Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
· Costa Rica - Liga de Ascenso
Final score AD Carmelita 0, Guadalupe FC 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: AD Carmelita win 40%, Draw 27%, Guadalupe FC win 33%.
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
AD Carmelita host Guadalupe FC in the Liga de Ascenso, Costa Rica.
Our model gives AD Carmelita a 40% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Guadalupe FC 33%.
The model expects AD Carmelita to score 1.4 goals and Guadalupe FC 1.3.
AD Carmelita have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Guadalupe FC have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga de Ascenso, before kick-off.
AD Carmelita sit 6th with 15 points; Guadalupe FC sit 10th with 9. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of AD Carmelita.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then AD Carmelita at home and Guadalupe FC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | AD Carmelita | Guadalupe FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 10th |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | Quepos Cambute | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 16 |
| 6 | AD Carmelita | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 7 | Municipal Grecia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | AD Sarchí | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Guadalupe FC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | CS Uruguay | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 17 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 27 |
| 2 | ADR Jicaral | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Santa Ana | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 21 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 10 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 | 2.00 | 3 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 10 | 1.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6 | 1.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6 | 1.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 5 | 0.83 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
AD Carmelita at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Guadalupe FC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +5 |
| 19 |
| 5 | Quepos Cambute | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 16 |
| 6 | AD Carmelita | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 7 | Municipal Grecia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Cariari Pococi | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | AD Sarchí | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Guadalupe FC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | CS Uruguay | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Futbol Consultants Moravia | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | AD Cofutpa | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 4 |