Landsberg vs Aubstadt prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern
Landsberg v AubstadtHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Landsberg win 37%, Draw 25%, Aubstadt win 38%.
Landsberg host Aubstadt in the Regionalliga - Bayern, Germany.
Our model gives Landsberg a 37% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Aubstadt 38%.
The model expects Landsberg to score 1.4 goals and Aubstadt 1.5.
Landsberg have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Aubstadt have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
- Landsberg sit 19th with 7 points; Aubstadt sit 18th with 8 points.
- Landsberg have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Aubstadt 0 from 5.
- At home, Landsberg have taken 0 points from their last 2; away, Aubstadt have taken 0 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Landsberg 1.4, Aubstadt 1.5 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - Bayern, before kick-off.
Landsberg sit 19th with 7 points; Aubstadt sit 18th with 8. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Aubstadt.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 17th Ansbach10 points from 11 games · goal difference -15
- 18th Aubstadt8 points from 11 games · goal difference -6
- 19th Landsberg7 points from 11 games · goal difference -11
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 17 | Ansbach | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 7 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Buchbach27 points from 12 games · goal difference +14
- 2nd Memmingen24 points from 12 games · goal difference +7
- 3rd SpVgg Unterhaching21 points from 12 games · goal difference +5
- 4th Eichstätt21 points from 12 games · goal difference 0
- 5th TSV 1860 München20 points from 11 games · goal difference +11
- 6th Illertissen18 points from 11 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Wacker Burghausen17 points from 12 games · goal difference +7
- 8th Bayreuth16 points from 12 games · goal difference +4
- 9th Bayern München II16 points from 12 games · goal difference +2
- 10th Eltersdorf16 points from 12 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Vilzing
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Bayreuth3 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Away0–5
LLostv Ansbach26 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Home1–2
DDrewat Schwaben Augsburg19 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Away1–1
WWonat Wacker Burghausen11 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Away2–1
LLostv Buchbach5 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Home1–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewat TSV 1860 München30 Aug 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Away1–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Memmingen3 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Home0–1
LLostat Augsburg II26 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Away0–3
LLostv Bayern München II18 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Home0–2
LLostat Bayreuth15 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Away0–1
LLostv SpVgg Unterhaching11 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Home2–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonv Ansbach4 Sept 2026 · Regionalliga - Bayern · Home2–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Landsberg at home and Aubstadt away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Landsberg
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 12 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 13 conceded · 0.83 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (2)0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 5 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 5 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Landsberg| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 | 0.83 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Aubstadt
- Last 5 (5)0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost · 2 scored, 10 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 4
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost · 4 scored, 10 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 4
- Away, last 5 (2)0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 0 scored, 4 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Away, last 10 (2)0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 0 scored, 4 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Aubstadt| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
|---|
Landsberg at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Aubstadt away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Landsberg | Aubstadt |
|---|
| League position | 19th | 18th |
|---|
| Points per game | 0.64 | 0.73 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 0.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.67 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
- Landsberg have the better recent form: 4 points from 5 against 0 from 5.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWW
16 points from 11 games · goal difference 0
12th Augsburg II15 points from 12 games · goal difference -813th Nürnberg II13 points from 11 games · goal difference +414th FC Schweinfurt 0513 points from 12 games · goal difference -815th Schwaben Augsburg12 points from 12 games · goal difference -916th Greuther Fürth II11 points from 11 games · goal difference -317th Ansbach10 points from 11 games · goal difference -1518th Aubstadt8 points from 11 games · goal difference -619th Landsberg7 points from 11 games · goal difference -11| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 27 |
| 2 | Memmingen | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 24 |
| 3 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Eichstätt | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | TSV 1860 München | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | Wacker Burghausen | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 8 | Bayreuth | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 9 | Bayern München II | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 10 | Eltersdorf | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Vilzing | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Augsburg II | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nürnberg II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Schwaben Augsburg | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 7 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 | 4 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWDW
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLLW
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLWW
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDWL
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDWD
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWDL
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLLW
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDDL
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDLD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisStarting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLDLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLL
D
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
L
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.