Nový Jičín vs Kravare prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Czech Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F
Nový Jičín v KravareHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Nový Jičín win 44%, Draw 23%, Kravare win 33%.
Nový Jičín host Kravare in the 4. liga - Divizie F, Czech Republic.
Our model gives Nový Jičín a 44% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Kravare 33%.
The model expects Nový Jičín to score 1.8 goals and Kravare 1.5.
Nový Jičín have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Kravare have won 4 of 6.
Top factors
- Nový Jičín sit 7th with 14 points; Kravare sit 2nd with 22 points.
- Nový Jičín have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Kravare 10 from 5.
- At home, Nový Jičín have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, Kravare have taken 6 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Nový Jičín 1.8, Kravare 1.5 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 4. liga - Divizie F, before kick-off.
Nový Jičín sit 7th with 14 points; Kravare sit 2nd with 22. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Kravare.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Bospor Bohumín24 points from 9 games · goal difference +22
- 2nd Kravare22 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
- 3rd Vratimov21 points from 9 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Jiskra Rýmařov14 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Nový Jičín14 points from 9 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Opava II13 points from 9 games · goal difference 0
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kravare | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Nový Jičín | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Opava II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Bospor Bohumín24 points from 9 games · goal difference +22
- 2nd Kravare22 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
- 3rd Vratimov21 points from 9 games · goal difference +7
- 4th Hlučín19 points from 9 games · goal difference +8
- 5th Stonava17 points from 9 games · goal difference +8
- 6th Jiskra Rýmařov14 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Nový Jičín14 points from 9 games · goal difference +1
- 8th Opava II13 points from 9 games · goal difference 0
- 9th Valašské Meziříčí12 points from 9 games · goal difference +4
- 10th Zabreh11 points from 9 games · goal difference -1
- 11th Pustá Polom10 points from 9 games · goal difference -5
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Hlučín2 Oct 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away1–1
LLostat Pustá Polom27 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away2–3
WWonv Bílovec19 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Home3–0
WWonat Břidličná12 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away4–2
LLostv Bospor Bohumín5 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Home2–4
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Zabreh30 Aug 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away1–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Pustá Polom4 Oct 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Home2–1
WWonat Bílovec27 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away2–0
DDrewv Břidličná20 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Home2–2
LLostat Bospor Bohumín13 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away1–5
WWonv Zabreh6 Sept 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Home1–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Opava II29 Aug 2026 · 4. liga - Divizie F · Away3–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Nový Jičín at home and Kravare away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Nový Jičín
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 12 scored, 10 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 13 scored, 10 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Nový Jičín| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Kravare
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 8 scored, 8 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 11 scored, 8 conceded · 2.17 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 5 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 5 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Kravare| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
|---|
Nový Jičín at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Kravare away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Nový Jičín | Kravare |
|---|
| League position | 7th | 2nd |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.56 | 2.44 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kravare | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Stonava | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Nový Jičín | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Opava II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Valašské Meziříčí | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Zabreh | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -30 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 | 2.17 | 3 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.13
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
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Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
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3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
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Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
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Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
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The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
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Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
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Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
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Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
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Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
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· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
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