Roeselare Daisel vs Dessel Sport prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Belgium - First Amateur Division
Roeselare Daisel v Dessel SportHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Roeselare Daisel win 54%, Draw 22%, Dessel Sport win 24%.
Roeselare Daisel host Dessel Sport in the First Amateur Division, Belgium.
Our model gives Roeselare Daisel a 54% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Dessel Sport 24%.
The model expects Roeselare Daisel to score 2.0 goals and Dessel Sport 1.2.
Roeselare Daisel have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Dessel Sport have won 3 of 6.
Top factors
- Roeselare Daisel sit 8th with 11 points; Dessel Sport sit 10th with 11 points.
- Roeselare Daisel have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Dessel Sport 8 from 5.
- At home, Roeselare Daisel have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Dessel Sport have taken 4 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Roeselare Daisel win
- 54% · price 1.76
Dessel Sport win24% · price 3.65 Over 1.5 goals81% · price 1.14 Over 2.5 goals61% · price 1.53 Both teams score56% · price 1.49 Expected goals (our model)Roeselare Daisel 2.0, Dessel Sport 1.2 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the First Amateur Division, before kick-off.
Roeselare Daisel sit 8th with 11 points; Dessel Sport sit 10th with 11. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Roeselare Daisel.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 7th Albert Quévy-Mons11 points from 7 games · goal difference +8
- 8th Roeselare Daisel11 points from 6 games · goal difference +6
- 9th Merelbeke11 points from 6 games · goal difference +5
- 10th Dessel Sport11 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 11th Union Saint-Gilloise II11 points from 7 games · goal difference +2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 7 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 11 |
| 8 | Roeselare Daisel | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 9 | Merelbeke | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Dessel Sport | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 11 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st RWDM16 points from 7 games · goal difference +5
- 2nd Houtvenne15 points from 6 games · goal difference +9
- 3rd Rochefort14 points from 7 games · goal difference +7
- 4th Meux14 points from 7 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Tubize14 points from 7 games · goal difference +2
- 6th Oud-Heverlee Leuven II12 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 7th Albert Quévy-Mons11 points from 7 games · goal difference +8
- 8th Roeselare Daisel11 points from 6 games · goal difference +6
- 9th Merelbeke11 points from 6 games · goal difference +5
- 10th Dessel Sport11 points from 6 games · goal difference +2
- 11th Union Saint-Gilloise II
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Lyra-Lierse Berlaar3 Oct 2026 · First Amateur Division · Away3–0
LLostv Thes Sport30 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Home0–1
DDrewat Tienen20 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Away1–1
WWonv Mandel United13 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Home1–0
WWonat Zelzate6 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Away3–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Spouwen-Mopertingen30 Aug 2026 · First Amateur Division · Home1–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Harelbeke3 Oct 2026 · First Amateur Division · Home4–0
DDrewat Merelbeke30 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Away1–1
WWonv Cercle Brugge II19 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Home3–1
LLostat Houtvenne11 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Away0–5
DDrewv Hoogstraten5 Sept 2026 · First Amateur Division · Home1–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Tienen30 Aug 2026 · First Amateur Division · Away4–3
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Roeselare Daisel at home and Dessel Sport away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Roeselare Daisel
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 8 scored, 2 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 3 conceded · 1.83 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Roeselare Daisel| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 11 | 1.83 | 3 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Dessel Sport
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 8 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 13 scored, 11 conceded · 1.83 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 9 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 5 scored, 9 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Dessel Sport| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
|---|
Roeselare Daisel at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dessel Sport away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Roeselare Daisel | Dessel Sport |
|---|
| League position | 8th | 10th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.83 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 2.17 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Roeselare Daisel
None reported.
Dessel Sport
None reported.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
11 points from 7 games · goal difference +2
12th Mandel United10 points from 6 games · goal difference +313th Knokke10 points from 6 games · goal difference +214th Thes Sport9 points from 6 games · goal difference +215th Sporting Charleroi II9 points from 7 games · goal difference +116th Tienen8 points from 6 games · goal difference +417th Olympic Charleroi8 points from 6 games · goal difference -218th Spouwen-Mopertingen7 points from 6 games · goal difference 019th Heist7 points from 6 games · goal difference -320th Hoogstraten6 points from 6 games · goal difference +121st Lyra-Lierse Berlaar6 points from 6 games · goal difference -422nd Onhaye6 points from 7 games · goal difference -723rd Habay-la-Neuve5 points from 7 games · goal difference -524th Standard Liège II4 points from 6 games · goal difference -325th Cercle Brugge II4 points from 6 games · goal difference -726th Zelzate3 points from 6 games · goal difference -727th Flénu1 points from 7 games · goal difference -1328th Harelbeke1 points from 6 games · goal difference -15| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 2 | Houtvenne | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 15 |
| 3 | Rochefort | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Meux | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Tubize | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 11 |
| 8 | Roeselare Daisel | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 9 | Merelbeke | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Dessel Sport | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 11 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 12 | Mandel United | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 13 | Knokke | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 14 | Thes Sport | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 15 | Sporting Charleroi II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 9 |
| 16 | Tienen | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 8 |
| 17 | Olympic Charleroi | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 19 | Heist | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Hoogstraten | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 21 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | Onhaye | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 23 | Habay-la-Neuve | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 5 |
| 24 | Standard Liège II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 25 | Cercle Brugge II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 4 |
| 26 | Zelzate | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 3 |
| 27 | Flénu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 1 |
| 28 | Harelbeke | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis