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Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Sat 08:00 EDT · Germany - Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Union Neumünster v Nordmark Satrup Home v Away Home v Away No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Union Neumünster win 51%, Draw 20%, Nordmark Satrup win 29%.
Union Neumünster host Nordmark Satrup in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein, Germany.
Our model gives Union Neumünster a 51% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Nordmark Satrup 29%.
The model expects Union Neumünster to score 2.3 goals and Nordmark Satrup 1.7.
Union Neumünster have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Nordmark Satrup have won 0 of 6.
Top factors Union Neumünster sit 11th with 13 points; Nordmark Satrup sit 12th with 11 points. Union Neumünster have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Nordmark Satrup 2 from 5. At home, Union Neumünster have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Nordmark Satrup have taken 0 from their last 2. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Draw
20%
Expected goals (our model) Union Neumünster 2.3, Nordmark Satrup 1.7 Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein, before kick-off.
Union Neumünster sit 11th with 13 points; Nordmark Satrup sit 12th with 11. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Union Neumünster.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
10th Phönix L. II 13 points from 11 games · goal difference -2 11th Union Neumünster 13 points from 11 games · goal difference -3 12th Nordmark Satrup 11 points from 11 games · goal difference -10 13th Lübeck II 10 points from 11 games · goal difference -13 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 10 Phönix L. II 11 – – – – – -2 13 11 Union Neumünster 11 – – – – – -3 13 12 Nordmark Satrup 11 – – – – – -10 11 13 Lübeck II 11 – – – – – -13 10
Show full table Show less 1st Holstein Kiel II 26 points from 11 games · goal difference +25 2nd VfR Neumünster 24 points from 11 games · goal difference +15 3rd Kilia Kiel 21 points from 11 games · goal difference +11 4th TSB Flensburg 20 points from 11 games · goal difference +17 5th Rotenhof 19 points from 11 games · goal difference +3 6th Rapid Lubeck 19 points from 11 games · goal difference +1 7th Oldenburger SV 17 points from 11 games · goal difference +6 8th Heider SV 14 points from 11 games · goal difference -12 9th SV Eichede 13 points from 11 games · goal difference +4 10th Phönix L. II 13 points from 11 games · goal difference -2 11th Union Neumünster Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
L Lost at Lübeck II 3 Oct 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away 1–2
W Won v Eckernförder SV 26 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 4–2
D Drew at Phönix L. II 19 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away 3–3
L Lost v Heider SV 12 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 2–4
D Drew at SV Eichede 6 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away 0–0
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 L Lost v Kilia Kiel 29 Aug 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 1–4
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
L Lost v Rotenhof 3 Oct 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 0–1
L Lost at TSB Flensburg 27 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away 0–4
D Drew v Hohenwestedt 19 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 1–1
L Lost at VfR Neumünster 13 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Away 0–3
D Drew v Kaltenkirchen 5 Sept 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 1–1
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 L Lost v Holstein Kiel II 29 Aug 2026 · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Home 1–3
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Union Neumünster at home and Nordmark Satrup away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Union Neumünster Last 5 (5) 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 10 scored, 11 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Last 10 (6) 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 11 scored, 15 conceded · 0.83 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1 Home, last 5 (3) 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 10 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Home, last 10 (3) 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 10 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Union Neumünster Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 1 2 2 10 11 -1 5 1.00 1 1 Last 10 (6) 6 1 2 3 11 15 -4 5 0.83 1 1 Home, last 5 (3) 3 1 0 2 7 10 -3 3 1.00 0 0 Home, last 10 (3) 3 1 0 2 7 10 -3 3 1.00 0 0
Nordmark Satrup Last 5 (5) 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 2 scored, 10 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Last 10 (6) 0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 3 scored, 13 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Away, last 5 (2) 0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 0 scored, 7 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Away, last 10 (2) 0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 0 scored, 7 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2 Nordmark Satrup Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 0
Union Neumünster at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Nordmark Satrup away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Union Neumünster Nordmark Satrup League position 11th 12th Points per game 1.18 1.00 Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) 1.83 0.50 Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) 2.50 2.17 Clean sheets 1 0
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Union Neumünster None reported.
Nordmark Satrup None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
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INT Inter W D W L W PAR Parma W L D
Show all 6 picks
13 points from 11 games · goal difference -3
12th Nordmark Satrup 11 points from 11 games · goal difference -10
13th Lübeck II 10 points from 11 games · goal difference -13
14th Eckernförder SV 9 points from 11 games · goal difference -15
15th Kaltenkirchen 8 points from 11 games · goal difference -17
16th Hohenwestedt 7 points from 11 games · goal difference -10 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 Holstein Kiel II 11 – – – – – +25 26 2 VfR Neumünster 11 – – – – – +15 24 3 Kilia Kiel 11 – – – – – +11 21 4 TSB Flensburg 11 – – – – – +17 20 5 Rotenhof 11 – – – – – +3 19 6 Rapid Lubeck 11 – – – – – +1 19 7 Oldenburger SV 11 – – – – – +6 17 8 Heider SV 11 – – – – – -12 14 9 SV Eichede 11 – – – – – +4 13 10 Phönix L. II 11 – – – – – -2 13 11 Union Neumünster 11 – – – – – -3 13 12 Nordmark Satrup 11 – – – – – -10 11 13 Lübeck II 11 – – – – – -13 10 14 Eckernförder SV 11 – – – – – -15 9 15 Kaltenkirchen 11 – – – – – -17 8 16 Hohenwestedt 11 – – – – – -10 7
Last 10 (6) 6 0 2 4 3 13 -10 2 0.33 0 3
Away, last 5 (2) 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0 0.00 0 2
Away, last 10 (2) 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0 0.00 0 2
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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MAN Manchester United D L L W D TOT Tottenham L L D D L
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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FEY Feyenoord W W L W D AAL AZ Alkmaar W L D W W
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MAR Maritimo D L L L D POR FC Porto W W W L W
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
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FSI Fortuna Sittard W W L W W TWE Twente W W W W D
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
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AJA Ajax D W W L W NNI NEC Nijmegen D L L D L
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15:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMA Real Madrid L W W W L VIL Villarreal W W L L L
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