Sat 10:30 EDT · Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Atlético Astorga v Ourense CF

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

What the data says

Atlético Astorga host Ourense CF in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain.

Our model gives Atlético Astorga a 25% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Ourense CF 47%.

The model expects Atlético Astorga to score 0.9 goals and Ourense CF 1.5.

Atlético Astorga have won 1 of their last 5 league matches; Ourense CF have won 3 of 5.

Top factors

Atlético Astorga sit 16th with 3 points; Ourense CF sit 5th with 10 points.
Atlético Astorga have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches; Ourense CF 10 from 5.
At home, Atlético Astorga have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Ourense CF have taken 6 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.

Key numbers

Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.

Atlético Astorga win: 25% · price 3.20

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Sat 10:30 EDT · Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Atlético Astorga v Ourense CF

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

What the data says

Atlético Astorga host Ourense CF in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain.

Our model gives Atlético Astorga a 25% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Ourense CF 47%.

The model expects Atlético Astorga to score 0.9 goals and Ourense CF 1.5.

Atlético Astorga have won 1 of their last 5 league matches; Ourense CF have won 3 of 5.

Top factors

Atlético Astorga sit 16th with 3 points; Ourense CF sit 5th with 10 points.
Atlético Astorga have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches; Ourense CF 10 from 5.
At home, Atlético Astorga have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Ourense CF have taken 6 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.

Key numbers

Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.

Atlético Astorga win: 25% · price 3.20

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Sestao River	5	–	–	–	–	–	+4	12
5	Ourense CF	5	–	–	–	–	–	+2	10
6	Gernika	5	–	–	–	–	–	+7	8
15	Llanera	5	–	–	–	–	–	-5	4
16	Atlético Astorga	5	–	–	–	–	–	-2	3
17	Arosa	5	–	–	–	–	–	-7	3

Sample	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG	CS	FTS
Last 5 (5)	5	1	4	5	7	-2	3	0.60	1	3
Last 10 (5)	5	1	4	5	7	-2	3	0.60	1	3
Home, last 5 (3)	3	1	2	3	2	+1	3	1.00	1	2
Home, last 10 (3)	3	1	2	3	2	+1	3	1.00	1	2

Measure	Atlético Astorga	Ourense CF
League position	16th	5th
Points per game	0.60	2.00
Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5)	1.00	1.00
Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5)	1.40	0.60
Clean sheets	1	3

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	5	–	–	–	–	–	+7	13
2	Eibar II	5	–	–	–	–	–	+7	12
3	Deportivo Alavés II	5	–	–	–	–	–	+6	12
4	Sestao River	5	–	–	–	–	–	+4	12
5	Ourense CF	5	–	–	–	–	–	+2	10
6	Gernika	5	–	–	–	–	–	+7	8
7	Basconia	5	–	–	–	–	–	+1	8
8	Amorebieta	5	–	–	–	–	–	+1	7
9	Portugalete	5	–	–	–	–	–	-1	7
10	Real Oviedo II	5	–	–	–	–	–	-2	7
11	Marino de Luanco	5	–	–	–	–	–	-2	6
12	Coruxo	5	–	–	–	–	–	-1	5
13	Compostela	5	–	–	–	–	–	-3	4
14	Gimnástica Torrelavega	5	–	–	–	–	–	-4	4
15	Llanera	5	–	–	–	–	–	-5	4
16	Atlético Astorga	5	–	–	–	–	–	-2	3
17	Arosa	5	–	–	–	–	–	-7	3
18	Racing Santander II	5	–	–	–	–	–	-8	1

Atlético Astorga v Ourense CF

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

Key numbers

Atlético Astorga v Ourense CF

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

Key numbers

League context

Atlético Astorga: recent fixtures

Ourense CF: recent fixtures

Form, home and away