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FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Sat 08:00 EDT · Germany - Regionalliga - West
FC Gutersloh v Sportfreunde Siegen Home v Away Home v Away No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: FC Gutersloh win 43%, Draw 23%, Sportfreunde Siegen win 34%.
34%
Sportfreunde Siegen win
FC Gutersloh host Sportfreunde Siegen in the Regionalliga - West, Germany.
Our model gives FC Gutersloh a 43% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Sportfreunde Siegen 34%.
The model expects FC Gutersloh to score 1.8 goals and Sportfreunde Siegen 1.6.
FC Gutersloh have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Sportfreunde Siegen have won 3 of 6.
Top factors FC Gutersloh sit 3rd with 23 points; Sportfreunde Siegen sit 6th with 16 points. FC Gutersloh have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Sportfreunde Siegen 10 from 5. At home, FC Gutersloh have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Sportfreunde Siegen have taken 6 from their last 2. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Sportfreunde Siegen win 34%
Expected goals (our model) FC Gutersloh 1.8, Sportfreunde Siegen 1.6 Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - West, before kick-off.
FC Gutersloh sit 3rd with 23 points; Sportfreunde Siegen sit 6th with 16. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of FC Gutersloh.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
2nd Borussia Dortmund II 25 points from 11 games · goal difference +12 3rd FC Gutersloh 23 points from 11 games · goal difference +13 4th Borussia M'gladbach II 20 points from 11 games · goal difference +12 5th Westfalia Rhynern 17 points from 11 games · goal difference -2 6th Sportfreunde Siegen 16 points from 11 games · goal difference +1 7th Bergisch Gladbach 16 points from 11 games · goal difference -3 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 2 Borussia Dortmund II 11 – – – – – +12 25 3 FC Gutersloh 11 – – – – – +13 23 4 Borussia M'gladbach II 11 – – – – – +12 20 5 Westfalia Rhynern 11 – – – – – -2 17 6 Sportfreunde Siegen 11 – – – – – +1 16 7 Bergisch Gladbach 11 – – – – –
Show full table Show less 1st Rot-weiss Oberhausen 28 points from 11 games · goal difference +19 2nd Borussia Dortmund II 25 points from 11 games · goal difference +12 3rd FC Gutersloh 23 points from 11 games · goal difference +13 4th Borussia M'gladbach II 20 points from 11 games · goal difference +12 5th Westfalia Rhynern 17 points from 11 games · goal difference -2 6th Sportfreunde Siegen 16 points from 11 games · goal difference +1 7th Bergisch Gladbach 16 points from 11 games · goal difference -3 8th Bonner SC 15 points from 11 games · goal difference +1 9th Schalke 04 II 15 points from 10 games · goal difference 0 10th Köln II 14 points from 10 games · goal difference +1 Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
W Won at FC Bocholt 3 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away 4–3
L Lost v Paderborn II 25 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 1–3
D Drew at SV Rodinghausen 18 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away 1–1
L Lost v Borussia M'gladbach II 12 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 1–2
W Won at Schalke 04 II 6 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away 3–1
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 W Won v Hilden 1 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 6–0
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
L Lost v Borussia Dortmund II 4 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 1–3
W Won at Wiedenbrück 30 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away 3–1
W Won v SG Wattenscheid 09 18 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 2–1
D Drew v Bonner SC 12 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 3–3
W Won at FC Bocholt 5 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away 3–1
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 D Drew v Paderborn II 2 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home 2–2
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then FC Gutersloh at home and Sportfreunde Siegen away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
FC Gutersloh Last 5 (5) 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 10 scored, 10 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Last 10 (6) 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 16 scored, 10 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0 Home, last 5 (3) 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 8 scored, 5 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0 Home, last 10 (3) 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 8 scored, 5 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0 FC Gutersloh Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 2 1 2 10 10 0 7 1.40 0 0 Last 10 (6) 6 3 1 2 16 10 +6 10 1.67 1 0 Home, last 5 (3) 3 1 0 2 8 5 +3 3 1.00 1 0 Home, last 10 (3) 3 1 0 2 8 5 +3 3 1.00 1 0
Sportfreunde Siegen Last 5 (5) 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 9 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Last 10 (6) 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 14 scored, 11 conceded · 1.83 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Away, last 5 (2) 2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Away, last 10 (2) 2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Sportfreunde Siegen Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 3
FC Gutersloh at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sportfreunde Siegen away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure FC Gutersloh Sportfreunde Siegen League position 3rd 6th Points per game 2.09 1.45 Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) 2.67 2.33 Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) 1.67 1.83 Clean sheets 1 0
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
FC Gutersloh None reported.
Sportfreunde Siegen None reported.
Context only Facts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
Sportfreunde Siegen have the better recent form: 10 points from 5 against 7 from 5. Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GEN Genoa L L W D L FIO Fiorentina D W W L L
Last 5 games
09:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
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AUG FC Augsburg D L D W W BMU Bayern München W W W D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF 1899 Hoffenheim L L W L L HAM Hamburger SV W W L L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PAD SC Paderborn 07 W W L L D VST VfB Stuttgart W W L L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBE Union Berlin W L L L D ELV SV Elversberg L D L W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMA FSV Mainz 05 W W L W D BLE Bayer Leverkusen W W D W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHE Chelsea L D W L W BOU Bournemouth L W D W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MID Middlesbrough D D W L W WOL Wolves W L W D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PRE Preston D L L W L MIL Millwall D D L L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RAN Rangers W W W W W KIL Kilmarnock D W D D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALA Alaves D L L W W AMA Atletico Madrid W W W L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAE GO Ahead Eagles D D D L W SRO Sparta Rotterdam L L D L
Starting later (8) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INT Inter W D W L W PAR Parma W L D
Show all 6 picks
11th
FC Bocholt
13 points from 11 games · goal difference -2
12th Paderborn II 13 points from 11 games · goal difference -3
13th SG Wattenscheid 09 12 points from 11 games · goal difference -4
14th Hilden 12 points from 11 games · goal difference -7
15th Bochum II 11 points from 11 games · goal difference -6
16th SV Rodinghausen 9 points from 11 games · goal difference -5
17th Wiedenbrück 8 points from 11 games · goal difference -12
18th Sportfreunde Lotte 3 points from 11 games · goal difference -15 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen 11 – – – – – +19 28 2 Borussia Dortmund II 11 – – – – – +12 25 3 FC Gutersloh 11 – – – – – +13 23 4 Borussia M'gladbach II 11 – – – – – +12 20 5 Westfalia Rhynern 11 – – – – – -2 17 6 Sportfreunde Siegen 11 – – – – – +1 16 7 Bergisch Gladbach 11 – – – – – -3 16 8 Bonner SC 11 – – – – – +1 15 9 Schalke 04 II 10 – – – – – 0 15 10 Köln II 10 – – – – – +1 14 11 FC Bocholt 11 – – – – – -2 13 12 Paderborn II 11 – – – – – -3 13 13 SG Wattenscheid 09 11 – – – – – -4 12 14 Hilden 11 – – – – – -7 12 15 Bochum II 11 – – – – – -6 11 16 SV Rodinghausen 11 – – – – – -5 9 17 Wiedenbrück 11 – – – – – -12 8 18 Sportfreunde Lotte 11 – – – – – -15 3
Last 10 (6) 6 3 2 1 14 11 +3 11 1.83 0 0
Away, last 5 (2) 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6 3.00 0 0
Away, last 10 (2) 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6 3.00 0 0
W
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
10:00 EDT · England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
10:00 EDT · Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
10:15 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
10:30 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
12:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLE RB Leipzig L W L L W EFR Eintracht Frankfurt W D W L D
Last 5 games
12:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MAN Manchester United D L L W D TOT Tottenham L L D D L
Last 5 games
12:30 EDT · England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEY Feyenoord W W L W D AAL AZ Alkmaar W L D W W
Last 5 games
12:45 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MAR Maritimo D L L L D POR FC Porto W W W L W
Last 5 games
13:00 EDT · Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSI Fortuna Sittard W W L W W TWE Twente W W W W D
Last 5 games
14:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJA Ajax D W W L W NNI NEC Nijmegen D L L D L
Last 5 games
15:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMA Real Madrid L W W W L VIL Villarreal W W L L L
Last 5 games
15:00 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
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