Buriram United vs Rayong FC prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Thailand - Thai League 1
Buriram United v Rayong FCHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Buriram United win 63%, Draw 19%, Rayong FC win 18%.
Buriram United host Rayong FC in the Thai League 1, Thailand.
Our model gives Buriram United a 63% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Rayong FC 18%.
The model expects Buriram United to score 2.3 goals and Rayong FC 1.1.
Buriram United have won 2 of their last 3 league matches; Rayong FC have won 2 of 3.
Top factors
- Buriram United sit 2nd with 7 points; Rayong FC sit 3rd with 7 points.
- Buriram United have taken 7 points from their last 3 matches; Rayong FC 7 from 3.
- At home, Buriram United have taken 1 point from their last 1; away, Rayong FC have taken 3 from their last 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Buriram United win
- 63% · price 1.20
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Rayong FC win18% · price 10.11 Over 1.5 goals82% · price 1.11 Over 2.5 goals62% · price 1.42 Both teams score54% · price 1.88 Expected goals (our model)Buriram United 2.3, Rayong FC 1.1 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Thai League 1, before kick-off.
Buriram United sit 2nd with 7 points; Rayong FC sit 3rd with 7. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Buriram United.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Ratchaburi7 points from 4 games · goal difference +6
- 2nd Buriram United7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd Rayong FC7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 4th Uthai Thani6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Ratchaburi | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Buriram United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rayong FC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Uthai Thani | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Ratchaburi7 points from 4 games · goal difference +6
- 2nd Buriram United7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd Rayong FC7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 4th Uthai Thani6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 5th Prachuap6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 6th Bangkok United6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Port FC6 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Ayutthaya FC6 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 9th BG Pathum United4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
- 10th Chiangrai United4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
- 11th Pattani
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Chonburi FC20 Sept 2026 · Thai League 1 · Away1–0
DDrewv Chiangrai United11 Sept 2026 · Thai League 1 · Home1–1
WWonat Sukhothai FC6 Sept 2026 · Thai League 1 · Away3–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Ratchaburi20 Sept 2026 · Thai League 1 · Home1–1
WWonat Chonburi FC13 Sept 2026 · Thai League 1 · Away3–2
WWonv Prachuap5 Sept 2026 · Thai League 1 · Home1–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Buriram United at home and Rayong FC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Buriram United
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Buriram United| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Rayong FC
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Rayong FC| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 |
|---|
Buriram United at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Rayong FC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Buriram United | Rayong FC |
|---|
| League position | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 2.33 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 0.67 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Buriram United
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
4 points from 3 games · goal difference -2
12th Sisaket United3 points from 3 games · goal difference -213th Sukhothai FC3 points from 4 games · goal difference -814th Rasi Salai United1 points from 3 games · goal difference -215th Lamphun Warrior1 points from 3 games · goal difference -416th Chonburi FC0 points from 3 games · goal difference -3| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Ratchaburi | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Buriram United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rayong FC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Uthai Thani | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 5 | Prachuap | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Port FC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | BG Pathum United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sisaket United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 0 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis