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Ngezi Platinum vs Highlanders prediction, Thursday 8 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Thu 09:00 EDT · Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League
Ngezi Platinum v Highlanders Home v Away Home v Away Final score Ngezi Platinum 1, Highlanders 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Ngezi Platinum win 41%, Draw 35%, Highlanders win 24%.
Ngezi Platinum host Highlanders in the Premier Soccer League, Zimbabwe.
Our model gives Ngezi Platinum a 41% chance of winning, a draw 35% and Highlanders 24%.
The model expects Ngezi Platinum to score 1.2 goals and Highlanders 0.9.
Ngezi Platinum have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Highlanders have won 1 of 6.
Top factors Ngezi Platinum sit 4th with 49 points; Highlanders sit 7th with 42 points. Ngezi Platinum have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches; Highlanders 5 from 5. At home, Ngezi Platinum have taken 7 points from their last 5; away, Highlanders have taken 5 from their last 5. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 8 Oct, 00:17 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Picks for Thursday 8 October Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
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Market
All markets Home win (8) Away win (2) Over 1.5 goals (31) Over 2.5 goals (1) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.18
CCH Corpus Christi FWA Fort Wayne 1 3
Wed 20:30 EDT · USA - USL League One
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
SKA Shakhter Karagandy AON Akademiya Ontustik 2 0
06:00 EDT · Kazakhstan - 1. Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Price when published 1.16
RFA Respublika FA YAY Yaypan 2 1
06:30 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
KAT Kattaqurgon MET Metalourg
07:00 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
IWX India W RWX Russia W 0 4
08:00 EDT · World - Friendlies Women
See the match win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Price when published 1.07
ARA Aral QIZ Qiziriq
09:00 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
HAY Hayq PYU Pyunik II
09:00 EDT · Armenia - First League
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
AWX Alingsås W EWX Elfsborg W 0 3
12:30 EDT · Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
EWX Enskede W BWX Brommapojkarna W 1 2
13:00 EDT · Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.21
TIR Tira INE Ironi Nesher 2 1
13:00 EDT · Israel - Liga Alef
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Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
AMI Atlético Mineiro U20 MGX Athletic Club MG U20 2 1
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 59%
Price when published 1.51
GRE Grêmio U20 OPR Operário PR U20 1 3
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
CRU Cruzeiro U20 GOI Goiás U20 1 2
14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
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Our model · No price
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14:00 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
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Won
win chance when published
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14:00 EDT · Argentina - Reserve League
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.24
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14:00 EDT · Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.25
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14:00 EDT · Peru - Primera División
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.18
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14:45 EDT · Lebanon - Premier League
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Our model · No price
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15:30 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the match win chance when published
Our model · No price
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16:30 EDT · Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
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17 of 22 picks won among these
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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win chance when published
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Price when published 1.28
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See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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win chance when published
Our model · No price
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06:00 EDT · Kazakhstan - 1. Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
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See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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09:00 EDT · Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the match Over 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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09:00 EDT · Norway - Nasjonal U19 Champions League
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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09:00 EDT · Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.20
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11:00 EDT · Finland - Veikkausliiga
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 73%
Price when published 1.22
HIK Hapoel Ironi Karmiel HTH Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1 0
11:00 EDT · Israel - Liga Alef
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
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See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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win chance when published
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Price when published 1.23
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win chance when published
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Price when published 1.19
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13:30 EDT · Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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14:00 EDT · Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
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14:00 EDT · Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 77%
Price when published 1.20
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15:00 EDT · Ireland - Premier Division
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.30
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16:00 EDT · Peru - Segunda División
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 72%
Price when published 1.29
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16:30 EDT · Colombia - Primera B
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
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18:30 EDT · Brazil - Serie A
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · No price
GUA Guarabira AES Auto Esporte 0 1
18:30 EDT · Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the match Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
FAS FAS ALI Alianza 2 1
18:30 EDT · El Salvador - Primera Division
See the match
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model) Ngezi Platinum 1.2, Highlanders 0.9 These chances include head-to-head context at 10% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave Ngezi Platinum 44% to win.
Context only Facts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Ngezi Platinum sit 4th with 49 points; Highlanders sit 7th with 42 points. Ngezi Platinum have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches; Highlanders 5 from 5. At home, Ngezi Platinum have taken 7 points from their last 5; away, Highlanders have taken 5 from their last 5. Head-to-head context: in their last 17 meetings Ngezi Platinum won 3, Highlanders won 5 and 9 were drawn. Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier Soccer League, before kick-off.
Ngezi Platinum sit 4th with 49 points; Highlanders sit 7th with 42. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Ngezi Platinum.
3rd Dynamos 51 points from 30 games · goal difference +18 4th Ngezi Platinum 49 points from 29 games · goal difference +10 5th Herentals 48 points from 29 games · goal difference +5 6th CAPS United 47 points from 29 games · goal difference +9 7th Highlanders 42 points from 29 games · goal difference +5 8th Chicken Inn 41 points from 29 games · goal difference -1 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 3 Dynamos 30 12 15 3 40 22 +18 51 4 Ngezi Platinum 29 12 13 4 35 25 +10 49 5 Herentals 29 14 6 9 31 26 +5 48 6 CAPS United 29 12 11 6 34 25 +9 47 7 Highlanders 29 9 15 5 26 21 +5 42 8 Chicken Inn 29 11 8 10 23 24 -1
Show full table Show less 1st Scotland Mabvuku 61 points from 29 games · goal difference +35 2nd Hardrock 60 points from 29 games · goal difference +32 3rd Dynamos 51 points from 30 games · goal difference +18 4th Ngezi Platinum 49 points from 29 games · goal difference +10 5th Herentals 48 points from 29 games · goal difference +5 6th CAPS United 47 points from 29 games · goal difference +9 7th Highlanders 42 points from 29 games · goal difference +5 8th Chicken Inn 41 points from 29 games · goal difference -1 9th MWOS 39 points from 29 games · goal difference +5 10th Platinum 39 points from 29 games · goal difference -1 11th Simba Bhora Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
D Drew at TelOne 19 Sept 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 2–2
D Drew v Hunters 5 Sept 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 0–0
W Won at Manica Diamonds 23 Aug 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 2–0
W Won at Agama 1 Aug 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–0
L Lost v Hardrock 26 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–2
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 D Drew at Triangle United 23 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–1
W Won v Herentals 18 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–0
D Drew at CAPS United 11 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–0
W Won v Chicken Inn 4 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 3–2
D Drew at Kariba 27 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–1
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
L Lost v Hardrock 19 Sept 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 0–1
D Drew at Triangle United 5 Sept 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–0
W Won v Herentals 23 Aug 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 2–0
D Drew v Chicken Inn 19 Aug 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–1
L Lost at CAPS United 2 Aug 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 2–4
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 L Lost at Kariba 22 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–1
W Won v Scotland Mabvuku 19 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–0
D Drew at Platinum 11 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–1
D Drew v Simba Bhora 5 Jul 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–1
W Won at MWOS 27 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 2–1
Partly in the model The model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Meetings 17
Ngezi Platinum wins 3
Draws 9
Highlanders wins 5 Record shown: May 2016 to May 2026.
Average goals 1.8 (Ngezi Platinum 0.8, Highlanders 0.9). Draws 53%, both teams scored 53%, over 2.5 goals 24%.
17 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 0–0 Ngezi Platinum
3 Aug 2025 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 1–1 Ngezi Platinum
21 Apr 2025 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 0–0 Highlanders
11 Aug 2024 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 1–1 Ngezi Platinum
13 Apr 2024 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 1–1 Highlanders
Show last 10 meetings Showing 10 26 Nov 2023 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 1–0 Ngezi Platinum
30 Jul 2023 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 0–1 Highlanders
3 Jul 2022 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 1–1 Highlanders
28 Nov 2021 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 0–0 Ngezi Platinum
13 Nov 2019 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 1–1 Ngezi Platinum
Show last 17 meetings Showing 17 6 Jul 2019 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 1–1 Highlanders
2 Sept 2018 · Premier Soccer League
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Ngezi Platinum at home and Highlanders away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Ngezi Platinum Last 5 (5) 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 4 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Last 10 (10) 4 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 8 conceded · 1.70 points a game · 5 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Home, last 5 (5) 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Home, last 10 (9) 5 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 12 scored, 9 conceded · 1.89 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Ngezi Platinum Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 1.60 3 1 Last 10 (10) 10 4 5 1 12 8 +4 17 1.70 5 2 Home, last 5 (5) 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7 1.40 2 2 Home, last 10 (9) 9 5 2 2 12 9 +3 17 1.89 4 2
Highlanders Last 5 (5) 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Last 10 (10) 3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost · 10 scored, 10 conceded · 1.30 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Away, last 5 (5) 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 5 scored, 7 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2 Away, last 10 (10) 3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost · 9 scored, 10 conceded · 1.30 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 4 Highlanders Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 1
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Ngezi Platinum Highlanders League position 4th 7th Points per game 1.69 1.45 Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) 1.20 1.00 Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) 0.80 1.00 Clean sheets 5 3
Context only Rest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
Ngezi Platinum: 19 days since their last match (19 Sept 2026). Highlanders: 19 days since their last match (19 Sept 2026). In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Ngezi Platinum None reported.
Highlanders None reported.
Context only Facts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
Head-to-head context: Highlanders have won more of the last 17 meetings (5 to 3). 35 points from 29 games · goal difference -1
12th Bulawayo Chiefs 31 points from 29 games · goal difference -8
13th Kariba 29 points from 29 games · goal difference -9
14th Hunters 29 points from 29 games · goal difference -12
15th Agama 25 points from 29 games · goal difference -21
16th Triangle United 24 points from 30 games · goal difference -14
17th TelOne 21 points from 29 games · goal difference -22
18th Manica Diamonds 19 points from 29 games · goal difference -30 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 Scotland Mabvuku 29 17 10 2 45 10 +35 61 2 Hardrock 29 18 6 5 51 19 +32 60 3 Dynamos 30 12 15 3 40 22 +18 51 4 Ngezi Platinum 29 12 13 4 35 25 +10 49 5 Herentals 29 14 6 9 31 26 +5 48 6 CAPS United 29 12 11 6 34 25 +9 47 7 Highlanders 29 9 15 5 26 21 +5 42 8 Chicken Inn 29 11 8 10 23 24 -1 41 9 MWOS 29 9 12 8 27 22 +5 39 10 Platinum 29 8 15 6 19 20 -1 39 11 Simba Bhora 29 8 11 10 29 30 -1 35 12 Bulawayo Chiefs 29 7 10 12 25 33 -8 31 13 Kariba 29 5 14 10 17 26 -9 29 14 Hunters 29 5 14 10 21 33 -12 29 15 Agama 29 6 7 16 17 38 -21 25 16 Triangle United 30 5 9 16 21 35 -14 24 17 TelOne 29 4 9 16 20 42 -22 21 18 Manica Diamonds 29 4 7 18 14 44 -30 19
Show last 20 matches Showing 20 L Lost v Scotland Mabvuku 20 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 0–2
W Won at Platinum 13 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 2–0
L Lost at Simba Bhora 10 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–1
W Won v MWOS 6 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–0
L Lost at Dynamos 30 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–2
W Won v Bulawayo Chiefs 23 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 4–2
D Drew at Highlanders 17 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–0
D Drew v TelOne 13 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–1
D Drew at Hunters 9 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–1
W Won v Manica Diamonds 3 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–0
Show last 20 matches Showing 20 D Drew v Dynamos 21 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–1
W Won at Bulawayo Chiefs 14 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 2–1
W Won v Agama 11 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–0
L Lost at TelOne 6 Jun 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–1
W Won v Hunters 31 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 2–1
D Drew at Manica Diamonds 24 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 0–0
D Drew v Ngezi Platinum 17 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 0–0
W Won at Hardrock 13 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–0
W Won v Triangle United 10 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Home 1–0
D Drew at Herentals 1 May 2026 · Premier Soccer League · Away 1–1
Highlanders
1–2
Ngezi Platinum
28 Apr 2018 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 1–0 Highlanders
26 Aug 2017 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 3–0 Highlanders
30 Apr 2017 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 1–0 Ngezi Platinum
25 Sept 2016 · Premier Soccer League Highlanders 2–1 Ngezi Platinum
14 May 2016 · Premier Soccer League Ngezi Platinum 1–4 Highlanders
Last 10 (10) 10 3 4 3 10 10 0 13 1.30 3 3
Away, last 5 (5) 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5 1.00 1 2
Away, last 10 (10) 10 3 4 3 9 10 -1 13 1.30 3 4