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Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Sat 07:00 EDT · Sweden - Ettan - Södra
Hässleholms IF v Jonkopings Sodra Home v Away Home v Away No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Hässleholms IF win 45%, Draw 29%, Jonkopings Sodra win 26%.
Hässleholms IF host Jonkopings Sodra in the Ettan - Södra, Sweden.
Our model gives Hässleholms IF a 45% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Jonkopings Sodra 26%.
The model expects Hässleholms IF to score 1.3 goals and Jonkopings Sodra 0.9.
Hässleholms IF have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Jonkopings Sodra have won 2 of 6.
Top factors Hässleholms IF sit 3rd with 45 points; Jonkopings Sodra sit 8th with 33 points. Hässleholms IF have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Jonkopings Sodra 7 from 5. At home, Hässleholms IF have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Jonkopings Sodra have taken 1 from their last 2. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Hässleholms IF win 45% · price 2.64 Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Jonkopings Sodra win 26% · price 2.34
Over 1.5 goals 68% · price 1.24
Over 2.5 goals 43% · price 1.79
Both teams score 48% · price 1.65
Expected goals (our model) Hässleholms IF 1.3, Jonkopings Sodra 0.9 Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ettan - Södra, before kick-off.
Hässleholms IF sit 3rd with 45 points; Jonkopings Sodra sit 8th with 33. A gap of 13 in goal difference, in favour of Hässleholms IF.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
2nd Atvidabergs FF 46 points from 25 games · goal difference +14 3rd Hässleholms IF 45 points from 25 games · goal difference +16 4th Lund 41 points from 25 games · goal difference +17 7th Rosengård 38 points from 25 games · goal difference +4 8th Jonkopings Sodra 33 points from 25 games · goal difference +3 9th Tvååker 33 points from 25 games · goal difference -6 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 2 Atvidabergs FF 25 – – – – – +14 46 3 Hässleholms IF 25 – – – – – +16 45 4 Lund 25 – – – – – +17 41 7 Rosengård 25 – – – – – +4 38 8 Jonkopings Sodra 25 – – – – – +3 33 9 Tvååker 25 – – – – – -6
Show full table Show less 1st Trelleborg 54 points from 25 games · goal difference +27 2nd Atvidabergs FF 46 points from 25 games · goal difference +14 3rd Hässleholms IF 45 points from 25 games · goal difference +16 4th Lund 41 points from 25 games · goal difference +17 5th AFC Malmo 41 points from 25 games · goal difference +10 6th Trollhättan 38 points from 25 games · goal difference +5 7th Rosengård 38 points from 25 games · goal difference +4 8th Jonkopings Sodra 33 points from 25 games · goal difference +3 9th Tvååker 33 points from 25 games · goal difference -6 10th Skövde AIK 33 points from 25 games · goal difference -7 11th Eskilsminne Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
W Won at Tvååker 3 Oct 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Away 2–1
L Lost at Rosengård 26 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Away 1–2
L Lost v Trollhättan 20 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 0–1
W Won v AFC Malmo 16 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 2–0
L Lost at Trelleborg 12 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Away 1–2
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 W Won v Kristianstad 5 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 2–1
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
L Lost v Eskilsminne 3 Oct 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 0–1
L Lost at Utsikten 26 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Away 0–3
W Won v Skövde AIK 21 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 3–2
W Won v Atvidabergs FF 16 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 1–0
D Drew at Kristianstad 13 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Away 0–0
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 L Lost v Tvååker 6 Sept 2026 · Ettan - Södra · Home 0–1
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Hässleholms IF at home and Jonkopings Sodra away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Hässleholms IF Last 5 (5) 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 6 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Last 10 (6) 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 8 scored, 7 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Home, last 5 (3) 2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Home, last 10 (3) 2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Hässleholms IF Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6 1.20 1 1 Last 10 (6) 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9 1.50 1 1 Home, last 5 (3) 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6 2.00 1 1 Home, last 10 (3) 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6 2.00 1 1
Jonkopings Sodra Last 5 (5) 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 6 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Last 10 (6) 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 7 conceded · 1.17 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 4 Away, last 5 (2) 0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 3 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2 Away, last 10 (2) 0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 0 scored, 3 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2 Jonkopings Sodra Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 2
Hässleholms IF at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Jonkopings Sodra away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Hässleholms IF Jonkopings Sodra League position 3rd 8th Points per game 1.80 1.32 Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) 1.33 0.67 Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) 1.17 1.17 Clean sheets 1 2
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Hässleholms IF None reported.
Jonkopings Sodra None reported.
Context only Facts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
Jonkopings Sodra have the better recent form: 7 points from 5 against 6 from 5. Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
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Away, last 5 (2) 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1 0.50 1 2
Away, last 10 (2) 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1 0.50 1 2
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