Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GenoaFiorentina
Loading picks…
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
· Brazil - Serie C
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Maringá win 43%, Draw 29%, Floresta win 28%.
Maringá host Floresta in the Serie C, Brazil.
Our model gives Maringá a 43% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Floresta 28%.
The model expects Maringá to score 1.3 goals and Floresta 0.9.
Maringá have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Floresta have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Serie C, before kick-off.
Maringá sit 4th with 38 points; Floresta sit 7th with 35. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Maringá.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brusque | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 38 |
| 4 | Maringá | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 38 |
| 5 | Inter De Limeira | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 37 |
| 6 | Botafogo PB | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 35 |
| 7 | Floresta | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 35 |
| 8 | Paysandu | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 33 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Maringá at home and Floresta away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | 3 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | 4 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Maringá at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Floresta away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Maringá | Floresta |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Points per game | 1.58 | 1.46 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 40 |
| 2 | Ferroviária | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 38 |
| 3 | Brusque | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 38 |
| 4 | Maringá | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 38 |
| 5 | Inter De Limeira | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 37 |
| 6 | Botafogo PB | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 35 |
| 7 | Floresta | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 35 |
| 8 | Paysandu | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Ypiranga-RS | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani Campinas | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhão | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Caxias | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 22 |
| 16 | Barra | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 21 |
| 18 | Anápolis | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 19 |
| 19 | AO Itabaiana | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 17 |
| 20 | Confiança | 19 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 13 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| -1 |
| 5 |
| 1.00 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|