Know the chances before you stake.
18+ only. Chances are estimates, not guarantees.
Help and legal
We never sell tips, never ask for payment, and never contact you on WhatsApp or Telegram. Anyone who does is not us.
Data provided by API-SPORTS.
Made with
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Sat 14:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard v Twente Home v Away Home v Away Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
Add to slip
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Fortuna Sittard win 22%, Draw 19%, Twente win 59%.
Fortuna Sittard host Twente in the Eredivisie, Netherlands.
Our model gives an 85% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 86%.
The model expects Fortuna Sittard to score 1.3 goals and Twente 2.4.
5 of Fortuna Sittard's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of Twente's last 6 did.
Top factors At home, Fortuna Sittard have scored 1.6 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 home matches. Away, Twente have scored 2.2 goals a game and conceded 1.6 in their last 5 away matches. The published pick of Over 1.5 goals in the match is supported by Fortuna Sittard's recent form, having had two or more goals in each of their last three home matches, and their run of winning in each of their last three away matches. This trend is also evident in Twente's recent performances, having won in each of their last four home matches. Furthermore, Twente's expected goals in the match, estimated at 2.4 for Twente and 1.3 for Fortuna Sittard, suggest a high-scoring encounter. An 85% chance still means this pick loses about 1 time in 7. Taken together, the numbers point to goals in this match: a 85% win chance for Over 1.5 goals.
Summary written by AI from the statistics above.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sat 10 Oct, 01:24 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sat 10 Oct, 01:23 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Fortuna Sittard win 22% · price 6.21
Twente win 59% · price 1.42
Over 1.5 goals 85% · price 1.09
Over 2.5 goals 67% · price 1.36
Both teams score 58% · price 1.51
Expected goals (our model) Fortuna Sittard 1.3, Twente 2.4 Context only Facts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Fortuna Sittard sit 6th with 13 points; Twente sit 4th with 16 points. Fortuna Sittard have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Twente 13 from 5. At home, Fortuna Sittard have taken 9 points from their last 5; away, Twente have taken 8 from their last 5. Head-to-head context: in their last 14 meetings Fortuna Sittard won 3, Twente won 10 and 1 was drawn. Fortuna Sittard have 3 players out or doubtful; Twente have 1. Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Eredivisie, before kick-off.
Fortuna Sittard sit 6th with 13 points; Twente sit 4th with 16. A gap of 9 in goal difference, in favour of Twente.
3rd Feyenoord 17 points from 7 games · goal difference +18 4th Twente 16 points from 7 games · goal difference +8 5th Ajax 14 points from 7 games · goal difference +12 6th Fortuna Sittard 13 points from 7 games · goal difference -1 7th Excelsior 11 points from 7 games · goal difference +6 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 3 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25 7 +18 17 4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15 7 +8 16 5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21 9 +12 14 6 Fortuna Sittard 7 4 1 2 13 14 -1 13 7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15 9 +6 11
Show full table Show less 1st AZ Alkmaar 19 points from 7 games · goal difference +12 2nd PSV Eindhoven 19 points from 8 games · goal difference +16 3rd Feyenoord 17 points from 7 games · goal difference +18 4th Twente 16 points from 7 games · goal difference +8 5th Ajax 14 points from 7 games · goal difference +12 6th Fortuna Sittard 13 points from 7 games · goal difference -1 7th Excelsior 11 points from 7 games · goal difference +6 8th Groningen 11 points from 7 games · goal difference +2 9th GO Ahead Eagles 10 points from 7 games · goal difference +2 10th Heerenveen 9 points from 8 games · goal difference 0 11th NEC Nijmegen Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
W Won at Genk 3 Oct 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 2–1
W Won at Willem II 19 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 1–0
L Lost v Ajax 12 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 1–5
W Won at ADO Den Haag 6 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 3–2
W Won at Groningen 28 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 3–2
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 L Lost v AZ Alkmaar 22 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 0–2
W Won v Cambuur 15 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 3–1
D Drew at PSV Eindhoven 8 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 2–2
W Won v Apoel Nicosia 31 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 2–1
L Lost at Metz 25 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 1–3
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
W Won v Werder Bremen 2 Oct 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 7–0
W Won v PSV Eindhoven 20 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 3–2
W Won v ADO Den Haag 12 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 2–0
W Won v Telstar 9 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 1–0
D Drew at Groningen 6 Sept 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 2–2
Show last 10 matches Showing 10 W Won at Cambuur 30 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 4–1
W Won at Qarabag 27 Aug 2026 · UEFA Europa Conference League · Away 2–1
L Lost v Qarabag 20 Aug 2026 · UEFA Europa Conference League · Home 0–1
W Won v PEC Zwolle 16 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 3–1
D Drew at Dunajska Streda 13 Aug 2026 · UEFA Europa Conference League · Away 3–3
Partly in the model The model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Meetings 14
Fortuna Sittard wins 3
Draws 1
Twente wins 10 Record shown: September 2019 to March 2026.
Average goals 3.1 (Fortuna Sittard 1.1, Twente 2.0). Draws 7%, both teams scored 57%, over 2.5 goals 79%.
21 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente
26 Sept 2025 · Eredivisie Twente 3–2 Fortuna Sittard
5 Apr 2025 · Eredivisie Twente 1–1 Fortuna Sittard
23 Nov 2024 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente
6 Apr 2024 · Eredivisie Twente 2–0 Fortuna Sittard
Show last 10 meetings Showing 10 8 Oct 2023 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 0–3 Twente
11 Mar 2023 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 0–3 Twente
14 Aug 2022 · Eredivisie Twente 3–0 Fortuna Sittard
7 May 2022 · Eredivisie Twente 1–2 Fortuna Sittard
14 Aug 2021 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Twente
Show last 14 meetings Showing 14 1 May 2021 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 3–0 Twente
12 Sept 2020 · Eredivisie Twente
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Fortuna Sittard at home and Twente away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Fortuna Sittard Last 5 (5) 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 10 scored, 10 conceded · 2.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0 Last 10 (10) 6 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 18 scored, 19 conceded · 1.90 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Home, last 5 (5) 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 8 scored, 10 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Home, last 10 (10) 5 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 15 scored, 17 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Fortuna Sittard Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 4 0 1 10 10 0 12 2.40 1 0 Last 10 (10) 10 6 1 3 18 19 -1 19 1.90 1 1 Home, last 5 (5) 5 3 0 2 8 10 -2 9 1.80 0 1 Home, last 10 (10) 10 5 1 4 15 17 -2 16 1.60 1 1
Twente Last 5 (5) 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 15 scored, 4 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Last 10 (10) 7 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 27 scored, 11 conceded · 2.30 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Away, last 5 (5) 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 11 scored, 8 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Away, last 10 (9) 4 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost · 20 scored, 14 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Twente Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 4
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Fortuna Sittard Twente League position 6th 4th Points per game 1.86 2.29 Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) 1.80 2.70 Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) 1.90 1.10 Clean sheets 1 3
Context only Rest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
Fortuna Sittard: 7 days since their last match (3 Oct 2026). Twente: 8 days since their last match (2 Oct 2026). In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Fortuna Sittard R. Bayram · out, knee injury I. Marquez · out, injury Y. Oukili · out, groin injury Twente S. Lemkin · out, muscle injury Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GEN Genoa L L W D L FIO Fiorentina D W W L L
Last 5 games
09:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUG FC Augsburg D L D W W BMU Bayern München W W W D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF 1899 Hoffenheim L L W L L HAM Hamburger SV W W L L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PAD SC Paderborn 07 W W L L D VST VfB Stuttgart W W L L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBE Union Berlin W L L L D ELV SV Elversberg L D L W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMA FSV Mainz 05 W W L W D BLE Bayer Leverkusen W W D W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHE Chelsea L D W L W BOU Bournemouth L W D W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MID Middlesbrough D D W L W WOL Wolves W L W D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PRE Preston D L L W L MIL Millwall D D L L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RAN Rangers W W W W W KIL Kilmarnock D W D D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALA Alaves D L L W W AMA Atletico Madrid W W W L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAE GO Ahead Eagles D D D L W SRO Sparta Rotterdam L L D L
Starting later (8) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INT Inter W D W L W PAR Parma W L D
Show all 6 picks
8 points from 7 games · goal difference -1
12th Sparta Rotterdam 5 points from 7 games · goal difference -7
13th Telstar 5 points from 7 games · goal difference -7
14th Cambuur 5 points from 7 games · goal difference -9
15th Utrecht 5 points from 7 games · goal difference -13
16th PEC Zwolle 4 points from 7 games · goal difference -14
17th ADO Den Haag 2 points from 7 games · goal difference -10
18th Willem II 2 points from 7 games · goal difference -14 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18 6 +12 19 2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 26 10 +16 19 3 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25 7 +18 17 4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15 7 +8 16 5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21 9 +12 14 6 Fortuna Sittard 7 4 1 2 13 14 -1 13 7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15 9 +6 11 8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15 13 +2 11 9 GO Ahead Eagles 7 2 4 1 16 14 +2 10 10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11 11 0 9 11 NEC Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12 13 -1 8 12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10 17 -7 5 13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5 12 -7 5 14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10 19 -9 5 15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11 24 -13 5 16 PEC Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6 20 -14 4 17 ADO Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7 17 -10 2 18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6 20 -14 2
Show last 20 matches Showing 20 L Lost at Olympiakos Piraeus 17 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 1–3
W Won v Genk 11 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 2–1
W Won v K. Lierse S.K. 3 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 1–0
L Lost at Utrecht 17 May 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 0–2
W Won v PEC Zwolle 10 May 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 3–2
L Lost v Feyenoord 3 May 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 1–2
L Lost at Heerenveen 25 Apr 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 1–2
D Drew v NAC Breda 12 Apr 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 1–1
L Lost at AZ Alkmaar 4 Apr 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 0–2
L Lost v Twente 21 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie · Home 1–2
Show last 20 matches Showing 20 L Lost at Heerenveen 9 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie · Away 0–1
W Won v Dunajska Streda 6 Aug 2026 · UEFA Europa Conference League · Home 6–0
L Lost at Genk 2 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 1–2
D Drew at Ferencvarosi TC 30 Jul 2026 · UEFA Europa League · Away 2–2
W Won at Emmen 24 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 3–0
L Lost v Ferencvarosi TC 23 Jul 2026 · UEFA Europa League · Home 1–2
D Drew v Gent 18 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 2–2
W Won at PAOK 11 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Away 3–2
W Won v Sportfreunde Lotte 11 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 3–1
W Won v Aberdeen 4 Jul 2026 · Friendlies Clubs · Home 1–0
2–0
Fortuna Sittard
10 Aug 2020 · Friendlies Clubs Twente 2–1 Fortuna Sittard
15 Sept 2019 · Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 2–3 Twente
Last 10 (10) 10 7 2 1 27 11 +16 23 2.30 3 1
Away, last 5 (5) 5 2 2 1 11 8 +3 8 1.60 0 1
Away, last 10 (9) 9 4 3 2 20 14 +6 15 1.67 1 1
W
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
10:00 EDT · England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
10:00 EDT · Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
10:15 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
10:30 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
12:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLE RB Leipzig L W L L W EFR Eintracht Frankfurt W D W L D
Last 5 games
12:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MAN Manchester United D L L W D TOT Tottenham L L D D L
Last 5 games
12:30 EDT · England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEY Feyenoord W W L W D AAL AZ Alkmaar W L D W W
Last 5 games
12:45 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MAR Maritimo D L L L D POR FC Porto W W W L W
Last 5 games
13:00 EDT · Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSI Fortuna Sittard W W L W W TWE Twente W W W W D
Last 5 games
14:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJA Ajax D W W L W NNI NEC Nijmegen D L L D L
Last 5 games
15:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMA Real Madrid L W W W L VIL Villarreal W W L L L
Last 5 games
15:00 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip