Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.18
Corpus ChristiFort Wayne13
· USA - USL League One
See the matchLoading picks…
Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.18
· USA - USL League One
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
17 of 22 picks won among these
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.28
· Nicaragua - Primera Division
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· USA - USL League One
Final score One Knoxville 3, Chattanooga Red Wolves 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: One Knoxville win 51%, Draw 27%, Chattanooga Red Wolves win 22%.
Our model · No price
· Kazakhstan - 1. Division
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Price when published 1.16
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· World - Friendlies Women
See the matchAral win
Result pending
83%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Price when published 1.07
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Armenia - First League
See the matchElfsborg W win
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the matchBrommapojkarna W win
Won
87%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.21
· Israel - Liga Alef
See the matchAtlético Mineiro U20 win
Won
85%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchGrêmio U20 win
Lost
84%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 59%
Price when published 1.51
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCruzeiro U20 win
Lost
84%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchCSA U20 win
Lost
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchBelgrano Córdoba Res. win
Won
80%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.24
· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.25
· Peru - Primera División
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.18
· Lebanon - Premier League
See the matchFlamengo U20 win
Lost
81%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchSão Paulo U20 win
Won
90%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Kazakhstan - 1. Division
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Georgia - Liga 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the matchOver 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Norway - Nasjonal U19 Champions League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Kuwait - Division 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.20
· Finland - Veikkausliiga
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 73%
Price when published 1.22
· Israel - Liga Alef
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.21
· Israel - Liga Alef
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
· Romania - Liga I
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.19
· Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 77%
Price when published 1.20
· Ireland - Premier Division
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
76%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.30
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
75%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 72%
Price when published 1.29
· Colombia - Primera B
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
· Brazil - Serie A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · No price
· El Salvador - Primera Division
See the matchOne Knoxville host Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One, USA.
Our model gives One Knoxville a 51% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Chattanooga Red Wolves 22%.
The model expects One Knoxville to score 1.5 goals and Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.0.
One Knoxville have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the USL League One, before kick-off.
One Knoxville sit 5th with 48 points; Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th with 46. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of One Knoxville.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then One Knoxville at home and Chattanooga Red Wolves away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | One Knoxville | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 7th |
| Points per game | 1.66 | 1.59 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Boise | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 39 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +23 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 29 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
One Knoxville at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Chattanooga Red Wolves away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +6 |
| 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Naples | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 23 |