Huachipato vs O'Higgins prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Chile - Primera División
Huachipato v O'HigginsHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Huachipato win 45%, Draw 24%, O'Higgins win 31%.
Huachipato host O'Higgins in the Primera División, Chile.
Our model gives Huachipato a 45% chance of winning, a draw 24% and O'Higgins 31%.
The model expects Huachipato to score 1.7 goals and O'Higgins 1.4.
Huachipato have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; O'Higgins have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
- Huachipato sit 9th with 31 points; O'Higgins sit 13th with 27 points.
- Huachipato have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; O'Higgins 4 from 5.
- At home, Huachipato have taken 1 point from their last 3; away, O'Higgins have taken 1 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Huachipato win
- 45% · price 2.91
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Draw24% · price 3.35O'Higgins win31% · price 2.24 Over 1.5 goals80% · price 1.22 Over 2.5 goals59% · price 1.74 Both teams score56% · price 1.59 Expected goals (our model)Huachipato 1.7, O'Higgins 1.4 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División, before kick-off.
Huachipato sit 9th with 31 points; O'Higgins sit 13th with 27. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Huachipato.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 8th Concepción31 points from 23 games · goal difference -1
- 9th Huachipato31 points from 23 games · goal difference -7
- 10th D. La Serena30 points from 23 games · goal difference -4
- 12th A. Italiano28 points from 23 games · goal difference -5
- 13th O'Higgins27 points from 23 games · goal difference -8
- 14th Union La Calera23 points from 23 games · goal difference -12
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 8 | Concepción | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | D. La Serena | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Union La Calera | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Colo Colo54 points from 23 games · goal difference +26
- 2nd U. Catolica42 points from 23 games · goal difference +17
- 3rd Universidad de Chile42 points from 23 games · goal difference +16
- 4th Palestino36 points from 23 games · goal difference +3
- 5th Deportes Limache33 points from 23 games · goal difference +8
- 6th Everton de Vina33 points from 23 games · goal difference +8
- 7th Nublense32 points from 23 games · goal difference -3
- 8th Concepción31 points from 23 games · goal difference -1
- 9th Huachipato31 points from 23 games · goal difference -7
- 10th D. La Serena30 points from 23 games · goal difference -4
- 11th Coquimbo Unido
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Universidad de Concepcion2 Oct 2026 · Primera División · Away2–0
WWonat Coquimbo Unido16 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away1–0
DDrewv Colo Colo6 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Home0–0
LLostv Deportes Limache22 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home1–3
LLostat Palestino18 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away1–5
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostv Everton de Vina8 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home1–4
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat A. Italiano13 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away0–1
WWonv Union La Calera6 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Home2–1
LLostat U. Catolica1 Sept 2026 · Primera División · Away2–3
LLostv Palestino23 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home0–1
DDrewat Colo Colo16 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Away2–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostv Deportes Limache9 Aug 2026 · Primera División · Home1–3
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Huachipato at home and O'Higgins away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Huachipato
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 5 scored, 8 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 1.17 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 7 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 7 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Huachipato| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 | 1.17 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
O'Higgins
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 8 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 7 scored, 11 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Away, last 5 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 6 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 6 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
O'Higgins| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Huachipato at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
O'Higgins away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Huachipato | O'Higgins |
|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.35 | 1.17 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.17 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
29 points from 23 games · goal difference -1
12th A. Italiano28 points from 23 games · goal difference -513th O'Higgins27 points from 23 games · goal difference -814th Union La Calera23 points from 23 games · goal difference -1215th Universidad de Concepcion22 points from 23 games · goal difference -2216th Cobresal21 points from 23 games · goal difference -15| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +26 | 54 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 42 |
| 4 | Palestino | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 36 |
| 5 | Deportes Limache | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 33 |
| 6 | Everton de Vina | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | D. La Serena | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Union La Calera | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -22 | 22 |
| 16 | Cobresal | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 21 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis