K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Belgium - Challenger Pro League
K. Lierse S.K. v Francs BorainsHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: K. Lierse S.K. win 41%, Draw 27%, Francs Borains win 32%.
K. Lierse S.K. host Francs Borains in the Challenger Pro League, Belgium.
Our model gives K. Lierse S.K. a 41% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Francs Borains 32%.
The model expects K. Lierse S.K. to score 1.4 goals and Francs Borains 1.2.
K. Lierse S.K. have won 1 of their last 5 league matches; Francs Borains have won 4 of 5.
Top factors
- K. Lierse S.K. sit 12th with 5 points; Francs Borains sit 4th with 12 points.
- K. Lierse S.K. have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Francs Borains 12 from 5.
- At home, K. Lierse S.K. have taken 4 points from their last 2; away, Francs Borains have taken 6 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- K. Lierse S.K. win
- 41% · price 2.77
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Francs Borains win32% · price 2.31 Over 1.5 goals74% · price 1.25 Over 2.5 goals50% · price 1.83 Both teams score52% · price 1.66 Expected goals (our model)K. Lierse S.K. 1.4, Francs Borains 1.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Challenger Pro League, before kick-off.
K. Lierse S.K. sit 12th with 5 points; Francs Borains sit 4th with 12. A gap of 9 in goal difference, in favour of Francs Borains.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 3rd Beerschot VA15 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
- 4th Francs Borains12 points from 5 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Excelsior Virton10 points from 5 games · goal difference +6
- 11th KAA Gent II5 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
- 12th K. Lierse S.K.5 points from 5 games · goal difference -4
- 13th Patro Eisden3 points from 6 games · goal difference -5
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 11 | KAA Gent II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | K. Lierse S.K. | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Dender18 points from 7 games · goal difference +9
- 2nd AS Eupen15 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Beerschot VA15 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
- 4th Francs Borains12 points from 5 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Excelsior Virton10 points from 5 games · goal difference +6
- 6th Lokeren-Temse10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Sporting Hasselt9 points from 6 games · goal difference -3
- 8th Club Brugge II8 points from 6 games · goal difference -2
- 9th KRC Genk II7 points from 6 games · goal difference -2
- 10th Liège5 points from 6 games · goal difference -3
- 11th KAA Gent II
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Beerschot VA11 Sept 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Away1–3
DDrewv Liège6 Sept 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Home0–0
DDrewat Seraing United30 Aug 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Away1–1
WWonv Patro Eisden22 Aug 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Home2–1
LLostat Excelsior Virton15 Aug 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Away0–3
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv RSC Anderlecht II18 Sept 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Home3–2
WWonv Lokeren-Temse6 Sept 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Home3–0
WWonat Excelsior Virton30 Aug 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Away1–0
LLostv Sporting Hasselt23 Aug 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Home0–1
WWonat Liège17 Aug 2026 · Challenger Pro League · Away2–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then K. Lierse S.K. at home and Francs Borains away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
K. Lierse S.K.
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 8 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 8 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (2)1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (2)1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
K. Lierse S.K.| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Francs Borains
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 4 conceded · 2.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (5)4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 4 conceded · 2.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Francs Borains| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
|---|
K. Lierse S.K. at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Francs Borains away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | K. Lierse S.K. | Francs Borains |
|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
K. Lierse S.K.
None reported.
Francs Borains
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
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Average price 1.32
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.08
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.25
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.09
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Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
5 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
12th K. Lierse S.K.5 points from 5 games · goal difference -413th Patro Eisden3 points from 6 games · goal difference -514th Seraing United2 points from 6 games · goal difference -615th RSC Anderlecht II1 points from 7 games · goal difference -10| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Dender | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | AS Eupen | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | KRC Genk II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Liège | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | KAA Gent II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | K. Lierse S.K. | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 2 |
| 15 | RSC Anderlecht II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 12 | 2.40 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
W
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L
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Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
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Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
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Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
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Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
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D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
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L
L
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.05
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Last 5 games
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MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
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Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
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See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
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See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
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