Tuggen vs Collina d'Oro prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3
Tuggen v Collina d'OroHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Tuggen win 60%, Draw 22%, Collina d'Oro win 19%.
Tuggen host Collina d'Oro in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, Switzerland.
Our model gives Tuggen a 60% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Collina d'Oro 19%.
The model expects Tuggen to score 2.0 goals and Collina d'Oro 0.9.
Tuggen have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Collina d'Oro have won 4 of 6.
Top factors
- Tuggen sit 1st with 20 points; Collina d'Oro sit 7th with 14 points.
- Tuggen have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches; Collina d'Oro 9 from 5.
- At home, Tuggen have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Collina d'Oro have taken 3 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Tuggen 2.0, Collina d'Oro 0.9 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, before kick-off.
Tuggen sit 1st with 20 points; Collina d'Oro sit 7th with 14. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Tuggen.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st Tuggen20 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
- 2nd St. Gallen II19 points from 9 games · goal difference +4
- 6th Kosova16 points from 9 games · goal difference +4
- 7th Collina d'Oro14 points from 9 games · goal difference -1
- 8th Dietikon11 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Tuggen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Gallen II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 19 |
| 6 | Kosova | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Collina d'Oro | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Dietikon | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Tuggen20 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
- 2nd St. Gallen II19 points from 9 games · goal difference +4
- 3rd Taverne17 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
- 4th Thalwil16 points from 9 games · goal difference +7
- 5th Baden16 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
- 6th Kosova16 points from 9 games · goal difference +4
- 7th Collina d'Oro14 points from 9 games · goal difference -1
- 8th Dietikon11 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
- 9th Gossau11 points from 9 games · goal difference -5
- 10th Freienbach10 points from 9 games · goal difference -3
- 11th Wettswil-Bonstetten9 points from 10 games · goal difference -3
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Mendrisio3 Oct 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–1
DDrewv Kosova26 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home0–0
LLostat Thalwil19 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–2
WWonv Baden12 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home2–1
WWonat Gossau5 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away4–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonv Taverne29 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home4–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Wettswil-Bonstetten3 Oct 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–0
LLostat St. Gallen II26 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away0–2
WWonv Eschen / Mauren19 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–0
LLostat Freienbach12 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–3
WWonv Winterthur II5 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Home1–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Widnau30 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Away1–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Tuggen at home and Collina d'Oro away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Tuggen
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 8 scored, 5 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 12 scored, 7 conceded · 1.83 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Tuggen| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 8 | 1.60 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Collina d'Oro
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 5 scored, 5 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 5 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 2 scored, 5 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Collina d'Oro| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
|---|
Tuggen at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Collina d'Oro away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Tuggen | Collina d'Oro |
|---|
| League position | 1st | 7th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.22 | 1.56 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 0.83 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 0.83 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Collina d'Oro
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
- Collina d'Oro have the better recent form: 9 points from 5 against 8 from 5.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Tuggen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Gallen II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Taverne | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 17 |
| 4 | Thalwil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Baden | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Kosova | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Collina d'Oro | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Dietikon | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Gossau | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Freienbach | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Wettswil-Bonstetten | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Winterthur II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Mendrisio | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Eschen / Mauren | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Locarno | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Widnau | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 5 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 2.00 | 4 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
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CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.25
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
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Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
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L
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L
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Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
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Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
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D
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FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
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