Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Romania - Liga II
Cetatea Suceava v DumbrăviţaHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Cetatea Suceava win 46%, Draw 24%, Dumbrăviţa win 30%.
Cetatea Suceava host Dumbrăviţa in the Liga II, Romania.
Our model gives Cetatea Suceava a 46% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Dumbrăviţa 30%.
The model expects Cetatea Suceava to score 1.7 goals and Dumbrăviţa 1.3.
Cetatea Suceava have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Dumbrăviţa have won 0 of 6.
Top factors
- Cetatea Suceava sit 10th with 12 points; Dumbrăviţa sit 21st with 3 points.
- Cetatea Suceava have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Dumbrăviţa 1 from 5.
- At home, Cetatea Suceava have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Dumbrăviţa have taken 1 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Cetatea Suceava win
- 46% · price 1.38
Dumbrăviţa win30% · price 6.59 Over 1.5 goals78% · price 1.17 Over 2.5 goals57% · price 1.57 Both teams score55% · price 1.76 Expected goals (our model)Cetatea Suceava 1.7, Dumbrăviţa 1.3 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga II, before kick-off.
Cetatea Suceava sit 10th with 12 points; Dumbrăviţa sit 21st with 3. A gap of 15 in goal difference, in favour of Cetatea Suceava.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 9th CS Afumati14 points from 8 games · goal difference 0
- 10th Cetatea Suceava12 points from 8 games · goal difference +4
- 11th Gloria Bistriţa12 points from 8 games · goal difference +2
- 20th CSM Satu Mare4 points from 8 games · goal difference -7
- 21st Dumbrăviţa3 points from 8 games · goal difference -11
- 22nd CS Dinamo București3 points from 8 games · goal difference -18
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 9 | CS Afumati | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 4 |
| 21 | Dumbrăviţa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 3 |
| 22 | CS Dinamo București | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Slatina22 points from 8 games · goal difference +12
- 2nd FC Politehnica Timisoara21 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
- 3rd CSM Reşiţa18 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
- 4th FC Bacau15 points from 8 games · goal difference +11
- 5th Chindia Targoviste15 points from 8 games · goal difference +9
- 6th Popești-Leordeni15 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Concordia15 points from 8 games · goal difference +4
- 8th Metalul Buzău14 points from 8 games · goal difference +2
- 9th CS Afumati14 points from 8 games · goal difference 0
- 10th Cetatea Suceava12 points from 8 games · goal difference +4
- 11th Gloria Bistriţa
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat FC Bacau19 Sept 2026 · Liga II · Away2–2
WWonv CSM Ramnicu Valcea12 Sept 2026 · Liga II · Home4–0
DDrewat CSA Steaua Bucureşti5 Sept 2026 · Liga II · Away2–2
DDrewv Popești-Leordeni29 Aug 2026 · Liga II · Home1–1
LLostat Ştefăneşti22 Aug 2026 · Liga II · Away1–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonv CSM Satu Mare15 Aug 2026 · Liga II · Home2–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv CSM Reşiţa22 Sept 2026 · Liga II · Home0–2
LLostv Slatina12 Sept 2026 · Liga II · Home0–2
LLostat FC Bacau6 Sept 2026 · Liga II · Away1–6
LLostv CSM Ramnicu Valcea29 Aug 2026 · Liga II · Home0–1
DDrewat CSA Steaua Bucureşti23 Aug 2026 · Liga II · Away2–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Popești-Leordeni15 Aug 2026 · Liga II · Home1–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Cetatea Suceava at home and Dumbrăviţa away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Cetatea Suceava
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 8 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 7 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 7 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Cetatea Suceava| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Dumbrăviţa
- Last 5 (5)0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 3 scored, 13 conceded · 0.20 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
- Last 10 (6)0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 4 scored, 14 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3
- Away, last 5 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 8 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 8 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Dumbrăviţa| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
|---|
Cetatea Suceava at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dumbrăviţa away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Cetatea Suceava | Dumbrăviţa |
|---|
| League position | 10th | 21st |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.38 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 0.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.33 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Cetatea Suceava
None reported.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWW
12 points from 8 games · goal difference +2
12th Metaloglobus11 points from 8 games · goal difference -113th ASA Targu Mures11 points from 8 games · goal difference -314th CSM Ramnicu Valcea11 points from 8 games · goal difference -315th Bihor Oradea9 points from 8 games · goal difference +316th Viitorul Şelimbăr6 points from 8 games · goal difference -717th CSA Steaua Bucureşti6 points from 9 games · goal difference -818th Ştefăneşti6 points from 8 games · goal difference -919th Unirea Slobozia4 points from 8 games · goal difference -120th CSM Satu Mare4 points from 8 games · goal difference -721st Dumbrăviţa3 points from 8 games · goal difference -1122nd CS Dinamo București3 points from 8 games · goal difference -18| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 21 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Bacau | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 15 |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 15 |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Concordia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | CS Afumati | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Metaloglobus | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | ASA Targu Mures | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bihor Oradea | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Ştefăneşti | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Unirea Slobozia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 4 |
| 21 | Dumbrăviţa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 3 |
| 22 | CS Dinamo București | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
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