Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWW
Draw
29% · price 3.13
Racing Ferrol win
31% · price 2.31
Over 1.5 goals
70% · price 1.32
Over 2.5 goals
44% · price 2.04
Both teams score
49% · price 1.79
Expected goals (our model)
Deportivo La Coruña II 1.2, Racing Ferrol 1.1
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, before kick-off.
Deportivo La Coruña II sit 10th with 8 points; Racing Ferrol sit 8th with 10. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Racing Ferrol.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
7thZamora10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
8thRacing Ferrol10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
9thReal Unión8 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
10thDeportivo La Coruña II8 points from 6 games · goal difference +1
11thPontevedra8 points from 6 games · goal difference 0
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
7
Zamora
6
–
–
–
–
–
+2
10
8
Racing Ferrol
6
–
–
–
–
–
+2
10
9
Real Unión
6
–
–
–
–
–
+2
8
10
Deportivo La Coruña II
6
–
–
–
–
–
+1
8
11
Pontevedra
6
–
–
–
–
–
0
8
Show full tableShow less
1stUD Logroñés16 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
2ndLugo16 points from 6 games · goal difference +6
3rdAthletic Club II11 points from 6 games · goal difference +4
4thCacereño11 points from 6 games · goal difference +3
5thPonferradina11 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
6thMirandes10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
7thZamora10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
8thRacing Ferrol10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
9thReal Unión8 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
10thDeportivo La Coruña II8 points from 6 games · goal difference +1
11thPontevedra
Deportivo La Coruña II: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat UD Logroñés4 Oct 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away1–2
WWonv Real Unión26 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home2–0
DDrewat Athletic Club II20 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away2–2
WWonv Ponferradina13 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home2–1
DDrewv Cacereño6 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home1–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Mérida AD29 Aug 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away0–1
Racing Ferrol: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Pontevedra3 Oct 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home2–0
LLostat Lugo26 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away0–1
WWonv Barakaldo19 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home1–0
WWonv Real Unión13 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home3–2
LLostat Extremadura 19246 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away0–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewat Arenas Getxo29 Aug 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away1–1
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Deportivo La Coruña II at home and Racing Ferrol away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Deportivo La Coruña II
Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 8 scored, 6 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (6)2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 8 scored, 7 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Deportivo La Coruña II
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
2
2
1
8
6
+2
8
1.60
1
0
Last 10 (6)
6
2
2
2
8
7
+1
8
1.33
1
1
Home, last 5 (3)
3
2
1
0
5
2
+3
7
2.33
1
0
Home, last 10 (3)
3
2
1
0
5
2
+3
7
2.33
1
0
Racing Ferrol
Last 5 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 6 scored, 4 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Away, last 5 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Away, last 10 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Racing Ferrol
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
3
Deportivo La Coruña II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Racing Ferrol away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Deportivo La Coruña II
Racing Ferrol
League position
10th
8th
Points per game
1.33
1.67
Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6)
1.33
1.17
Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6)
1.17
0.83
Clean sheets
1
2
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Squad availability
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Deportivo La Coruña II
None reported.
Racing Ferrol
None reported.
L
L
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.