Oriente Petrolero v Universitario de VintoOriente PetroleroHomevUniversitario de VintoAwayOriente PetroleroHomevUniversitario de VintoAway
Final score Oriente Petrolero 2, Universitario de Vinto 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Oriente Petrolero win 60%, Draw 23%, Universitario de Vinto win 17%.
60%
Oriente Petrolero win
23%
Draw
17%
Universitario de Vinto win
What the data says
Oriente Petrolero host Universitario de Vinto in the Copa de la División Profesional, Bolivia.
Our model gives Oriente Petrolero a 60% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Universitario de Vinto 17%.
The model expects Oriente Petrolero to score 2.1 goals and Universitario de Vinto 1.1.
Oriente Petrolero have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Universitario de Vinto have won 2 of 6.
Top factors
Oriente Petrolero have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Universitario de Vinto 7 from 5.
At home, Oriente Petrolero have taken 10 points from their last 5; away, Universitario de Vinto have taken 1 from their last 5.
Head-to-head context: in their last 11 meetings Oriente Petrolero won 3, Universitario de Vinto won 3 and 5 were drawn.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 8 Oct, 00:16 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Picks for Thursday 8 October
Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
These chances include head-to-head context at 10% weight (at most 10%). Before it, the model gave Oriente Petrolero 63% to win.
Competition context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
No league table holds both teams for this fixture, so the competition context is shown instead.
Bolivia - Copa de la División Profesional: Group Stage - 8.
Oriente Petrolero: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
LLostat Guabirá4 Oct 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away1–2
DDrewv The Strongest1 Oct 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home1–1
LLostat Universitario de Vinto27 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away0–3
WWonv Blooming20 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home3–1
WWonat Real Tomayapo17 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away2–0
Show last 10 matchesShowing 10
LLostat Real Potosí12 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away1–2
WWonv Guabirá9 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home1–0
LLostv Always Ready5 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Home1–2
WWonat Blooming30 Aug 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away3–0
DDrewat Gualberto Villarroel SJ25 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away
Universitario de Vinto: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
LLostat The Strongest3 Oct 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away2–5
WWonv Guabirá29 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home3–1
WWonv Oriente Petrolero27 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home3–0
LLostat Aurora19 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away2–4
DDrewat Blooming17 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away1–1
Show last 10 matchesShowing 10
WWonv Independiente Petrolero13 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Home3–1
LLostv The Strongest9 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home1–2
LLostat ABB4 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away0–2
DDrewv Aurora1 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Home1–1
WWonv Nacional Potosí25 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home
Head to head
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Meetings
11
Oriente Petrolero wins
3
Draws
5
Universitario de Vinto wins
3
Record shown: August 2022 to September 2026.
Average goals 2.7 (Oriente Petrolero 1.4, Universitario de Vinto 1.4). Draws 45%, both teams scored 64%, over 2.5 goals 55%.
27 Sept 2026 · Copa de la División ProfesionalUniversitario de Vinto3–0Oriente Petrolero
9 Aug 2026 · Primera DivisiónOriente Petrolero5–0Universitario de Vinto
8 Aug 2025 · Primera DivisiónUniversitario de Vinto2–1Oriente Petrolero
3 Jul 2025 · Copa de la División ProfesionalOriente Petrolero3–2Universitario de Vinto
21 May 2025 · Copa de la División ProfesionalUniversitario de Vinto1–1Oriente Petrolero
Show last 10 meetingsShowing 10
4 Apr 2025 · Primera DivisiónOriente Petrolero0–0Universitario de Vinto
21 Nov 2024 · Primera DivisiónUniversitario de Vinto4–1Oriente Petrolero
19 May 2024 · Primera DivisiónOriente Petrolero2–1Universitario de Vinto
18 Jul 2023 · Primera DivisiónOriente Petrolero1–1Universitario de Vinto
11 Feb 2023 · Primera DivisiónUniversitario de Vinto1–1Oriente Petrolero
Show last 11 meetingsShowing 11
23 Aug 2022 · Primera DivisiónOriente Petrolero0–0Universitario de Vinto
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Oriente Petrolero at home and Universitario de Vinto away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Oriente Petrolero
Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 7 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Last 10 (10)4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 16 scored, 14 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Home, last 5 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 10 scored, 4 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (8)5 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 16 scored, 5 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Oriente Petrolero
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
2
1
2
7
7
0
7
1.40
1
1
Last 10 (10)
10
4
2
4
16
14
+2
14
1.40
3
1
Home, last 5 (5)
5
3
1
1
10
4
+6
10
2.00
2
0
Home, last 10 (8)
8
5
1
2
16
5
+11
16
2.00
4
1
Universitario de Vinto
Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 11 scored, 11 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (10)4 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 18 scored, 17 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Away, last 5 (5)0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 8 scored, 16 conceded · 0.20 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Away, last 10 (10)0 won, 1 drawn, 9 lost · 11 scored, 33 conceded · 0.10 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
Universitario de Vinto
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Oriente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
League position
–
–
Points per game
1.40
1.40
Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10)
1.60
1.80
Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10)
1.40
1.70
Clean sheets
3
2
Points per game from the last 10 matches (no league table).
Schedule and rest
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
Oriente Petrolero: 3 days since their last match (4 Oct 2026).
Universitario de Vinto: 4 days since their last match (3 Oct 2026).
Squad availability
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Oriente Petrolero
None reported.
Universitario de Vinto
None reported.
3–3
Show last 20 matchesShowing 20
WWonv San Antonio Bulo Bulo22 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home4–0
LLostat The Strongest19 Aug 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away1–2
WWonat Real Oruro15 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away3–2
WWonv Universitario de Vinto9 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home5–0
LLostat Bolívar6 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away1–2
WWonv Nacional Potosí2 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home1–0
WWonat Independiente Petrolero25 Jul 2026 · Primera División · Away2–1
DDrewat Aurora19 Jul 2026 · Primera División · Away2–2
LLostat The Strongest16 Jul 2026 · Primera División · Away1–2
LLostv Blooming31 May 2026 · Primera División · Home0–1
2–0
Show last 20 matchesShowing 20
LLostat The Strongest21 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away3–4
LLostat Guabirá18 Aug 2026 · Copa de la División Profesional · Away1–2
LLostv Real Tomayapo14 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home0–1
LLostat Oriente Petrolero9 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away0–5
LLostv Real Potosí6 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home0–2
DDrewv Guabirá31 Jul 2026 · Primera División · Home1–1