Křimice vs Spartak Soběslav prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Czech Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A
Křimice v Spartak SoběslavHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Křimice win 44%, Draw 23%, Spartak Soběslav win 33%.
Křimice host Spartak Soběslav in the 4. liga - Divizie A, Czech Republic.
Our model gives Křimice a 44% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Spartak Soběslav 33%.
The model expects Křimice to score 1.9 goals and Spartak Soběslav 1.6.
Křimice have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Spartak Soběslav have won 4 of 6.
Top factors
- Křimice sit 2nd with 19 points; Spartak Soběslav sit 5th with 16 points.
- Křimice have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Spartak Soběslav 13 from 5.
- At home, Křimice have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Spartak Soběslav have taken 4 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Expected goals (our model)Křimice 1.9, Spartak Soběslav 1.6 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 4. liga - Divizie A, before kick-off.
Křimice sit 2nd with 19 points; Spartak Soběslav sit 5th with 16. They are level on goal difference; Křimice have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Petřín Plzeň19 points from 9 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Křimice19 points from 9 games · goal difference +7
- 3rd Spartak Pribram17 points from 8 games · goal difference +12
- 4th Hořovicko17 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Spartak Soběslav16 points from 8 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Hluboka nad Vltavou16 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Petřín Plzeň | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Křimice | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 17 |
| 4 | Hořovicko | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Spartak Soběslav | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Petřín Plzeň19 points from 9 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Křimice19 points from 9 games · goal difference +7
- 3rd Spartak Pribram17 points from 8 games · goal difference +12
- 4th Hořovicko17 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Spartak Soběslav16 points from 8 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Hluboka nad Vltavou16 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Komárov16 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
- 8th Táborsko II14 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
- 9th Slavoj Český Krumlov12 points from 9 games · goal difference -3
- 10th Doubravka10 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
- 11th Strakonice
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Hluboka nad Vltavou2 Oct 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Away1–1
WWonv Jiskra Domažlice II26 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Home1–0
WWonat Petřín Plzeň19 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Away4–1
WWonv Hořovicko11 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Home1–0
WWonat Slavoj Český Krumlov5 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Away4–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostv Komárov29 Aug 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Home1–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Doubravka3 Oct 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Home2–1
WWonat Milevsko27 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Away2–1
WWonv Táborsko II19 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Home3–1
DDrewat Hluboka nad Vltavou4 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Away2–2
WWonv Jiskra Domažlice II29 Aug 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Home3–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Petřín Plzeň22 Aug 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie A · Away1–2
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Křimice at home and Spartak Soběslav away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Křimice
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 11 scored, 4 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 6 conceded · 2.17 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Křimice| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 13 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Spartak Soběslav
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 12 scored, 7 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 13 scored, 9 conceded · 2.17 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Spartak Soběslav| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
|---|
Křimice at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Spartak Soběslav away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Křimice | Spartak Soběslav |
|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.11 | 2.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 2.17 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Spartak Soběslav
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.13
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.11
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CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.18
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.25
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.08
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.25
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.09
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Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
7 points from 8 games · goal difference -5
12th Rokycany7 points from 8 games · goal difference -913th Jiskra Domažlice II3 points from 8 games · goal difference -814th Nyrsko3 points from 8 games · goal difference -1615th Milevsko2 points from 9 games · goal difference -11| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Petřín Plzeň | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Křimice | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 17 |
| 4 | Hořovicko | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Spartak Soběslav | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Komárov | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Táborsko II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Doubravka | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Strakonice | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Rokycany | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 3 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 2.17 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
W
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L
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Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
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L
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D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.05
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Last 5 games
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MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
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Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
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Average price 1.09
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