Torquay vs Slough Town prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· England - National League - South
Torquay v Slough TownHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Torquay win 60%, Draw 19%, Slough Town win 21%.
Torquay host Slough Town in the National League - South, England.
Our model gives Torquay a 60% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Slough Town 21%.
The model expects Torquay to score 2.4 goals and Slough Town 1.3.
Torquay have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Slough Town have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
- Torquay sit 13th with 13 points; Slough Town sit 24th with 4 points.
- Torquay have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Slough Town 4 from 5.
- At home, Torquay have taken 5 points from their last 3; away, Slough Town have taken 3 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Torquay win
- 60% · price 1.28
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Slough Town win21% · price 7.51 Over 1.5 goals84% · price 1.05 Over 2.5 goals66% · price 1.26 Both teams score57% · price 1.47 Expected goals (our model)Torquay 2.4, Slough Town 1.3 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the National League - South, before kick-off.
Torquay sit 13th with 13 points; Slough Town sit 24th with 4. A gap of 13 in goal difference, in favour of Torquay.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 12th Hemel Hempstead Town13 points from 10 games · goal difference 0
- 13th Torquay13 points from 10 games · goal difference -1
- 14th Ebbsfleet United12 points from 6 games · goal difference +4
- 23rd Walton & Hersham5 points from 10 games · goal difference -18
- 24th Slough Town4 points from 10 games · goal difference -14
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 4 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Maidstone Utd19 points from 10 games · goal difference +7
- 2nd Dagenham & Redbridge19 points from 10 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd Salisbury18 points from 10 games · goal difference +11
- 4th Truro City18 points from 10 games · goal difference +8
- 5th Billericay Town18 points from 10 games · goal difference +7
- 6th Weston-super-Mare17 points from 10 games · goal difference +8
- 7th Farnham Town17 points from 10 games · goal difference +2
- 8th Dover17 points from 10 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Dorking Wanderers16 points from 10 games · goal difference +6
- 10th Tonbridge Angels14 points from 10 games · goal difference +8
- 11th Maidenhead
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Billericay Town26 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Away0–3
DDrewv Dorking Wanderers12 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Home2–2
WWonat Maidenhead8 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Away4–0
WWonv Folkestone Invicta5 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Home3–2
LLostat Farnham Town31 Aug 2026 · National League - South · Away0–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Hampton & Richmond29 Aug 2026 · National League - South · Home1–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Ebbsfleet United29 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Home1–1
LLostv Hemel Hempstead Town26 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Home0–2
WWonat AFC Totton12 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Away1–0
LLostat Salisbury8 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Away1–5
LLostv Braintree5 Sept 2026 · National League - South · Home1–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Dagenham & Redbridge31 Aug 2026 · National League - South · Away0–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Torquay at home and Slough Town away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Torquay
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 9 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 10 scored, 10 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 5 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 5 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Torquay| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Slough Town
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 10 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 4 scored, 11 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 6 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 6 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Slough Town| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Torquay at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Slough Town away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Torquay | Slough Town |
|---|
| League position | 13th | 24th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.30 | 0.40 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 0.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Slough Town
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
13 points from 10 games · goal difference +1
12th Hemel Hempstead Town13 points from 10 games · goal difference 013th Torquay13 points from 10 games · goal difference -114th Ebbsfleet United12 points from 6 games · goal difference +415th Folkestone Invicta12 points from 10 games · goal difference +316th Chelmsford City11 points from 9 games · goal difference +117th Horsham11 points from 9 games · goal difference -118th Farnborough11 points from 9 games · goal difference -519th Chesham United10 points from 10 games · goal difference -320th AFC Totton10 points from 9 games · goal difference -721st Braintree10 points from 10 games · goal difference -822nd Hampton & Richmond8 points from 10 games · goal difference -1323rd Walton & Hersham5 points from 10 games · goal difference -1824th Slough Town4 points from 10 games · goal difference -14| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro City | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 4 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis