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· Germany - Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV v Phönix L. IIHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Heider SV win 47%, Draw 19%, Phönix L. II win 34%.
Heider SV host Phönix L. II in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein, Germany.
Our model gives Heider SV a 47% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Phönix L. II 34%.
The model expects Heider SV to score 2.5 goals and Phönix L. II 2.2.
Heider SV have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Phönix L. II have won 0 of 6.
Top factors
- Heider SV sit 8th with 14 points; Phönix L. II sit 10th with 13 points.
- Heider SV have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Phönix L. II 3 from 5.
- At home, Heider SV have taken 4 points from their last 2; away, Phönix L. II have taken 2 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Expected goals (our model)Heider SV 2.5, Phönix L. II 2.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein, before kick-off.
Heider SV sit 8th with 14 points; Phönix L. II sit 10th with 13. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Phönix L. II.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 7th Oldenburger SV17 points from 11 games · goal difference +6
- 8th Heider SV14 points from 11 games · goal difference -12
- 9th SV Eichede13 points from 11 games · goal difference +4
- 10th Phönix L. II13 points from 11 games · goal difference -2
- 11th Union Neumünster13 points from 11 games · goal difference -3
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 7 | Oldenburger SV | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 17 |
| 8 | Heider SV | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 14 |
| 9 | SV Eichede | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 10 | Phönix L. II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Neumünster | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Holstein Kiel II26 points from 11 games · goal difference +25
- 2nd VfR Neumünster24 points from 11 games · goal difference +15
- 3rd Kilia Kiel21 points from 11 games · goal difference +11
- 4th TSB Flensburg20 points from 11 games · goal difference +17
- 5th Rotenhof19 points from 11 games · goal difference +3
- 6th Rapid Lubeck19 points from 11 games · goal difference +1
- 7th Oldenburger SV17 points from 11 games · goal difference +6
- 8th Heider SV14 points from 11 games · goal difference -12
- 9th SV Eichede13 points from 11 games · goal difference +4
- 10th Phönix L. II13 points from 11 games · goal difference -2
- 11th Union Neumünster
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Oldenburger SV4 Oct 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away0–4
LLostat SV Eichede26 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away1–5
WWonv Kilia Kiel19 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home4–1
WWonat Union Neumünster12 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away4–2
DDrewv Rotenhof5 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home1–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat TSB Flensburg30 Aug 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away2–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv SV Eichede3 Oct 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home1–3
DDrewat Kilia Kiel26 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away2–2
DDrewv Union Neumünster19 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home3–3
LLostat Rotenhof12 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away1–2
DDrewv TSB Flensburg5 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home4–4
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewat Hohenwestedt29 Aug 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away2–2
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Heider SV at home and Phönix L. II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Heider SV
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 10 scored, 13 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 12 scored, 14 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (2)1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Heider SV| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | 1.67 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Phönix L. II
- Last 5 (5)0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost · 11 scored, 14 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)0 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost · 13 scored, 16 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (3)0 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (3)0 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Phönix L. II| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
|---|
Heider SV at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Phönix L. II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Heider SV | Phönix L. II |
|---|
| League position | 8th | 10th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.27 | 1.18 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 2.17 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Phönix L. II
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
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Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
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See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
13 points from 11 games · goal difference -3
12th Nordmark Satrup11 points from 11 games · goal difference -1013th Lübeck II10 points from 11 games · goal difference -1314th Eckernförder SV9 points from 11 games · goal difference -1515th Kaltenkirchen8 points from 11 games · goal difference -1716th Hohenwestedt7 points from 11 games · goal difference -10| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Holstein Kiel II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Neumünster | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Kilia Kiel | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 20 |
| 5 | Rotenhof | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Rapid Lubeck | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Oldenburger SV | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 17 |
| 8 | Heider SV | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 14 |
| 9 | SV Eichede | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 10 | Phönix L. II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Neumünster | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Nordmark Satrup | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Lübeck II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 9 |
| 15 | Kaltenkirchen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Hohenwestedt | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 7 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis