Imst vs Lustenau prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Austria - Regionalliga - West
Imst v LustenauHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Imst win 75%, Draw 15%, Lustenau win 11%.
Imst host Lustenau in the Regionalliga - West, Austria.
Our model gives Imst a 75% chance of winning, a draw 15% and Lustenau 11%.
The model expects Imst to score 2.7 goals and Lustenau 0.8.
Imst have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Lustenau have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
- Imst sit 2nd with 22 points; Lustenau sit 14th with 7 points.
- Imst have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Lustenau 6 from 5.
- At home, Imst have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Lustenau have taken 5 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Expected goals (our model)Imst 2.7, Lustenau 0.8 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - West, before kick-off.
Imst sit 2nd with 22 points; Lustenau sit 14th with 7. A gap of 24 in goal difference, in favour of Imst.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Hohenems27 points from 10 games · goal difference +18
- 2nd Imst22 points from 10 games · goal difference +10
- 3rd Schwaz22 points from 10 games · goal difference +7
- 13th Wolfurt7 points from 10 games · goal difference -12
- 14th Lustenau7 points from 10 games · goal difference -14
- 15th Lauterach6 points from 10 games · goal difference -9
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Hohenems | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +18 | 27 |
| 2 | Imst | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Schwaz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 22 |
| 13 | Wolfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 7 |
| 14 | Lustenau | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Lauterach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Hohenems27 points from 10 games · goal difference +18
- 2nd Imst22 points from 10 games · goal difference +10
- 3rd Schwaz22 points from 10 games · goal difference +7
- 4th Kitzbühel21 points from 10 games · goal difference +11
- 5th Dornbirn20 points from 10 games · goal difference +13
- 6th SK St. Johann18 points from 10 games · goal difference +7
- 7th Swarovski Tirol II16 points from 10 games · goal difference +10
- 8th Röthis15 points from 10 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Fügen13 points from 10 games · goal difference -6
- 10th SVG Reichenau9 points from 10 games · goal difference -8
- 11th Lochau8 points from 10 games · goal difference -13
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Kufstein3 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away2–1
WWonv Lochau26 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home3–0
LLostat Hohenems19 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away0–2
DDrewv SK St. Johann12 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home0–0
LLostat Kitzbühel9 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away2–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonv Wolfurt29 Aug 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home2–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Lochau3 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away1–1
DDrewv SK St. Johann26 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home1–1
WWonat Wolfurt19 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away3–2
LLostv Swarovski Tirol II12 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home1–3
DDrewat SVG Reichenau5 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Away0–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostv Dornbirn29 Aug 2026 · Regionalliga - West · Home1–4
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Imst at home and Lustenau away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Imst
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 7 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Imst| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
Lustenau
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 7 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 11 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 3 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 3 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Lustenau| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Imst at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Lustenau away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Imst | Lustenau |
|---|
| League position | 2nd | 14th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.70 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.17 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Hohenems | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +18 | 27 |
| 2 | Imst | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Schwaz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Dornbirn | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 20 |
| 6 | SK St. Johann | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Swarovski Tirol II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 8 | Röthis | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Fügen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 13 |
| 10 | SVG Reichenau | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Lochau | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Kufstein | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Wolfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 7 |
| 14 | Lustenau | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Lauterach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Rheindorf Altach II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 6 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis