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Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
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Sat 10:00 EDT · Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Guadalajara II v Quintanar del Rey Home v Away Home v Away No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Guadalajara II win 28%, Draw 26%, Quintanar del Rey win 46%.
Guadalajara II host Quintanar del Rey in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain.
Our model gives Guadalajara II a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Quintanar del Rey 46%.
The model expects Guadalajara II to score 1.1 goals and Quintanar del Rey 1.6.
Guadalajara II have won 0 of their last 5 league matches; Quintanar del Rey have won 0 of 5.
Top factors Guadalajara II sit 16th with 2 points; Quintanar del Rey sit 17th with 2 points. Guadalajara II have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches; Quintanar del Rey 2 from 5. At home, Guadalajara II have taken 0 points from their last 2; away, Quintanar del Rey have taken 1 from their last 2. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Draw
26%
Expected goals (our model) Guadalajara II 1.1, Quintanar del Rey 1.6 Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, before kick-off.
Guadalajara II sit 16th with 2 points; Quintanar del Rey sit 17th with 2. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
15th Villarrubia 3 points from 5 games · goal difference -6 16th Guadalajara II 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -6 17th Quintanar del Rey 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -6 18th Huracán Balazote 0 points from 5 games · goal difference -10 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 15 Villarrubia 5 – – – – – -6 3 16 Guadalajara II 5 – – – – – -6 2 17 Quintanar del Rey 5 – – – – – -6 2 18 Huracán Balazote 5 – – – – – -10 0
Show full table Show less 1st Manchego 15 points from 5 games · goal difference +6 2nd Villarrobledo 11 points from 5 games · goal difference +7 3rd Illescas 11 points from 5 games · goal difference +4 4th Torrijos 11 points from 5 games · goal difference +4 5th Toledo 10 points from 5 games · goal difference +6 6th CD Villa 9 points from 5 games · goal difference +2 7th Marchamalo 8 points from 5 games · goal difference +3 8th Tarancón 7 points from 5 games · goal difference +3 9th Almansa 7 points from 5 games · goal difference +3 10th Villacañas 7 points from 5 games · goal difference +2 11th Noblejas 7 points from 5 games · goal difference -1 Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
D Drew at Socuéllamos 4 Oct 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Away 2–2
L Lost v Tarancón 26 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Home 2–6
D Drew at Marchamalo 20 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Away 2–2
L Lost at CD Villa 12 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Away 0–1
L Lost v Torrijos 5 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Home 0–1
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
L Lost v CD Villa 4 Oct 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Home 0–2
L Lost at Torrijos 27 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Away 0–2
D Drew v Illescas 20 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Home 2–2
D Drew at Villarrobledo 13 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Away 1–1
L Lost v Toledo 6 Sept 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Home 2–4
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Guadalajara II at home and Quintanar del Rey away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Guadalajara II Last 5 (5) 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Last 10 (5) 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Home, last 5 (2) 0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 7 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Home, last 10 (2) 0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 7 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Guadalajara II Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2 0.40 0 2 Last 10 (5) 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2 0.40 0 2 Home, last 5 (2) 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0 0.00 0 1 Home, last 10 (2) 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0 0.00 0 1
Quintanar del Rey Last 5 (5) 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 11 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Last 10 (5) 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 11 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Away, last 5 (2) 0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Away, last 10 (2) 0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Quintanar del Rey Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 0
Guadalajara II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Quintanar del Rey away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Guadalajara II Quintanar del Rey League position 16th 17th Points per game 0.40 0.40 Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) 1.20 1.00 Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) 2.40 2.20 Clean sheets 0 0
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Guadalajara II None reported.
Quintanar del Rey None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
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INT Inter W D W L W PAR Parma W L D
Show all 6 picks
12th San Clemente 5 points from 5 games · goal difference -4
13th Socuéllamos 4 points from 5 games · goal difference -2
14th La Solana 3 points from 5 games · goal difference -5
15th Villarrubia 3 points from 5 games · goal difference -6
16th Guadalajara II 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -6
17th Quintanar del Rey 2 points from 5 games · goal difference -6
18th Huracán Balazote 0 points from 5 games · goal difference -10 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 Manchego 5 – – – – – +6 15 2 Villarrobledo 5 – – – – – +7 11 3 Illescas 5 – – – – – +4 11 4 Torrijos 5 – – – – – +4 11 5 Toledo 5 – – – – – +6 10 6 CD Villa 5 – – – – – +2 9 7 Marchamalo 5 – – – – – +3 8 8 Tarancón 5 – – – – – +3 7 9 Almansa 5 – – – – – +3 7 10 Villacañas 5 – – – – – +2 7 11 Noblejas 5 – – – – – -1 7 12 San Clemente 5 – – – – – -4 5 13 Socuéllamos 5 – – – – – -2 4 14 La Solana 5 – – – – – -5 3 15 Villarrubia 5 – – – – – -6 3 16 Guadalajara II 5 – – – – – -6 2 17 Quintanar del Rey 5 – – – – – -6 2 18 Huracán Balazote 5 – – – – – -10 0
Last 10 (5) 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2 0.40 0 2
Away, last 5 (2) 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 0.50 0 1
Away, last 10 (2) 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 0.50 0 1
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FEY Feyenoord W W L W D AAL AZ Alkmaar W L D W W
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MAR Maritimo D L L L D POR FC Porto W W W L W
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
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FSI Fortuna Sittard W W L W W TWE Twente W W W W D
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Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJA Ajax D W W L W NNI NEC Nijmegen D L L D L
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15:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMA Real Madrid L W W W L VIL Villarreal W W L L L
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