Ferroviária vs Inter De Limeira prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Brazil - Serie C
Ferroviária v Inter De LimeiraHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Ferroviária win 52%, Draw 27%, Inter De Limeira win 21%.
Ferroviária host Inter De Limeira in the Serie C, Brazil.
Our model gives Ferroviária a 52% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Inter De Limeira 21%.
The model expects Ferroviária to score 1.5 goals and Inter De Limeira 0.8.
Ferroviária have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Inter De Limeira have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
- Ferroviária sit 2nd with 38 points; Inter De Limeira sit 5th with 37 points.
- Ferroviária have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches; Inter De Limeira 7 from 5.
- At home, Ferroviária have taken 9 points from their last 3; away, Inter De Limeira have taken 3 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Ferroviária win
- 52% · price 1.83
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWW
Inter De Limeira win21% · price 4.07 Over 1.5 goals70% · price 1.38 Over 2.5 goals45% · price 2.22 Both teams score48% · price 2.01 Expected goals (our model)Ferroviária 1.5, Inter De Limeira 0.8 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Serie C, before kick-off.
Ferroviária sit 2nd with 38 points; Inter De Limeira sit 5th with 37. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Ferroviária.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Santa Cruz40 points from 24 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Ferroviária38 points from 24 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Brusque38 points from 24 games · goal difference +6
- 4th Maringá38 points from 24 games · goal difference +4
- 5th Inter De Limeira37 points from 24 games · goal difference +4
- 6th Botafogo PB35 points from 24 games · goal difference +5
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 40 |
| 2 | Ferroviária | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 38 |
| 3 | Brusque | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 38 |
| 4 | Maringá | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 38 |
| 5 | Inter De Limeira | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 37 |
| 6 | Botafogo PB | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 35 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Santa Cruz40 points from 24 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Ferroviária38 points from 24 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Brusque38 points from 24 games · goal difference +6
- 4th Maringá38 points from 24 games · goal difference +4
- 5th Inter De Limeira37 points from 24 games · goal difference +4
- 6th Botafogo PB35 points from 24 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Floresta35 points from 24 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Paysandu33 points from 24 games · goal difference -4
- 9th Ypiranga-RS29 points from 19 games · goal difference +3
- 10th Guarani Campinas28 points from 19 games · goal difference +10
- 11th Figueirense
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Paysandu3 Oct 2026 · Serie C · Away0–1
DDrewat Brusque27 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Away1–1
WWonv Brusque20 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Home3–2
WWonv Paysandu13 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Home1–0
DDrewat Inter De Limeira5 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Away3–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonv Confiança29 Aug 2026 · Serie C · Home1–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Brusque3 Oct 2026 · Serie C · Home2–2
WWonv Paysandu26 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Home2–0
DDrewat Paysandu20 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Away2–2
DDrewat Brusque13 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Away2–2
DDrewv Ferroviária5 Sept 2026 · Serie C · Home3–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewat Caxias29 Aug 2026 · Serie C · Away0–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Ferroviária at home and Inter De Limeira away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Ferroviária
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 8 scored, 7 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 7 conceded · 1.83 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)3 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)3 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Ferroviária| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 11 | 1.83 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Inter De Limeira
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost · 11 scored, 9 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost · 11 scored, 9 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)0 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 4 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)0 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 4 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Inter De Limeira| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Ferroviária at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Inter De Limeira away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Ferroviária | Inter De Limeira |
|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.58 | 1.54 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Ferroviária
None reported.
Inter De Limeira
None reported.
L
L
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWDW
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Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
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PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLLW
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· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
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Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLWW
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Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDWL
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDWD
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWDL
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLLW
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDDL
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDLD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisStarting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLDLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDW
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Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLL
28 points from 19 games · goal difference -3
12th Maranhão27 points from 19 games · goal difference +113th Amazonas26 points from 19 games · goal difference -214th Caxias25 points from 19 games · goal difference +115th Ituano22 points from 19 games · goal difference -316th Barra21 points from 19 games · goal difference 017th Volta Redonda21 points from 19 games · goal difference -1218th Anápolis19 points from 19 games · goal difference -519th AO Itabaiana17 points from 19 games · goal difference -1320th Confiança13 points from 19 games · goal difference -9| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 40 |
| 2 | Ferroviária | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 38 |
| 3 | Brusque | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 38 |
| 4 | Maringá | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 38 |
| 5 | Inter De Limeira | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 37 |
| 6 | Botafogo PB | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 35 |
| 7 | Floresta | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 35 |
| 8 | Paysandu | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Ypiranga-RS | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani Campinas | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhão | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Caxias | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 22 |
| 16 | Barra | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 21 |
| 18 | Anápolis | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 19 |
| 19 | AO Itabaiana | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 17 |
| 20 | Confiança | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 13 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
D
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
L
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.