Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
· Mexico - Liga MX U21
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Atlas U21 win 37%, Draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas U21 win 34%.
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Atlas U21 host Guadalajara Chivas U21 in the Liga MX U21, Mexico.
Our model gives Atlas U21 a 37% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Guadalajara Chivas U21 34%.
The model expects Atlas U21 to score 1.2 goals and Guadalajara Chivas U21 1.1.
Atlas U21 have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga MX U21, before kick-off.
Atlas U21 sit 9th with 12 points; Guadalajara Chivas U21 sit 4th with 16. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Atlas U21.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Atlas U21 at home and Guadalajara Chivas U21 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Atlas U21 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 4th |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 27 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 | 1.83 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
Atlas U21 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Guadalajara Chivas U21 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +2 |
| 16 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Atlante U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL U21 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Juarez U21 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |