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· Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Salamanca UDS v SS ReyesHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Salamanca UDS win 39%, Draw 30%, SS Reyes win 31%.
Salamanca UDS host SS Reyes in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain.
Our model gives Salamanca UDS a 39% chance of winning, a draw 30% and SS Reyes 31%.
The model expects Salamanca UDS to score 1.2 goals and SS Reyes 1.0.
Salamanca UDS have won 3 of their last 5 league matches; SS Reyes have won 3 of 5.
Top factors
- Salamanca UDS sit 6th with 9 points; SS Reyes sit 3rd with 10 points.
- Salamanca UDS have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; SS Reyes 10 from 5.
- At home, Salamanca UDS have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, SS Reyes have taken 3 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Salamanca UDS win
- 39% · price 2.44
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
SS Reyes win31% · price 2.71 Over 1.5 goals69% · price 1.38 Over 2.5 goals43% · price 2.21 Both teams score49% · price 1.88 Expected goals (our model)Salamanca UDS 1.2, SS Reyes 1.0 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, before kick-off.
Salamanca UDS sit 6th with 9 points; SS Reyes sit 3rd with 10. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of SS Reyes.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 2nd Numancia11 points from 5 games · goal difference +5
- 3rd SS Reyes10 points from 5 games · goal difference +4
- 4th Conquense10 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 5th Real Valladolid II9 points from 5 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Salamanca UDS9 points from 5 games · goal difference +2
- 7th CF Talavera8 points from 5 games · goal difference +2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st A Madrid III12 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 2nd Numancia11 points from 5 games · goal difference +5
- 3rd SS Reyes10 points from 5 games · goal difference +4
- 4th Conquense10 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 5th Real Valladolid II9 points from 5 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Salamanca UDS9 points from 5 games · goal difference +2
- 7th CF Talavera8 points from 5 games · goal difference +2
- 8th Gimnástica Segoviana7 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Navalcarnero7 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
- 10th RSD Alcalá6 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
- 11th Real Ávila
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Atlético Tordesillas4 Oct 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Away0–2
WWonv RSD Alcalá27 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Home3–0
LLostat Conquense20 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Away0–1
WWonv Getafe II12 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Home1–0
WWonat Guadalajara6 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Away3–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Real Ávila4 Oct 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Home3–0
LLostat Gimnástica Segoviana26 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Away0–2
DDrewv Numancia19 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Home0–0
WWonv Real Valladolid II12 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Home1–0
WWonat Atlético Tordesillas6 Sept 2026 · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Away3–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Salamanca UDS at home and SS Reyes away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Salamanca UDS
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Salamanca UDS| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
SS Reyes
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 3 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (5)3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 3 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Away, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
SS Reyes| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
|---|
Salamanca UDS at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
SS Reyes away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Salamanca UDS | SS Reyes |
|---|
| League position | 6th | 3rd |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Salamanca UDS
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
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Average price 1.03
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Average price 1.10
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.07
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
6 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
12th Guadalajara5 points from 5 games · goal difference -113th Atlético Paso5 points from 5 games · goal difference -214th Albacete II5 points from 5 games · goal difference -815th Atlético Tordesillas4 points from 5 games · goal difference -216th Calvo Sotelo4 points from 5 games · goal difference -617th Getafe II3 points from 5 games · goal difference -218th Real Madrid III3 points from 5 games · goal difference -3| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Paso | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid III | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 3 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
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See the full analysis