Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Turkey - 2. Lig
Aliağa FAŞ v Menemen FKHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Aliağa FAŞ win 61%, Draw 19%, Menemen FK win 20%.
Aliağa FAŞ host Menemen FK in the 2. Lig, Turkey.
Our model gives Aliağa FAŞ a 61% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Menemen FK 20%.
The model expects Aliağa FAŞ to score 2.4 goals and Menemen FK 1.2.
Aliağa FAŞ have won 4 of their last 5 league matches; Menemen FK have won 3 of 5.
Top factors
- Aliağa FAŞ sit 3rd with 12 points; Menemen FK sit 11th with 9 points.
- Aliağa FAŞ have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Menemen FK 9 from 5.
- At home, Aliağa FAŞ have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Menemen FK have taken 3 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Aliağa FAŞ win
- 61% · price 1.36
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Menemen FK win20% · price 6.38 Over 2.5 goals65% · price 1.44 Both teams score56% · price 1.60 Expected goals (our model)Aliağa FAŞ 2.4, Menemen FK 1.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 2. Lig, before kick-off.
Aliağa FAŞ sit 3rd with 12 points; Menemen FK sit 11th with 9. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Aliağa FAŞ.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 2nd Muş Sport Klübü13 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Aliağa FAŞ12 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 4th Elazığspor10 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 10th 24 Erzincanspor9 points from 5 games · goal difference +2
- 11th Menemen FK9 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
- 12th Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor8 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 2 | Muş Sport Klübü | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 3 | Aliağa FAŞ | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Elazığspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 10 |
| 10 | 24 Erzincanspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | Menemen FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Sakaryaspor15 points from 5 games · goal difference +9
- 2nd Muş Sport Klübü13 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Aliağa FAŞ12 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 4th Elazığspor10 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 5th Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı10 points from 4 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Çorluspor 194710 points from 5 games · goal difference +6
- 7th Adana 01 FK10 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Yeni Orduspor9 points from 5 games · goal difference +6
- 9th Güzide Gebzespor9 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 10th 24 Erzincanspor9 points from 5 games · goal difference +2
- 11th
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Erbaaspor3 Oct 2026 · 2. Lig · Away4–2
WWonv Şanlıurfaspor27 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Home2–1
LLostat Elazığspor19 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Away0–5
WWonv Isparta 32 Spor13 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Home2–0
WWonat Arnavutköy Belediyespor6 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Away4–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Adana Demirspor3 Oct 2026 · 2. Lig · Home2–0
WWonat Sebat Gençlikspor27 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Away1–0
WWonv Ankaraspor19 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Home3–0
LLostat Muş Sport Klübü13 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Away0–4
LLostv İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik6 Sept 2026 · 2. Lig · Home1–3
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Aliağa FAŞ at home and Menemen FK away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Aliağa FAŞ
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 9 conceded · 2.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (5)4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 9 conceded · 2.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Aliağa FAŞ| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | 2.40 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | 2.40 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Menemen FK
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 7 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 7 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 4 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 4 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Menemen FK| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
|---|
Aliağa FAŞ at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Menemen FK away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Aliağa FAŞ | Menemen FK |
|---|
| League position | 3rd | 11th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
Menemen FK
9 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
12th Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor8 points from 5 games · goal difference 013th Ankaragücü7 points from 5 games · goal difference +414th 1461 Trabzon FK7 points from 5 games · goal difference +215th İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik7 points from 5 games · goal difference +216th Erbaaspor7 points from 5 games · goal difference +117th Ankara Demirspor7 points from 5 games · goal difference +118th Somaspor7 points from 4 games · goal difference +119th Isparta 32 Spor7 points from 5 games · goal difference 020th Karacabey Belediyespor7 points from 4 games · goal difference -121st Şanlıurfaspor6 points from 5 games · goal difference 022nd Ankaraspor6 points from 5 games · goal difference -323rd Kastamonuspor6 points from 5 games · goal difference -924th 68 Aksaray Belediyespor5 points from 5 games · goal difference +125th 12 Bingölspor5 points from 5 games · goal difference -126th Serik Spor5 points from 5 games · goal difference -327th Kırklarelispor4 points from 4 games · goal difference -228th Hatayspor4 points from 5 games · goal difference -229th Fethiyespor4 points from 5 games · goal difference -530th Adana Demirspor4 points from 5 games · goal difference -631st Kütahyaspor3 points from 5 games · goal difference -532nd Sebat Gençlikspor1 points from 4 games · goal difference -433rd İnegölspor1 points from 4 games · goal difference -534th Arnavutköy Belediyespor0 points from 5 games · goal difference -935th İskenderunspor0 points from 4 games · goal difference -10| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Sakaryaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | Muş Sport Klübü | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 3 | Aliağa FAŞ | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Elazığspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Çorluspor 1947 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Adana 01 FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Yeni Orduspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 9 |
| 9 | Güzide Gebzespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | 24 Erzincanspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | Menemen FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Ankaragücü | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 7 |
| 14 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 15 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 16 | Erbaaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 17 | Ankara Demirspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Somaspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 19 | Isparta 32 Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 20 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 21 | Şanlıurfaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 22 | Ankaraspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Kastamonuspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 24 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 25 | 12 Bingölspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 26 | Serik Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 27 | Kırklarelispor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 28 | Hatayspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 29 | Fethiyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 30 | Adana Demirspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| 31 | Kütahyaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 3 |
| 32 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| 33 | İnegölspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 34 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 0 |
| 35 | İskenderunspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 0 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1.80 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis