Bantu vs Lifofane prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Lesotho - Premier League
Bantu v LifofaneHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Bantu win 52%, Draw 24%, Lifofane win 25%.
Bantu host Lifofane in the Premier League, Lesotho.
Our model gives Bantu a 52% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Lifofane 25%.
The model expects Bantu to score 1.8 goals and Lifofane 1.2.
Bantu have won 4 of their last 5 league matches; Lifofane have won 1 of 5.
Top factors
- Bantu sit 1st with 13 points; Lifofane sit 12th with 4 points.
- Bantu have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Lifofane 4 from 5.
- At home, Bantu have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Lifofane have taken 4 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Expected goals (our model)Bantu 1.8, Lifofane 1.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Bantu sit 1st with 13 points; Lifofane sit 12th with 4. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Bantu.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Bantu13 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Matlama12 points from 4 games · goal difference +8
- 11th Members5 points from 5 games · goal difference -4
- 12th Lifofane4 points from 5 games · goal difference -4
- 13th SC Villa3 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Bantu | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Matlama | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 12 |
| 11 | Members | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Lifofane | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Villa | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Bantu13 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Matlama12 points from 4 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Lioli11 points from 5 games · goal difference +8
- 4th Linare10 points from 5 games · goal difference +4
- 5th Majantja10 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 6th Lijabatho8 points from 4 games · goal difference +9
- 7th Manonyane6 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 8th LCS6 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
- 9th Limkokwing University6 points from 5 games · goal difference -1
- 10th LDF6 points from 5 games · goal difference -2
- 11th Members5 points from 5 games · goal difference -4
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Mzamane3 Oct 2026 · Premier League · Home4–1
WWonat LMPS15 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Away1–0
WWonv LDF6 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Home4–1
WWonat LCS29 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Away2–1
DDrewat Manonyane23 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Away3–3
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Machokha3 Oct 2026 · Premier League · Home1–2
WWonat Members15 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Away2–0
LLostv Matlama5 Sept 2026 · Premier League · Home1–2
LLostat Manonyane30 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Away0–4
DDrewat Limkokwing University22 Aug 2026 · Premier League · Away1–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Bantu at home and Lifofane away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Bantu
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 14 scored, 6 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (5)4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 14 scored, 6 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 8 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 8 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Bantu| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Lifofane
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 9 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 9 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Lifofane| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Bantu at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Lifofane away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Bantu | Lifofane |
|---|
| League position | 1st | 12th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.80 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Bantu | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Matlama | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 12 |
| 3 | Lioli | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 11 |
| 4 | Linare | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Majantja | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Lijabatho | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 8 |
| 7 | Manonyane | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | LCS | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Limkokwing University | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | LDF | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Members | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Lifofane | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Villa | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Machokha | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | Mzamane | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 3 |
| 16 | LMPS | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis