· Germany - Bundesliga
Union Berlin v SV Elversberg
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Union Berlin win 47%, Draw 22%, SV Elversberg win 31%.
Why this pick
Union Berlin host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga, Germany.
Our model gives an 83% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 82%.
The model expects Union Berlin to score 1.9 goals and SV Elversberg 1.5.
4 of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had two or more goals; 3 of SV Elversberg's last 4 did.
Top factors
- At home, Union Berlin have scored 2.2 goals a game and conceded 2.8 in their last 5 home matches.
- Away, SV Elversberg have scored 1.8 goals a game and conceded 1.4 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sat 10 Oct, 01:24 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sat 10 Oct, 00:30 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.