Padova U19 vs Sampdoria U19 prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Italy - Campionato Primavera - 2
Padova U19 v Sampdoria U19HomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Padova U19 win 36%, Draw 23%, Sampdoria U19 win 41%.
Padova U19 host Sampdoria U19 in the Campionato Primavera - 2, Italy.
Our model gives Padova U19 a 36% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Sampdoria U19 41%.
The model expects Padova U19 to score 1.6 goals and Sampdoria U19 1.8.
Padova U19 have won 2 of their last 3 league matches; Sampdoria U19 have won 1 of 3.
Top factors
- Padova U19 sit 11th with 6 points; Sampdoria U19 sit 13th with 5 points.
- Padova U19 have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches; Sampdoria U19 5 from 3.
- At home, Padova U19 have taken 3 points from their last 1; away, Sampdoria U19 have taken 2 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Padova U19 win
- 36% · price 2.82
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Sampdoria U19 win41% · price 2.09 Over 1.5 goals82% · price 1.14 Over 2.5 goals63% · price 1.56 Both teams score58% · price 1.45 Expected goals (our model)Padova U19 1.6, Sampdoria U19 1.8 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Campionato Primavera - 2, before kick-off.
Padova U19 sit 11th with 6 points; Sampdoria U19 sit 13th with 5. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 10th Virtus Entella U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 11th Padova U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 12th Mantova U195 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 13th Sampdoria U195 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 14th Modena U194 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 10 | Virtus Entella U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 11 | Padova U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mantova U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sampdoria U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 5 |
| 14 | Modena U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Perugia U199 points from 3 games · goal difference +10
- 2nd Catanzaro U199 points from 3 games · goal difference +9
- 3rd Avellino U199 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 4th Bari U197 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Renate U197 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 6th Vicenza U197 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 7th Palermo U197 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 8th Benevento U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +6
- 9th Cremonese U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 10th Virtus Entella U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 11th Padova U19
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Virtus Entella U1919 Sept 2026 · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Away1–4
WWonv Reggiana U1912 Sept 2026 · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Home1–0
WWonat Udinese U195 Sept 2026 · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Away4–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Modena U1919 Sept 2026 · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Away4–4
WWonv Virtus Entella U1912 Sept 2026 · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Home3–1
DDrewat Mantova U195 Sept 2026 · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Away0–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Padova U19 at home and Sampdoria U19 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Padova U19
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 4 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 4 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Padova U19| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Sampdoria U19
- Last 5 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (2)0 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 4 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (2)0 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 4 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Sampdoria U19| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 |
|---|
Padova U19 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sampdoria U19 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Padova U19 | Sampdoria U19 |
|---|
| League position | 11th | 13th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Sampdoria U19
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
12th Mantova U195 points from 3 games · goal difference +313th Sampdoria U195 points from 3 games · goal difference +214th Modena U194 points from 3 games · goal difference +215th Spezia U194 points from 3 games · goal difference +216th Venezia U194 points from 3 games · goal difference +117th Monopoli U194 points from 3 games · goal difference +118th Brescia U194 points from 3 games · goal difference 019th Pescara U194 points from 3 games · goal difference 020th Latina U193 points from 3 games · goal difference -121st Cittadella U193 points from 3 games · goal difference -222nd Pisa U193 points from 3 games · goal difference -323rd Udinese U193 points from 3 games · goal difference -524th Ascoli U192 points from 3 games · goal difference -125th Sudtirol U192 points from 3 games · goal difference -326th Napoli U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -327th Reggiana U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -328th Pro Vercelli U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -629th Lecco U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -730th Frosinone U190 points from 3 games · goal difference -1031st Cosenza U190 points from 3 games · goal difference -1032nd Salernitana U190 points from 3 games · goal difference -13| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 9 |
| 3 | Avellino U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Renate U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Vicenza U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Palermo U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Benevento U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 6 |
| 9 | Cremonese U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 10 | Virtus Entella U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 11 | Padova U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mantova U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sampdoria U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 5 |
| 14 | Modena U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 15 | Spezia U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 16 | Venezia U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 4 |
| 17 | Monopoli U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 4 |
| 18 | Brescia U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Pescara U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | Latina U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Cittadella U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 22 | Pisa U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| 23 | Udinese U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 25 | Sudtirol U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 2 |
| 26 | Napoli U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 27 | Reggiana U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 28 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 1 |
| 29 | Lecco U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
| 30 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 0 |
| 31 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 0 |
| 32 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 0 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis