MFK Bytča vs Humenné prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Slovakia - 2. liga
MFK Bytča v HumennéHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: MFK Bytča win 42%, Draw 27%, Humenné win 31%.
MFK Bytča host Humenné in the 2. liga, Slovakia.
Our model gives MFK Bytča a 42% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Humenné 31%.
The model expects MFK Bytča to score 1.4 goals and Humenné 1.2.
MFK Bytča have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Humenné have won 0 of 6.
Top factors
- MFK Bytča sit 15th with 6 points; Humenné sit 14th with 8 points.
- MFK Bytča have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches; Humenné 2 from 5.
- At home, MFK Bytča have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Humenné have taken 1 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- MFK Bytča win
- 42% · price 2.95
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Humenné win31% · price 2.18 Over 1.5 goals74% · price 1.27 Over 2.5 goals50% · price 1.86 Both teams score52% · price 1.70 Expected goals (our model)MFK Bytča 1.4, Humenné 1.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 2. liga, before kick-off.
MFK Bytča sit 15th with 6 points; Humenné sit 14th with 8. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Humenné.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 13th Malženice11 points from 11 games · goal difference -2
- 14th Humenné8 points from 11 games · goal difference -9
- 15th MFK Bytča6 points from 11 games · goal difference -21
- 16th Lokomotíva Zvolen3 points from 11 games · goal difference -13
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 13 | Malženice | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Humenné | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -21 | 6 |
| 16 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 3 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Petržalka28 points from 11 games · goal difference +14
- 2nd Šamorín27 points from 11 games · goal difference +10
- 3rd Považská Bystrica22 points from 11 games · goal difference +4
- 4th Žilina II20 points from 11 games · goal difference +4
- 5th Pohronie19 points from 11 games · goal difference +3
- 6th Tatran Prešov17 points from 11 games · goal difference -1
- 7th Inter Bratislava16 points from 11 games · goal difference +9
- 8th Liptovský Mikuláš16 points from 11 games · goal difference +5
- 9th Galanta16 points from 11 games · goal difference -2
- 10th Zlaté Moravce13 points from 11 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Žilina II3 Oct 2026 · 2. liga · Home1–2
LLostat Považská Bystrica26 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Away1–4
WWonv Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom19 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Home2–1
LLostat Slovan Bratislava II13 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Away0–2
LLostv Šamorín5 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Home1–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Malženice31 Aug 2026 · 2. liga · Away1–3
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Pohronie3 Oct 2026 · 2. liga · Home0–2
DDrewat Žilina II28 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Away0–0
DDrewv Inter Bratislava19 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Home1–1
LLostat Považská Bystrica12 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Away1–2
LLostv Petržalka5 Sept 2026 · 2. liga · Home0–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom29 Aug 2026 · 2. liga · Away0–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then MFK Bytča at home and Humenné away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
MFK Bytča
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost · 5 scored, 11 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost · 6 scored, 14 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
MFK Bytča| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Humenné
- Last 5 (5)0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 2 scored, 6 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 3
- Last 10 (6)0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 2 scored, 7 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 4
- Away, last 5 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Away, last 10 (3)0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
Humenné| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
|---|
MFK Bytča at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Humenné away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | MFK Bytča | Humenné |
|---|
| League position | 15th | 14th |
|---|
| Points per game | 0.55 | 0.73 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 0.33 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 1.17 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
- MFK Bytča have the better recent form: 3 points from 5 against 2 from 5.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
13 points from 11 games · goal difference -2
12th Slovan Bratislava II12 points from 11 games · goal difference 013th Malženice11 points from 11 games · goal difference -214th Humenné8 points from 11 games · goal difference -915th MFK Bytča6 points from 11 games · goal difference -2116th Lokomotíva Zvolen3 points from 11 games · goal difference -13| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 28 |
| 2 | Šamorín | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Považská Bystrica | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 22 |
| 4 | Žilina II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Pohronie | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Bratislava | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 16 |
| 8 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | Galanta | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Zlaté Moravce | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovan Bratislava II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Malženice | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Humenné | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -21 | 6 |
| 16 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 4 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis