Know the chances before you stake.
18+ only. Chances are estimates, not guarantees.
Help and legal
We never sell tips, never ask for payment, and never contact you on WhatsApp or Telegram. Anyone who does is not us.
Data provided by API-SPORTS.
Made with
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GEN Genoa L L W D L FIO Fiorentina D W W
Manchester United vs Tottenham prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
L
L
09:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUG FC Augsburg D L D W W BMU Bayern München W W W D W
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF 1899 Hoffenheim L L W L L HAM Hamburger SV W W L L L
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PAD SC Paderborn 07 W W L L D VST VfB Stuttgart W W L L W
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBE Union Berlin W L L L D ELV SV Elversberg L D L W W
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMA FSV Mainz 05 W W L W D BLE Bayer Leverkusen W W D W L
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHE Chelsea L D W L W BOU Bournemouth L W D W D
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MID Middlesbrough D D W L W WOL Wolves W L W D L
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PRE Preston D L L W L MIL Millwall D D L L W
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RAN Rangers W W W W W KIL Kilmarnock D W D D L
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALA Alaves D L L W W AMA Atletico Madrid W W W L L
Last 5 games
10:15 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAE GO Ahead Eagles D D D L W SRO Sparta Rotterdam L L D L D
Last 5 games
10:30 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Starting later (8) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INT Inter W D W L W PAR Parma W L D L L
Last 5 games
12:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLE RB Leipzig L W L L W EFR Eintracht Frankfurt W D W L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MAN Manchester United D L L W D TOT Tottenham L L D D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEY Feyenoord W W L W D AAL AZ Alkmaar W L D W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MAR Maritimo D L L L D POR FC Porto W W W L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSI Fortuna Sittard W W L W W TWE Twente W W W W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJA Ajax D W W L W NNI NEC Nijmegen D L L D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMA Real Madrid L W W W L VIL Villarreal W W L L
Back to today's picks
Sat 12:30 EDT · England - Premier League
Manchester United v Tottenham Home v Away Home v Away Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
Add to slip
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Manchester United win 52%, Draw 23%, Tottenham win 24%.
Manchester United host Tottenham in the Premier League, England.
Our model gives a 78% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 83%.
The model expects Manchester United to score 1.8 goals and Tottenham 1.1.
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals; 3 of Tottenham's last 5 did.
Top factors At home, Manchester United have scored 2.6 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 home matches. Away, Tottenham have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 1.4 in their last 5 away matches. The published pick of Over 1.5 goals is supported by Manchester United's recent form, having had two or more goals in each of their last three away matches. Additionally, Manchester United's expected goals, with an estimate of 1.8, suggest a higher likelihood of goals being scored. Tottenham's expected goals, with an estimate of 1.1, also indicate a potential for goals to be scored.
A 78% chance still means this pick loses about 1 time in 5.
Taken together, the numbers point to goals in this match: a 78% win chance for Over 1.5 goals.
Summary written by AI from the statistics above.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sat 10 Oct, 01:24 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sat 10 Oct, 01:23 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. D
12:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
L
12:30 EDT · England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
W
12:45 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
W
13:00 EDT · Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
14:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
L
15:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
15:00 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Manchester United win 52% · price 1.72
Tottenham win 24% · price 4.42
Over 1.5 goals 78% · price 1.12
Over 2.5 goals 57% · price 1.48
Both teams score 54% · price 1.50
Expected goals (our model) Manchester United 1.8, Tottenham 1.1 Context only Facts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Manchester United sit 12th with 5 points; Tottenham sit 20th with 2 points. Manchester United have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Tottenham 2 from 5. At home, Manchester United have taken 6 points from their last 5; away, Tottenham have taken 7 from their last 5. Head-to-head context: in their last 36 meetings Manchester United won 16, Tottenham won 12 and 8 were drawn. Manchester United have 9 players out or doubtful; Tottenham have 6. Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Manchester United sit 12th with 5 points; Tottenham sit 20th with 2. A gap of 6 in goal difference, in favour of Manchester United.
11th Ipswich 6 points from 5 games · goal difference -4 12th Manchester United 5 points from 5 games · goal difference 0 13th Nottingham Forest 5 points from 5 games · goal difference -1 19th Fulham 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -3 20th Tottenham 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -6 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7 11 -4 6 12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5 13 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5 19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2 20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
Show full table Show less 1st Manchester City 15 points from 5 games · goal difference +8 2nd Arsenal 12 points from 5 games · goal difference +4 3rd Brighton 10 points from 5 games · goal difference +11 4th Brentford 9 points from 5 games · goal difference +6 5th Leeds 9 points from 5 games · goal difference +4 6th Liverpool 9 points from 5 games · goal difference +3 7th Everton 9 points from 5 games · goal difference +3 8th Hull City 8 points from 5 games · goal difference +2 9th Newcastle 8 points from 5 games · goal difference 0 10th Chelsea 7 points from 5 games · goal difference -2 11th Ipswich 6 points from 5 games · goal difference -4 Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
D Drew at Fulham 20 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Away 1–1
L Lost v Brighton 16 Sept 2026 · League Cup · Home 2–3
L Lost v Manchester City 13 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Home 0–1
W Won v Sabah FA 10 Sept 2026 · UEFA Champions League · Home 4–0
D Drew at Everton 6 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Away 2–2
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 W Won v Ipswich 30 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Home 5–2
L Lost at Hull City 22 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Away 0–2
L Lost v AC Milan 15 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 2–4
D Drew v Leeds 12 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 1–1
D Drew at Paris Saint Germain 8 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 1–1
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
L Lost v Aston Villa 19 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Home 2–3
L Lost at Liverpool 15 Sept 2026 · League Cup · Away 1–3
D Drew v Everton 12 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Home 0–0
D Drew at Nottingham Forest 5 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Away 0–0
L Lost v Newcastle 29 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Home 0–2
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 W Won v Charlton 26 Aug 2026 · League Cup · Home 5–1
L Lost at Brentford 22 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Away 0–3
D Drew v 1899 Hoffenheim 16 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 2–2
W Won v 1899 Hoffenheim 15 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 3–0
D Drew v Getafe 8 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 1–1
Partly in the model The model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Meetings 36
Manchester United wins 16
Draws 8
Tottenham wins 12 Record shown: October 2010 to February 2026.
Average goals 2.8 (Manchester United 1.4, Tottenham 1.4). Draws 22%, both teams scored 47%, over 2.5 goals 58%.
7 Feb 2026 · Premier League Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham
8 Nov 2025 · Premier League Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United
21 May 2025 · UEFA Europa League Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United
16 Feb 2025 · Premier League Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United
19 Dec 2024 · League Cup Tottenham 4–3 Manchester United
Show last 10 meetings Showing 10 29 Sept 2024 · Premier League Manchester United 0–3 Tottenham
14 Jan 2024 · Premier League Manchester United 2–2 Tottenham
19 Aug 2023 · Premier League Tottenham 2–0 Manchester United
27 Apr 2023 · Premier League Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United
19 Oct 2022 · Premier League Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham
Show last 20 meetings Showing 20 12 Mar 2022 · Premier League Manchester United 3–2 Tottenham
30 Oct 2021 · Premier League
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Manchester United at home and Tottenham away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Manchester United Last 5 (5) 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 7 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Last 10 (10) 2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost · 18 scored, 17 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2 Home, last 5 (5) 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 13 scored, 10 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Home, last 10 (10) 5 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 22 scored, 17 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2 Manchester United Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 1 2 2 9 7 +2 5 1.00 1 1 Last 10 (10) 10 2 4 4 18 17 +1 10 1.00 1 2 Home, last 5 (5) 5 2 0 3 13 10 +3 6 1.20 1 1 Home, last 10 (10) 10 5 1 4 22 17 +5 16 1.60 1 2
Tottenham Last 5 (5) 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 3 scored, 8 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Last 10 (10) 2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost · 14 scored, 15 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 4 Away, last 5 (5) 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 5 scored, 7 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Away, last 10 (8) 4 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 9 scored, 10 conceded · 1.63 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Tottenham Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 0
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Manchester United Tottenham League position 12th 20th Points per game 1.00 0.40 Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) 1.80 1.40 Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) 1.70 1.50 Clean sheets 1 3
Context only Rest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
Manchester United: 20 days since their last match (20 Sept 2026). Tottenham: 21 days since their last match (19 Sept 2026). In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Manchester United M. Ugarte · out, knee injury M. de Ligt · out, back injury K. Darlow · doubtful, injury A. Diallo · doubtful, injury P. Dorgu · doubtful, hamstring injury T. Heaton · doubtful, abdominal strain K. Mainoo · doubtful, injury N. Mazraoui · doubtful, injury B. Sesko · doubtful, leg injury Tottenham M. Mudryk · out, ankle injury W. Odobert · out, knee injury P. Porro · out, muscle injury X. Simons · out, knee injury D. Kulusevski · doubtful, knee injury M. van de Ven · doubtful, wrist injury Context only Facts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
Manchester United have 9 players out or doubtful, Tottenham 6.
12th Manchester United 5 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
13th Nottingham Forest 5 points from 5 games · goal difference -1
14th Sunderland 4 points from 5 games · goal difference -4
15th Crystal Palace 4 points from 5 games · goal difference -5
16th Aston Villa 4 points from 5 games · goal difference -5
17th Bournemouth 3 points from 5 games · goal difference -2
18th Coventry 3 points from 5 games · goal difference -9
19th Fulham 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
20th Tottenham 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -6 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13 5 +8 15 2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12 3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16 5 +11 10 4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10 4 +6 9 5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9 6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9 7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9 8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 9 Newcastle 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8 10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10 12 -2 7 11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7 11 -4 6 12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5 13 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5 14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4 15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6 11 -5 4 16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4 17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3 18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1 10 -9 3 19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2 20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
Show last 20 matches Showing 20 W Won v Atletico Madrid 1 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 2–1
W Won at Rosenborg 24 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 5–0
L Lost v Wrexham 18 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 0–1
W Won at Brighton 24 May 2026 · Premier League · Away 3–0
W Won v Nottingham Forest 17 May 2026 · Premier League · Home 3–2
D Drew at Sunderland 9 May 2026 · Premier League · Away 0–0
W Won v Liverpool 3 May 2026 · Premier League · Home 3–2
W Won v Brentford 27 Apr 2026 · Premier League · Home 2–1
W Won at Chelsea 18 Apr 2026 · Premier League · Away 1–0
L Lost v Leeds 13 Apr 2026 · Premier League · Home 1–2
Show last 20 matches Showing 20 W Won at Chelsea 1 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 2–1
D Drew v Sydney 29 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 1–1
W Won at Auckland 26 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 2–0
W Won v Milton Keynes Dons 22 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 1–0
W Won v Everton 24 May 2026 · Premier League · Home 1–0
L Lost at Chelsea 19 May 2026 · Premier League · Away 1–2
D Drew v Leeds 11 May 2026 · Premier League · Home 1–1
W Won at Aston Villa 3 May 2026 · Premier League · Away 2–1
W Won at Wolves 25 Apr 2026 · Premier League · Away 1–0
D Drew v Brighton 18 Apr 2026 · Premier League · Home 2–2
Tottenham
0–3
Manchester United
11 Apr 2021 · Premier League Tottenham 1–3 Manchester United
4 Oct 2020 · Premier League Manchester United 1–6 Tottenham
19 Jun 2020 · Premier League Tottenham 1–1 Manchester United
4 Dec 2019 · Premier League Manchester United 2–1 Tottenham
25 Jul 2019 · International Champions Cup Tottenham 1–2 Manchester United
13 Jan 2019 · Premier League Tottenham 0–1 Manchester United
27 Aug 2018 · Premier League Manchester United 0–3 Tottenham
21 Apr 2018 · FA Cup Manchester United 2–1 Tottenham
Show all 36 meetings Showing 36 31 Jan 2018 · Premier League Tottenham 2–0 Manchester United
28 Oct 2017 · Premier League Manchester United 1–0 Tottenham
14 May 2017 · Premier League Tottenham 2–1 Manchester United
11 Dec 2016 · Premier League Manchester United 1–0 Tottenham
10 Apr 2016 · Premier League Tottenham 3–0 Manchester United
8 Aug 2015 · Premier League Manchester United 1–0 Tottenham
15 Mar 2015 · Premier League Manchester United 3–0 Tottenham
28 Dec 2014 · Premier League Tottenham 0–0 Manchester United
1 Jan 2014 · Premier League Manchester United 1–2 Tottenham
1 Dec 2013 · Premier League Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United
20 Jan 2013 · Premier League Tottenham 1–1 Manchester United
29 Sept 2012 · Premier League Manchester United 2–3 Tottenham
4 Mar 2012 · Premier League Tottenham 1–3 Manchester United
22 Aug 2011 · Premier League Manchester United 3–0 Tottenham
16 Jan 2011 · Premier League Tottenham 0–0 Manchester United
30 Oct 2010 · Premier League Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham
Last 10 (10) 10 2 4 4 14 15 -1 10 1.00 3 4
Away, last 5 (5) 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7 1.40 2 2
Away, last 10 (8) 8 4 1 3 9 10 -1 13 1.63 3 2