SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein
SW Essen v Germania RatingenHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: SW Essen win 26%, Draw 21%, Germania Ratingen win 53%.
SW Essen host Germania Ratingen in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, Germany.
Our model gives SW Essen a 26% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Germania Ratingen 53%.
The model expects SW Essen to score 1.4 goals and Germania Ratingen 2.3.
SW Essen have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Germania Ratingen have won 2 of 6.
Top factors
- SW Essen sit 15th with 6 points; Germania Ratingen sit 11th with 11 points.
- SW Essen have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Germania Ratingen 8 from 5.
- At home, SW Essen have taken 2 points from their last 3; away, Germania Ratingen have taken 5 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Expected goals (our model)SW Essen 1.4, Germania Ratingen 2.3 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, before kick-off.
SW Essen sit 15th with 6 points; Germania Ratingen sit 11th with 11. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Germania Ratingen.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 10th BW Dingden13 points from 8 games · goal difference -1
- 11th Germania Ratingen11 points from 8 games · goal difference 0
- 12th Monheim9 points from 8 games · goal difference +2
- 14th Wuppertaler SV7 points from 8 games · goal difference +1
- 15th SW Essen6 points from 8 games · goal difference -7
- 16th Büderich6 points from 9 games · goal difference -14
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 10 | BW Dingden | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Germania Ratingen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Monheim | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wuppertaler SV | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Büderich | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Schonnebeck22 points from 8 games · goal difference +21
- 2nd SSVg Velbert18 points from 8 games · goal difference +9
- 3rd Fortuna Düsseldorf II17 points from 9 games · goal difference +10
- 4th Solingen-Wald15 points from 9 games · goal difference -3
- 5th SC St. Tönis14 points from 8 games · goal difference +5
- 6th SF Baumberg14 points from 8 games · goal difference +2
- 7th KFC Uerdingen 0513 points from 9 games · goal difference +9
- 8th Sonsbeck13 points from 8 games · goal difference +4
- 9th Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.13 points from 8 games · goal difference 0
- 10th BW Dingden13 points from 8 games · goal difference -1
- 11th
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Monheim2 Oct 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Away1–1
LLostv Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.27 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Home1–3
LLostat Solingen-Wald20 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Away2–3
DDrewv KFC Uerdingen 0513 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Home1–1
WWonat Meerbusch6 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Away1–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Sonsbeck30 Aug 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Home1–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Scherpenberg2 Oct 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Home2–0
WWonat SF Baumberg27 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Away2–1
LLostv Fortuna Düsseldorf II20 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Home1–4
DDrewat Holzheimer SG11 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Away3–3
DDrewv SC St. Tönis4 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Home1–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewat BW Dingden28 Aug 2026 · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Away0–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then SW Essen at home and Germania Ratingen away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
SW Essen
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 6 scored, 8 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 9 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (3)0 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 5 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)0 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 5 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
SW Essen| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Germania Ratingen
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 9 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost · 9 scored, 9 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Germania Ratingen| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
|---|
SW Essen at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Germania Ratingen away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | SW Essen | Germania Ratingen |
|---|
| League position | 15th | 11th |
|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.38 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Germania Ratingen
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Starting later (8)
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INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
Germania Ratingen
11 points from 8 games · goal difference 0
12th Monheim9 points from 8 games · goal difference +213th Scherpenberg8 points from 8 games · goal difference -714th Wuppertaler SV7 points from 8 games · goal difference +115th SW Essen6 points from 8 games · goal difference -716th Büderich6 points from 9 games · goal difference -1417th Holzheimer SG4 points from 8 games · goal difference -1818th Meerbusch2 points from 8 games · goal difference -13| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
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| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Solingen-Wald | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | SC St. Tönis | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | SF Baumberg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 13 |
| 8 | Sonsbeck | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 9 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | BW Dingden | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Germania Ratingen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Monheim | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Scherpenberg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Wuppertaler SV | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Büderich | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 6 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 4 |
| 18 | Meerbusch | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
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