Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GenoaFiorentina
Loading picks…
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
· Turkey - 2. Lig
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Muş Sport Klübü win 69%, Draw 17%, Kastamonuspor win 14%.
Muş Sport Klübü host Kastamonuspor in the 2. Lig, Turkey.
Our model gives Muş Sport Klübü a 69% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Kastamonuspor 14%.
The model expects Muş Sport Klübü to score 2.6 goals and Kastamonuspor 1.0.
Muş Sport Klübü have won 4 of their last 5 league matches; Kastamonuspor have won 2 of 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 2. Lig, before kick-off.
Muş Sport Klübü sit 2nd with 13 points; Kastamonuspor sit 23rd with 6. A gap of 17 in goal difference, in favour of Muş Sport Klübü.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sakaryaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | Muş Sport Klübü | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 3 | Aliağa FAŞ | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 22 | Ankaraspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Kastamonuspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 24 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Muş Sport Klübü at home and Kastamonuspor away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Muş Sport Klübü at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Kastamonuspor away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Muş Sport Klübü | Kastamonuspor |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 23rd |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
| 5 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sakaryaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | Muş Sport Klübü | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 3 | Aliağa FAŞ | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Elazığspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Çorluspor 1947 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Adana 01 FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Yeni Orduspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 9 |
| 9 | Güzide Gebzespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | 24 Erzincanspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | Menemen FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Ankaragücü | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 7 |
| 14 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 15 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 16 | Erbaaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 17 | Ankara Demirspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Somaspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 19 | Isparta 32 Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 20 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 21 | Şanlıurfaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 22 | Ankaraspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Kastamonuspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 24 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 25 | 12 Bingölspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 26 | Serik Spor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 27 | Kırklarelispor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 28 | Hatayspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 29 | Fethiyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 30 | Adana Demirspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| 31 | Kütahyaspor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 3 |
| 32 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| 33 | İnegölspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 34 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 0 |
| 35 | İskenderunspor | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 13 |
| -9 |
| 6 |
| 1.20 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|