Plaza Colonia vs Juventud prediction, Thursday 8 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
Plaza Colonia v JuventudHomevAwayHomevAway
Final score Plaza Colonia 0, Juventud 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Plaza Colonia win 42%, Draw 28%, Juventud win 30%.
Plaza Colonia host Juventud in the Copa Uruguay, Uruguay.
Our model gives Plaza Colonia a 42% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Juventud 30%.
The model expects Plaza Colonia to score 1.4 goals and Juventud 1.1.
Plaza Colonia have won 2 of their last 3 league matches; Juventud have won 2 of 3.
Top factors
- Plaza Colonia sit 8th with 6 points; Juventud sit 7th with 6 points.
- Plaza Colonia have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches; Juventud 6 from 3.
- At home, Plaza Colonia have taken 3 points from their last 1; away, Juventud have taken 0 from their last 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Picks for Thursday 8 October
Thursday 8 October
12 of 17 picks won
3 waiting for a result.
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.18
CCHCorpus ChristiFWAFort Wayne13
· USA - USL League One
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
SKAShakhter KaragandyAONAkademiya Ontustik20
· Kazakhstan - 1. Division
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Price when published 1.16
RFARespublika FAYAYYaypan21
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
KATKattaqurgonMETMetalourg
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
IWXIndia WRWXRussia W04
· World - Friendlies Women
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Price when published 1.07
ARAAralQIZQiziriq
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Result pending
win chance when published
Our model · No price
HAYHayqPYUPyunik II
· Armenia - First League
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
AWXAlingsås WEWXElfsborg W03
· Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
EWXEnskede WBWXBrommapojkarna W12
· Sweden - Svenska Cupen - Women
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.21
TIRTiraINEIroni Nesher21
· Israel - Liga Alef
See the matchAtlético Mineiro U20 win
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
AMIAtlético Mineiro U20MGXAthletic Club MG U2021
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 59%
Price when published 1.51
GREGrêmio U20OPROperário PR U2013
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 56%
Price when published 1.61
CRUCruzeiro U20GOIGoiás U2012
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
CSACSA U20SCRSanta Cruz AC U2000
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchBelgrano Córdoba Res. win
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
BCOBelgrano Córdoba Res.SMSSan Martín San Juan Res.32
· Argentina - Reserve League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.24
TXATxantreaCORCortes00
· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.25
UMOUCV MoqueguaCIECienciano02
· Peru - Primera División
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.18
AANAl AnsarAHIAl Hikma21
· Lebanon - Premier League
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
FLAFlamengo U20VGAVasco da Gama U2022
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchwin chance when published
Our model · No price
SPASão Paulo U20APRAthletico PR U2031
· Brazil - Copa do Brasil U20
See the matchOther picks (22)
Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all. Not in the summary above.
17 of 22 picks won among these
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.28
UMAUNAN ManaguaRESReal Estelí10
· Nicaragua - Primera Division
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
YSEYelimay Semey 2ARYArys23
· Kazakhstan - 1. Division
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
WGEWIT GeorgiaGONGonio20
· Georgia - Liga 3
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
SBASəbailKARKarvan11
· Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
OZGOzgonDBIDordoi Bishkek32
· Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
ALGAlgaASIAsiagoal32
· Kyrgyzstan - Premier League
See the matchOver 2.5 goals: 3 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
ROSRosenborg U19LMXLillestrøm U1921
· Norway - Nasjonal U19 Champions League
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
GAZGazalkentPAKPakhtakor II32
· Uzbekistan - Pro League A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · No price
BURBurganAJAAl Jazira01
· Kuwait - Division 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.20
HHEHJK HelsinkiVPSVPS60
· Finland - Veikkausliiga
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 73%
Price when published 1.22
HIKHapoel Ironi KarmielHTHHapoel Tirat HaCarmel10
· Israel - Liga Alef
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Price when published 1.21
HYEHolon YermiyahuNJENordia Jerusalem50
· Israel - Liga Alef
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
CCLCFR 1907 ClujUCLUniversitatea Cluj13
· Romania - Liga I
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 78%
Price when published 1.19
VANVänersborgs FKKUMKumla33
· Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
REBRiver EbroPRAPradejón12
· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
PICPicuienseSPBSport PB13
· Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 77%
Price when published 1.20
SROShamrock RoversDRODrogheda United31
· Ireland - Premier Division
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Price when published 1.30
BTHBentín Tacna HeroicaCAMCarlos A. Mannucci00
· Peru - Segunda División
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 72%
Price when published 1.29
DEPDepor FCRCAReal Cartagena22
· Colombia - Primera B
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 76%
Price when published 1.23
SANSantosFLAFlamengo22
· Brazil - Serie A
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Lost
win chance when published
Our model · No price
GUAGuarabiraAESAuto Esporte01
· Brazil - Paraibano 2
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · No price
FASFASALIAlianza21
· El Salvador - Primera Division
See the matchExpected goals (our model)Plaza Colonia 1.4, Juventud 1.1 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Copa Uruguay, before kick-off.
Plaza Colonia sit 8th with 6 points; Juventud sit 7th with 6. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 6th Cerrito6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Juventud6 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Plaza Colonia6 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Penarol5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 6 | Cerrito | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Juventud | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Penarol | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Deportivo Maldonado9 points from 3 games · goal difference +6
- 2nd Boston River9 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 3rd Central Espanol7 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 4th Club Nacional7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 5th Liverpool Montevideo6 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 6th Cerrito6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Juventud6 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Plaza Colonia6 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Penarol5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 10th Albion FC5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Atletico Torque
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Defensor Sporting30 Sept 2026 · Copa Uruguay · Away1–0
LLostat Rentistas16 Sept 2026 · Copa Uruguay · Away1–2
WWonv Cerro Largo26 Aug 2026 · Copa Uruguay · Home2–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Racing Montevideo17 Sept 2026 · Copa Uruguay · Home3–0
LLostat Central Espanol2 Sept 2026 · Copa Uruguay · Away0–3
WWonv Oriental26 Aug 2026 · Copa Uruguay · Home1–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Plaza Colonia at home and Juventud away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Plaza Colonia
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 3 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 3 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Plaza Colonia| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Juventud
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 3 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 3 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 3 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 3 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Juventud| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 |
|---|
Plaza Colonia at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Juventud away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Plaza Colonia | Juventud |
|---|
| League position | 8th | 7th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.33 | 1.33 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Plaza Colonia
None reported.
4 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
12th CA River Plate4 points from 3 games · goal difference +113th Cerro Largo4 points from 3 games · goal difference 014th Rentistas4 points from 3 games · goal difference 015th Danubio4 points from 3 games · goal difference -116th Racing Montevideo3 points from 3 games · goal difference -417th Atenas2 points from 3 games · goal difference -118th Defensor Sporting2 points from 3 games · goal difference -119th Oriental1 points from 3 games · goal difference -220th Fenix1 points from 3 games · goal difference -321st Cerro1 points from 3 games · goal difference -322nd Colón1 points from 3 games · goal difference -523rd Wanderers1 points from 3 games · goal difference -524th Progreso0 points from 3 games · goal difference -4| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Boston River | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Espanol | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Liverpool Montevideo | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerrito | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Juventud | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Penarol | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Atletico Torque | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 4 |
| 12 | CA River Plate | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Rentistas | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Danubio | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Atenas | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Defensor Sporting | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Oriental | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenix | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Cerro | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 22 | Colón | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Wanderers | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 24 | Progreso | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 0 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|