Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Ecuador - Liga Pro
Manta FC v Tecnico UniversitarioHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Manta FC win 41%, Draw 31%, Tecnico Universitario win 28%.
28%
Tecnico Universitario win
Manta FC host Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro, Ecuador.
Our model gives Manta FC a 41% chance of winning, a draw 31% and Tecnico Universitario 28%.
The model expects Manta FC to score 1.2 goals and Tecnico Universitario 0.9.
Manta FC have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Tecnico Universitario have won 2 of 6.
Top factors
- Manta FC sit 16th with 24 points; Tecnico Universitario sit 14th with 33 points.
- Manta FC have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Tecnico Universitario 7 from 5.
- At home, Manta FC have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Tecnico Universitario have taken 3 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Manta FC win
- 41% · price 2.15
Tecnico Universitario win28% · price 3.25 Over 1.5 goals67% · price 1.43 Over 2.5 goals41% · price 2.35 Both teams score47% · price 2.00 Expected goals (our model)Manta FC 1.2, Tecnico Universitario 0.9 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Pro, before kick-off.
Manta FC sit 16th with 24 points; Tecnico Universitario sit 14th with 33. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Tecnico Universitario.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 13th Orense SC33 points from 31 games · goal difference -12
- 14th Tecnico Universitario33 points from 31 games · goal difference -14
- 15th Delfin SC32 points from 32 games · goal difference -11
- 16th Manta FC24 points from 31 games · goal difference -24
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 13 | Orense SC | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 32 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -24 | 24 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Independiente del Valle74 points from 30 games · goal difference +40
- 2nd Macara54 points from 31 games · goal difference +9
- 3rd Universidad Catolica51 points from 31 games · goal difference +23
- 4th Aucas50 points from 31 games · goal difference +4
- 5th LDU de Quito49 points from 31 games · goal difference +8
- 6th Libertad47 points from 32 games · goal difference +3
- 7th Barcelona SC44 points from 30 games · goal difference +7
- 8th Guayaquil City FC40 points from 31 games · goal difference -3
- 9th Leones del Norte40 points from 32 games · goal difference -4
- 10th Mushuc Runa SC39 points from 32 games · goal difference -4
- 11th Emelec
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Orense SC21 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Home2–1
DDrewv Aucas12 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Home0–0
LLostat Emelec8 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Away0–1
LLostat Macara2 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Away3–4
WWonv Barcelona SC30 Aug 2026 · Liga Pro · Home2–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Universidad Catolica22 Aug 2026 · Liga Pro · Away1–5
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Delfin SC20 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Home1–1
WWonat Leones del Norte13 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Away1–0
LLostv LDU de Quito5 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Home1–3
LLostat Delfin SC1 Sept 2026 · Liga Pro · Away0–1
WWonv Deportivo Cuenca29 Aug 2026 · Liga Pro · Home3–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostv Guayaquil City FC22 Aug 2026 · Liga Pro · Home2–3
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Manta FC at home and Tecnico Universitario away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Manta FC
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 8 scored, 11 conceded · 1.17 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Manta FC| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | 1.17 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
Tecnico Universitario
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 6 scored, 6 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 8 scored, 9 conceded · 1.17 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Tecnico Universitario| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
|---|
Manta FC at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Tecnico Universitario away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|
| League position | 16th | 14th |
|---|
| Points per game | 0.77 | 1.06 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.33 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Tecnico Universitario
None reported.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
39 points from 31 games · goal difference -10
12th Deportivo Cuenca37 points from 31 games · goal difference -1213th Orense SC33 points from 31 games · goal difference -1214th Tecnico Universitario33 points from 31 games · goal difference -1415th Delfin SC32 points from 32 games · goal difference -1116th Manta FC24 points from 31 games · goal difference -24| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 54 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +23 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Libertad | 32 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 47 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 44 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 32 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa SC | 32 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Emelec | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 32 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | -24 | 24 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis