Mirandes vs Zamora prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mirandes v ZamoraHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Mirandes win 47%, Draw 26%, Zamora win 26%.
Mirandes host Zamora in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain.
Our model gives Mirandes a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Zamora 26%.
The model expects Mirandes to score 1.5 goals and Zamora 1.0.
Mirandes have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Zamora have won 3 of 6.
Top factors
- Mirandes sit 6th with 10 points; Zamora sit 7th with 10 points.
- Mirandes have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Zamora 9 from 5.
- At home, Mirandes have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Zamora have taken 6 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Mirandes win
- 47% · price 1.99
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWW
Zamora win26% · price 3.46 Over 1.5 goals74% · price 1.31 Over 2.5 goals50% · price 2.02 Both teams score51% · price 1.82 Expected goals (our model)Mirandes 1.5, Zamora 1.0 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, before kick-off.
Mirandes sit 6th with 10 points; Zamora sit 7th with 10. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 5th Ponferradina11 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 6th Mirandes10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Zamora10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 8th Racing Ferrol10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st UD Logroñés16 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
- 2nd Lugo16 points from 6 games · goal difference +6
- 3rd Athletic Club II11 points from 6 games · goal difference +4
- 4th Cacereño11 points from 6 games · goal difference +3
- 5th Ponferradina11 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 6th Mirandes10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Zamora10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 8th Racing Ferrol10 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 9th Real Unión8 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 10th Deportivo La Coruña II8 points from 6 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Pontevedra
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Ponferradina4 Oct 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away0–1
WWonv Unionistas de Salamanca27 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home1–0
DDrewat Real Unión19 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away2–2
WWonat Mérida AD12 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away4–3
WWonv UD Ourense5 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home2–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Cacereño28 Aug 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away0–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv CD Coria4 Oct 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home2–0
WWonat Extremadura 192426 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away1–0
LLostv Lugo20 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home1–2
WWonat Arenas Getxo13 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Away2–1
LLostv UD Logroñés6 Sept 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home1–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Athletic Club II29 Aug 2026 · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Home1–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Mirandes at home and Zamora away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Mirandes
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 6 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 7 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Mirandes| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Zamora
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 8 scored, 6 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Zamora| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
|---|
Mirandes at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Zamora away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Mirandes | Zamora |
|---|
| League position | 6th | 7th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.33 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWDW
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLLW
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLWW
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDWL
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDWD
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWDL
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLLW
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDDL
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDLD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisStarting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLDLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLL
8 points from 6 games · goal difference 0
12th Cultural Leonesa8 points from 6 games · goal difference -113th Extremadura 19246 points from 6 games · goal difference -114th Mérida AD6 points from 6 games · goal difference -215th Unionistas de Salamanca6 points from 6 games · goal difference -316th Barakaldo6 points from 6 games · goal difference -317th Real Avilés5 points from 6 games · goal difference -118th CD Coria5 points from 6 games · goal difference -319th UD Ourense2 points from 6 games · goal difference -820th Arenas Getxo2 points from 6 games · goal difference -10| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Unión | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Extremadura 1924 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Mérida AD | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Avilés | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
D
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
L
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.