Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
· South Korea - K4 League
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Geumsan Insam win 38%, Draw 27%, Namyangju win 34%.
Geumsan Insam host Namyangju in the K4 League, South Korea.
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Our model gives Geumsan Insam a 38% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Namyangju 34%.
The model expects Geumsan Insam to score 1.3 goals and Namyangju 1.3.
Geumsan Insam have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Namyangju have won 5 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the K4 League, before kick-off.
Geumsan Insam sit 5th with 32 points; Namyangju sit 3rd with 39. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Geumsan Insam; Geumsan Insam have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Geumsan Insam at home and Namyangju away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Geumsan Insam | Namyangju |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 3rd |
| Points per game | 1.52 | 1.77 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 2 | Jincheon | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 41 |
| 3 | Namyangju | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 39 |
| 4 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 34 |
| 5 | Geumsan Insam | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 32 |
| 6 | Jecheon Citizen | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 31 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinju Citizen | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +34 | 51 |
| 2 | Jincheon | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 41 |
| 3 | Namyangju | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 39 |
| 4 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 21 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 | 2.60 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 16 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (4) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (4) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
Geumsan Insam at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Namyangju away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +11 |
| 34 |
| 5 | Geumsan Insam | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 32 |
| 6 | Jecheon Citizen | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 31 |
| 7 | Geoje Citizen | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 28 |
| 8 | Pyeongchang United | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Gijang United | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Sejong SA | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 26 |
| 11 | Haman | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 14 |
| 13 | Seosan Pioneer | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | -24 | 13 |