when published 1.07
ARA Aral QIZ Qiziriq
09:00 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
HAY Hayq PYU Pyunik II
09:00 EDT · Armenia - First League
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
AWX Alingsås W EWX Elfsborg W 0 3
12:30 EDT · Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
EWX Enskede W BWX Brommapojkarna W 1 2
13:00 EDT · Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.21
TIR Tira INE Ironi Nesher 2 1
13:00 EDT · Israel - Liga Alef
See the match Atlético Mineiro U20 win
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
AMI Atlético Mineiro U20 MGX Athletic Club MG U20 2 1
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 59%
Price when published 1.51
GRE Grêmio U20 OPR Operário PR U20 1 3
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
CRU Cruzeiro U20 GOI Goiás U20 1 2
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
CSA CSA U20 SCR Santa Cruz AC U20 0 0
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match Belgrano Córdoba Res. win
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
BCO Belgrano Córdoba Res. SMS San Martín San Juan Res. 3 2
14:00 EDT · Argentina - Reserve League
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.24
TXA Txantrea COR Cortes 0 0
14:00 EDT · Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.25
UMO UCV Moquegua CIE Cienciano 0 2
14:00 EDT · Peru - Primera División
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.18
AAN Al Ansar AHI Al Hikma 2 1
14:45 EDT · Lebanon - Premier League
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
FLA Flamengo U20 VGA Vasco da Gama U20 2 2
15:30 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
SPA São Paulo U20 APR Athletico PR U20 3 1
16:30 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match Other picks (22) Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
17 of 22 picks won among these
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.28
UMA UNAN Managua RES Real Estelí 1 0
Wed 20:00 EDT · Nicaragua - Primera Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
YSE Yelimay Semey 2 ARY Arys 2 3
06:00 EDT · Kazakhstan - 1. Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
WGE WIT Georgia GON Gonio 2 0
07:00 EDT · Georgia - Liga 3
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
SBA Səbail KAR Karvan 1 1
07:30 EDT · Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
OZG Ozgon DBI Dordoi Bishkek 3 2
09:00 EDT · Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
ALG Alga ASI Asiagoal 3 2
09:00 EDT · Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the match Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
ROS Rosenborg U19 LMX Lillestrøm U19 2 1
09:00 EDT · Norway - Nasjonal U19 Champions League
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
GAZ Gazalkent PAK Pakhtakor II 3 2
09:00 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · No price
BUR Burgan AJA Al Jazira 0 1
10:50 EDT · Kuwait - Division 1
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.20
HHE HJK Helsinki VPS VPS 6 0
11:00 EDT · Finland - Veikkausliiga
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 73%
Price when published 1.22
HIK Hapoel Ironi Karmiel HTH Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1 0
11:00 EDT · Israel - Liga Alef
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.21
HYE Holon Yermiyahu NJE Nordia Jerusalem 5 0
12:40 EDT · Israel - Liga Alef
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
CCL CFR 1907 Cluj UCL Universitatea Cluj 1 3
13:30 EDT · Romania - Liga I
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.19
VAN Vänersborgs FK KUM Kumla 3 3
13:30 EDT · Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
REB River Ebro PRA Pradejón 1 2
14:00 EDT · Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
PIC Picuiense SPB Sport PB 1 3
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 77%
Price when published 1.20
SRO Shamrock Rovers DRO Drogheda United 3 1
15:00 EDT · Ireland - Premier Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.30
BTH Bentín Tacna Heroica CAM Carlos A. Mannucci 0 0
16:00 EDT · Peru - Segunda División
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 72%
Price when published 1.29
DEP Depor FC RCA Real Cartagena 2 2
16:30 EDT · Colombia - Primera B
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
SAN Santos FLA Flamengo 2 2
18:30 EDT · Brazil - Serie A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · No price
GUA Guarabira AES Auto Esporte 0 1
18:30 EDT · Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
FAS FAS ALI Alianza 2 1
18:30 EDT · El Salvador - Primera Division
See the match
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
MC Oran win 59% · price 1.98
ES Setif win 15% · price 3.98
Over 1.5 goals 67% · price 1.53
Over 2.5 goals 44% · price 2.60
Both teams score 44% · price 2.22
Expected goals (our model) MC Oran 1.6, ES Setif 0.6 These chances include head-to-head context at 10% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave MC Oran 62% to win.
Context only Facts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
MC Oran sit 4th with 6 points; ES Setif sit 8th with 3 points. MC Oran have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; ES Setif 9 from 5. At home, MC Oran have taken 13 points from their last 5; away, ES Setif have taken 3 from their last 5. Head-to-head context: in their last 30 meetings MC Oran won 8, ES Setif won 14 and 8 were drawn. Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue 1, before kick-off.
MC Oran sit 4th with 6 points; ES Setif sit 8th with 3. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of MC Oran; MC Oran have played 1 fewer.
3rd USM Alger 7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3 4th MC Oran 6 points from 2 games · goal difference +3 5th Ben Aknoun 6 points from 4 games · goal difference +1 7th Témouchent 4 points from 3 games · goal difference -1 8th ES Setif 3 points from 3 games · goal difference +2 9th MC Alger 3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 3 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7 4 MC Oran 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6 5 Ben Aknoun 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6 7 Témouchent 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4 8 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5 3 +2 3 9 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
Show full table Show less 1st CR Belouizdad 10 points from 4 games · goal difference +3 2nd CS Constantine 7 points from 4 games · goal difference +3 3rd USM Alger 7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3 4th MC Oran 6 points from 2 games · goal difference +3 5th Ben Aknoun 6 points from 4 games · goal difference +1 6th JS El Biar 4 points from 4 games · goal difference 0 7th Témouchent 4 points from 3 games · goal difference -1 8th ES Setif 3 points from 3 games · goal difference +2 9th MC Alger 3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2 10th JS Kabylie 3 points from 2 games · goal difference 0 11th Olympique Akbou Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
W Won at ASO Chlef 18 Sept 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 1–0
W Won v Témouchent 11 Sept 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–0
W Won v Muaither SC 28 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 3–0
D Drew v USM Alger 6 Jun 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–2
L Lost at CR Belouizdad 20 May 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 1–3
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 W Won v ASO Chlef 7 May 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 1–0
W Won at JS Kabylie 29 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 2–1
L Lost at ES Setif 17 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–3
W Won v MB Rouisset 9 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–1
W Won at CS Constantine 3 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 1–0
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
W Won v CS Constantine 19 Sept 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 5–1
L Lost at CR Belouizdad 11 Sept 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–1
L Lost v Ben Aknoun 3 Sept 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 0–1
W Won at Paradou AC 5 Jun 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 2–0
W Won v MC Alger 20 May 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 1–0
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 W Won v CR Belouizdad 16 May 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 3–1
L Lost at JS Kabylie 8 May 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 1–5
W Won v MC Oran 17 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 3–0
L Lost at Olympique Akbou 11 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–1
D Drew v Ben Aknoun 5 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 1–1
Partly in the model The model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Meetings 30
MC Oran wins 8
Draws 8
ES Setif wins 14 Record shown: November 2011 to April 2026.
Average goals 2.6 (MC Oran 1.0, ES Setif 1.5). Draws 27%, both teams scored 53%, over 2.5 goals 47%.
17 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 3–0 MC Oran
20 Nov 2025 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 0–0 ES Setif
18 Apr 2025 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–0 MC Oran
7 Nov 2024 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 1–0 ES Setif
17 May 2024 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 4–1 ES Setif
Show last 10 meetings Showing 10 29 Dec 2023 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–0 MC Oran
4 Jul 2023 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 3–1 ES Setif
29 Nov 2022 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 4–0 MC Oran
9 Apr 2022 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 0–1 MC Oran
19 Nov 2021 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 0–0 ES Setif
Show last 20 meetings Showing 20 13 Jul 2021 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 4–0 ES Setif
6 Feb 2021 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 4–1
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then MC Oran at home and ES Setif away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
MC Oran Last 5 (5) 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 5 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Last 10 (10) 7 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 15 scored, 10 conceded · 2.20 points a game · 5 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Home, last 5 (5) 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 10 scored, 3 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Home, last 10 (9) 7 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 16 scored, 6 conceded · 2.44 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 MC Oran Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10 2.00 3 0 Last 10 (10) 10 7 1 2 15 10 +5 22 2.20 5 1 Home, last 5 (5) 5 4 1 0 10 3 +7 13 2.60 3 0 Home, last 10 (9) 9 7 1 1 16 6 +10 22 2.44 4 1
ES Setif Last 5 (5) 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 8 scored, 3 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Last 10 (10) 5 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 16 scored, 11 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Away, last 5 (5) 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost · 3 scored, 9 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 3 Away, last 10 (9) 1 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost · 4 scored, 14 conceded · 0.44 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 6 ES Setif Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 3
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure MC Oran ES Setif League position 4th 8th Points per game 3.00 1.00 Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) 1.50 1.60 Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) 1.00 1.10 Clean sheets 5 3
Context only Rest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
MC Oran: 20 days since their last match (18 Sept 2026). ES Setif: 19 days since their last match (19 Sept 2026). In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Context only Facts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
Head-to-head context: ES Setif have won more of the last 30 meetings (14 to 8). 3 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
12th MB Rouisset 3 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
13th Khenchela 2 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
14th US Biskra 2 points from 4 games · goal difference -5
15th ASO Chlef 1 points from 3 games · goal difference -4
16th JS Saoura 1 points from 2 games · goal difference -4 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 CR Belouizdad 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10 2 CS Constantine 4 2 1 1 9 6 +3 7 3 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7 4 MC Oran 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6 5 Ben Aknoun 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6 6 JS El Biar 4 1 1 2 6 6 0 4 7 Témouchent 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4 8 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5 3 +2 3 9 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 10 JS Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 11 Olympique Akbou 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3 12 MB Rouisset 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3 13 Khenchela 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2 14 US Biskra 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2 15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1 16 JS Saoura 2 0 1 1 0 4 -4 1
Show last 19 matches Showing 19
W Won v El Bayadh 17 Mar 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–0
L Lost at JS Saoura 13 Mar 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–2
W Won v Khenchela 6 Mar 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–1
W Won at Paradou AC 27 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 2–1
W Won v MC Alger 20 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–1
D Drew at Mostaganem 7 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–0
L Lost v Olympique Akbou 3 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 0–1
L Lost at Ben Aknoun 24 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 1–2
D Drew at USM Alger 8 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 1–1
Show last 20 matches Showing 20
L Lost at USM Alger 18 Mar 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–2
L Lost at ASO Chlef 6 Mar 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–1
W Won v Mostaganem 28 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 3–0
W Won v MB Rouisset 20 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–1
L Lost at CS Constantine 13 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–2
D Drew v El Bayadh 8 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 0–0
L Lost at JS Saoura 4 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 · Away 0–1
W Won v Khenchela 23 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 4–1
D Drew at CS Constantine 16 Jan 2026 · Coupe Nationale · Away 1–1
D Drew v Paradou AC 8 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 · Home 2–2
MC Oran
8 Feb 2020 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 1–1 ES Setif
24 Aug 2019 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–1 MC Oran
17 Mar 2019 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 4–1 MC Oran
7 Oct 2018 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 0–1 ES Setif
31 Mar 2018 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 4–1 MC Oran
27 Oct 2017 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 1–2 ES Setif
6 May 2017 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 1–0 ES Setif
3 Nov 2016 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 0–0 MC Oran
Show all 30 meetings Showing 30 15 Jan 2016 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 1–2 ES Setif
15 Aug 2015 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–1 MC Oran
29 May 2015 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 2–1 ES Setif
16 Jan 2015 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–2 MC Oran
1 Feb 2014 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 0–1 ES Setif
6 Sept 2013 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–1 MC Oran
23 Feb 2013 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 4–1 MC Oran
20 Oct 2012 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 0–2 ES Setif
14 Apr 2012 · Ligue 1 ES Setif 1–1 MC Oran
22 Nov 2011 · Ligue 1 MC Oran 2–4 ES Setif
Last 10 (10) 10 5 1 4 16 11 +5 16 1.60 3 3
Away, last 5 (5) 5 1 0 4 3 9 -6 3 0.60 1 3
Away, last 10 (9) 9 1 1 7 4 14 -10 4 0.44 1 6